Tag Archives: management

FXIFX Is Proof That Fidelity Can Offer A Great Target Date Fund

Summary Fidelity has at least two target date funds for the same date. FFFEX offers investors a high expense ratio and a complicated batch of underlying holdings. FXIFX offers investors almost everything they could ask for in a target date fund. The ratio of domestic equity to international equity allocation is great. The fund is moving into inflation-protected bonds slightly sooner than I would, but the underlying fund is a good choice. Fidelity has multiple options for target date funds. A reader recently suggested I check out the Fidelity Freedom® Index 2030 Fund (MUTF: FXIFX ). The suggestion came after I looked into the Fidelity Freedom® 2030 Fund (MUTF: FFFEX ). The only difference in the names of the two funds is that one uses the word “Index”, but the difference between the funds is notable. Expense Ratios FXIFX has an expense ratio of only .16% on the net level and .24% on the gross level. The net expense ratio is very competitive with target date funds for Vanguard. Investors can replicate the portfolio with a lower expense ratio by manually managing their portfolio to the same allocations, but the difference in expense ratios between FXIFX and using individual allocations to the underlying funds is very reasonable for investors that don’t want to manage the portfolio themselves on a consistent basis. On the other hand, FFFEX had an expense ratio of .74% and appeared stuffed with actively managed funds that should be substantially more profitable for the sponsor. The annoying thing, in my opinion, is that some investors will find that their employer offers FFFEX but does not offer FXIFX. That is unfortunate because I think the lower expense ratio fund will win out over the longer term. I don’t believe the actively managed portfolios will be able to beat their passive counterparts by enough to overcome the difference in expense ratios. Allocations The allocations for FXIFX are quite solid. Take a look at the holdings below: The first thing to notice is that this list is fairly short. I like to see simple allocations in target date funds. A few underlying funds with low expense ratios and fairly passive strategies make for great holdings. Ideally those holdings should be rebalanced fairly frequently for a target date fund to take advantage of movements in the market price of the underlying holdings. Domestic to International The domestic allocation is about 2.25 times the international equity allocation. I like that allocation strategy. Some funds would go slightly heavier on the international equity allocation, but I find a ratio of 2.5 to 1 ratio is pretty much perfect and even going as heavy as 2.2 to 1 would be reasonable. This fund falls within that desirable range. There is plenty of international exposure to benefit from the diversification without betting heavily on international funds outperforming domestic equity. Inflation-Protected Bond Funds I see a good reason for including inflation protected bonds, but I wouldn’t mind seeing this remain fairly low for another five years since this fund is aiming for 2030. At less than 1%, this isn’t a meaningful allocation yet. The underlying allocation is the Fidelity® Series Inflation-Protected Bond Index Fund (MUTF: FFIPX ) which has an expense ratio of only .05%. I like the expense ratio; I’m just not big on inflation-protected bonds in the current macroeconomic environment for anyone that is still working. For a retiree, it is certainly understandable to keep a chunk of their portfolio in these securities for dealing with living expenses over the next 12 to 24 months. Personally, I prefer paying for most living expenses with interest income from corporate bonds (currently too weak) or dividend income from established champions. How About Some REITs? I’d love to see a small allocation to domestic equity REITs in the portfolio. Perhaps I’m biased as a REIT analyst, but I like domestic equity REITs as an allocation for a mutual fund that I would expect to only be held in tax advantaged accounts. The biggest drawback over the long term to investing in equity REITs is the potential for paying high levels of personal income taxes on the dividends. If the allocation is going to be within a tax advantaged account, then the income should bypass that difficulty. Of course, I don’t provide tax advice. Future Allocations The following chart shows the planned allocation over the next few decades: This is a great allocation strategy for a target date fund. The investor planning on a very long retirement will probably want to supplement this portfolio with some dividend growth investing to have a growing stream of income from high quality companies. In my view, investors shouldn’t plan to just hold the target date fund and assume that they are done investing. This is not the start and the end of retirement planning, but it is one reasonable piece to include inside the portfolio. Conclusion FXIFX is delivering on the most important metrics I want to see in a target date fund. It offers a low expense ratio, a simple allocation, and a very intelligent ratio of domestic equity to international equity. The only weaknesses I see are extremely minor issues compared to everything Fidelity got right in this fund. For any investors trying to pick between FXIFX and FFFEX, I see a clear winner. FXIFX looks like it should be able to win out over a very long time horizon.

Best And Worst Q4’15: Financials ETFs, Mutual Funds And Key Holdings

Summary The Financials sector ranks sixth in Q4’15. Based on an aggregation of ratings of 43 ETFs and 220 mutual funds. IYF is our top-rated Financials sector ETF and DVFYX is our top-rated Financials sector mutual fund. The Financials sector ranks sixth out of the 10 sectors as detailed in our Q4’15 Sector Ratings for ETFs and Mutual Funds report. Last quarter , the Financial Sector ranked 9th. It gets our Neutral rating, which is based on aggregation of ratings of 43 ETFs and 220 mutual funds in the Financials sector. See a recap of our Q3’15 Sector Ratings here . Figures 1 and 2 show the five best and worst-rated ETFs and mutual funds in the sector. Not all Financials sector ETFs and mutual funds are created the same. The number of holdings varies widely (from 24 to 563). This variation creates drastically different investment implications and, therefore, ratings. Investors seeking exposure to the Financials sector should buy one of the Attractive-or-better rated ETFs or mutual funds from Figures 1 and 2. Figure 1: ETFs with the Best & Worst Ratings – Top 5 (click to enlarge) * Best ETFs exclude ETFs with TNAs less than $100 million for inadequate liquidity. Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings The PowerShares KBW Property & Casualty Insurance Portfolio ETF (NYSEARCA: KBWP ) is excluded from Figure 1 because its total net assets are below $100 million and do not meet our liquidity minimums. Figure 2: Mutual Funds with the Best & Worst Ratings – Top 5 (click to enlarge) * Best mutual funds exclude funds with TNAs less than $100 million for inadequate liquidity. Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings The Schwab Financial Services Fund (MUTF: SWFFX ) is excluded from Figure 2 because its total net assets (TNA) are below $100 million and do not meet our liquidity minimums. The iShares U.S. Financials ETF (NYSEARCA: IYF ) is the top-rated Financials ETF and the Davis Financial Fund (MUTF: DVFYX ) is the top-rated Financials mutual fund. IYF earns a Very Attractive rating and DVFYX earns an Attractive rating. The PowerShares KBW Premium Yield Equity REIT Portfolio ETF (NYSEARCA: KBWY ) is the worst-rated Financials ETF and the Rydex Real Estate Fund (MUTF: RYREX ) is the worst-rated Financials mutual fund. Both earn a Very Dangerous rating. Discover Financial Services (NYSE: DFS ) is one of our favorite stocks held by Financials ETFs and mutual funds and earns our Very Attractive rating. Since 2011, Discover has grown after-tax profit ( NOPAT ) by an impressive 34% compounded annually. Over the same time frame, the company has increased its return on invested capital ( ROIC ) to a top quintile 18% up from 10%. Despite improving profitability, DFS is down 16% year-to-date and now presents value investors a great buying opportunity. At its current price of $57/share, Discover has a price to economic book value ( PEBV ) ratio of 0.9. This ratio implies that the market expects Discover’s profits to permanently decline by 10%. If Discover can grow NOPAT by just 4% compounded annually over the next five years , the stock is worth $74/share today – a 30% upside. PHH Corporation (NYSE: PHH ) is one of our least favorite stocks held by Financials ETFs and mutual funds and is on October’s Most Dangerous Stocks list . PHH earns our Very Dangerous rating. PHH has been wildly inconsistent at generating positive GAAP net income, but one thing that has been consistent is PHH’s inability to generate economic earnings . Additionally, PHH earns a bottom quintile ROIC of -18% which is well below the 12% earned in 2013. It appears investors realized the trouble at PHH as shares crashed over 30% after poor Q2’15 earnings. However, what investors may not realize is how overvalued PHH remains. To justify its current price of $14/share, PHH must immediately achieve pre-tax margins of 2% (average of last five years, excluding the -44% in 2014) and grow revenues by 12% compounded annually for the next 12 years . Figures 3 and 4 show the rating landscape of all Financials ETFs and mutual funds. Figure 3: Separating the Best ETFs From the Worst ETFs (click to enlarge) Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings Figure 4: Separating the Best Mutual Funds From the Worst Mutual Funds (click to enlarge) Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings D isclosure: David Trainer and Thaxston McKee receive no compensation to write about any specific stock, sector or theme.

U.S. Stocks Rise 2.1% For The Week, But Don’t Lament Being Diversified

The Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index rose 2.1% last week, lifted by better-than-expected earnings reports from tech giants Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN ), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT ) and Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG ) (NASDAQ: GOOGL ). When trading closed on Friday, the S&P 500 stock index had erased all of the losses sustained since the correction of late August-early September, when the index declined by as much as 13.4% from its high. The U.S. bull market, now over six years old, last week was going strong. Ironically, however, all this good news about U.S. stocks can be a little frustrating to diversified investors because it makes prudent, diversified investors look like laggards versus the S&P 500. So now’s a good time to remember that diversified investors won’t ever perform as well as a hot asset class or as bad as the worst asset class. (click to enlarge) This chart illustrates how the S&P 500 outperformed a broad range of 13 assets classes in the five years ended September 30, 2015. The index of U.S. blue-chip, publicly-held companies gained 87%, a very strong gain for a five-year period. The S&P 500 was driven higher because the U.S. economy rebounded more strongly from the global debt crisis and the Great Recession. The return on the S&P 500 was significantly better than most of the other asset classes in this diverse group of 13 types of investments. It would be natural to lament not concentrating your portfolio on U.S. stocks instead of building a diverse group or asset classes. It’s frustrating not performing as well as the S&P 500. However, that’s not how strategically investing for the long run and using Modern Portfolio Theory works. Being diversified means, by definition, not placing your entire portfolio in any single asset class. You diversify because no one can be certain that the next five years will be as good for American stocks as the last five years. Owning a broad range of asset classes means you won’t ever perform as well as the No. 1 asset class. But it also assures your portfolio won’t perform as poorly as the worst asset class that you hold. Diversification and rebalancing periodically, which is the core of Modern Portfolio Theory, provides a strategic course of moderation. The idea is to avoid the big swings of being concentrated in one or two asset classes. Concentrating a portfolio in U.S. stocks could have given you bigger gains, but it can also work against you and land you with larger losses when stocks are out of favor, and can make it more difficult to stay the course when stocks are knocked down in a correction or bear market. So don’t kick yourself if all your money was not riding on U.S. stocks the past five years. While past performance is not a guarantee of your future results, it is also true that a long-term investment strategy cannot fairly be measured against short-term trends.