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Rate Hike Coming In December? Financial ETFs And Stocks To Buy

As expected, the Fed kept the short-term interest rates steady at its two-day FOMC meeting concluded on October 28 but hinted at a December lift-off. The Fed stated that it will “assess progress toward its goals of maximum employment and 2% annual inflation” in determining whether to increase the interest rates for the first time in almost a decade at its next meeting on December 15-16. The central bank downplayed its previous expectations of global market turbulence as potential restraints to economic activity and inflation. Instead, it cited that recent headwinds are fading with substantial positive developments seen in the global economy and financial market lately. In particular, the Chinese economy is showing signs of stabilization on the back of better-than-expected GDP growth data and another rate cut while the Japanese and European central banks are taking additional stimulus measures to revive their economies. Apart from improving global fundamentals, the U.S. economy is expanding at a moderate pace and the unemployment rate remained steady at 5.1% despite the slowing pace of job growth. Household spending and business investments have increased at solid rates in recent months while the housing sector is on track for a recovery. Adding to the strength is the diminishing underutilization of labor resources. Immediately following the Fed comments, the odds of a December rate hike increased substantially to 47% from 34%. Given this, the financial sector seems to be a good bet, as it will be a major beneficiary of a rising interest rates environment. This is because the steepening yield curve would bolster profits for banks, insurance companies, discount brokerage firms and asset managers. Accordingly, we have highlighted three ETFs and stocks that are expected to see smooth trading in the next couple of months and lead the market higher since the December Fed rate hike possibility is back on the table. Top Financial ETFs While there are a number of ETFs in this corner of the market having a solid Zacks ETF Rank of 2 or ‘Buy’ rating, we have highlighted those that provide broad exposure across various industries within the segment. Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSEARCA: XLF ) This is by far the most popular financial ETF in the space with AUM of $17.8 billion and an average daily volume of over 35.8 million shares. The fund follows the Financial Select Sector Index, holding 90 stocks in its basket. It is heavily concentrated on the top three firms – Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A ) (NYSE: BRK.B ), Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC ) and JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM ) – which collectively make up for one-fourth of the portfolio while other firms hold less than 6% share. In terms of industrial exposure, banks take the top spot at 36.1% while insurance, REITs, capital markets and diversified financial services make up for double-digit exposure each. The fund charges 14 bps in annual fees and has added 0.2% in the year-to-date time frame. Vanguard Financials ETF (NYSEARCA: VFH ) This fund manages nearly $3.2 billion in asset base and provides exposure to a basket of 562 stocks by tracking the MSCI US Investable Market Financials 25/50 Index. The product sees solid volume of around 459,000 shares and charges 12 bps in annual fees. It is pretty well spread across each component as none of these holds more than 6.8% of assets. Bank accounts for more than one-third of the portfolio, followed by REITs (21%) and insurance (18%). The fund gained 1.6% since the start of the year. iShares U.S. Financials ETF (NYSEARCA: IYF ) This product follows the Dow Jones U.S. Financials Index and holds 289 stocks in its basket, which is pretty spread out across components with none holding more than 6.44% of assets. Banks take the top spot at 31% from an industrial look while diversified financial and real estate round off the top three spots with 24.6% and 21.3% share, respectively. IYF has amassed $1.5 billion in its asset base and trades in a good daily volume of about 471,000 shares per day on average. It charges an annual fee of 43 bps from investors and is up nearly 2% so far this year. Top Financial Stocks For stocks, we have chosen three top picks using our Zacks Stock Screener that fits our three criteria: stock Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or #2 (Buy), Growth Style Score of ‘A’ or ‘B’, and Industry Rank in the top 45%. Here are the three recommended stocks. SunTrust Banks Inc. (NYSE: STI ) Based in Atlanta, Georgia, SunTrust Banks is one of the nation’s largest and strongest financial holding companies providing a wide range of services to meet the financial needs of its growing customer base. Zacks Rank: #2 Growth Style Score: B Industry Rank: Top 42% eHealth Inc. (NASDAQ: EHTH ) Based in Mountain View, California, eHealth offers online health insurance services in the United States and China. The company’s ecommerce platform organizes and presents health insurance information that enables individuals, families and small businesses to research, analyze, compare and purchase a range of health insurance plans. Zacks Rank: #2 Growth Style Score: A Industry Rank: Top 14% Universal Insurance Holdings Inc. (NYSE: UVE ) Based in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, Universal Insurance offers an array of property and casualty insurance products via its subsidiary companies. Zacks Rank: #1 Growth Style Score: A Industry Rank: Top 24% Original Post

4 ETFs I’m Planning To Buy Over The Next Few Months

Summary I’m watching VNQ, SCHH, SCHC, and SCHF over the next few months. The equity REIT indexes could see some weakness with the Federal Reserve trying to stimulate higher rates. I think they are more bark than bite. If equity REIT indexes sell off, I’d love to boost my allocation to them at attractive prices. My international allocations are too low. SCHC and SCHF look like great options to fix that. With only two months left to go in the year I’m looking at which ETFs I may want to give a higher weighting in my portfolio. These are ETFs that I already hold, but I am contemplating putting a little more cash in them over the next few months. The List Name Ticker Vanguard REIT Index ETF VNQ Schwab U.S. REIT ETF SCHH Schwab International Small-Cap Equity ETF SCHC Schwab International Equity ETF SCHF These four ETFs are on my watch list for different reasons. VNQ / SCHH I’ve got VNQ and SCHH on the list as attractive funds because I expect long term yields on debt securities to remain fairly low. I don’t expect to see a sustained 3% yield on 10 year treasury notes within the next year or two. There may be some spikes where it happens, but I wouldn’t expect to see those yield levels maintained. With the Federal Reserve constantly talking about raising interest rates, I see the potential for some pricing weakness in the equity REIT indexes. They might raise rates slightly, but I’m not sure that such an increase in rates would even be maintained let alone that they could build on increases to raise rates in each year for the next few years. Since I expect rates to remain weak, I like the equity REITs as a nice source of yield and SCHH and VNQ are two well diversified REIT index ETFs with very low expense ratios. If the Federal Reserve ramps up their talk about raising interest rates it could cause the interest rates to increase in the market for a while. When the rates go up the prices on bonds will fall and I would expect the prices on VNQ/SCHH to drop during that time period. That would be a great opportunity for me to buy more shares before the prices rebounded. I’m holding both of these already and wanting more equity REIT exposure in my portfolio. My current weighting is getting a bit heavy on domestic equity and mortgage REITs. The mortgage REITs are substantially different from the equity REITs, but I’m overweight on the sector because I feel there are some attractive values being presented. SCHC / SCHF These two international plays offer low expense ratios for extremely diversified international exposure. I would classify these as my two my favorite international funds currently. My international equity exposure is dramatically underweight right now. I was holding the Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real Estate ETF (NASDAQ: VNQI ) for a substantial portion of my international exposure but decided to sell it so I could act on a high conviction play in the mREIT sector. Over the next few months I want to bring the international exposure on my portfolio higher. I don’t want a very heavy weighting to the international equity sectors, but I should probably be putting at least 10% or so of my portfolio there. My most likely method for getting that position will be something similar to dollar cost averaging with quite a few small purchases driving up the allocations. Why I like Them So Much When I first started looking into SCHC, I wasn’t entirely sold on the fund. The expense ratio of .18% is low for international equity but still higher than quite a few of my allocations. As I looked through the fund I became very attracted by it being a play on small-cap equities and holding over 1,600 individual securities and less than 5% of the total fund being in the combined weight of the top 10 holdings. This is a beautiful ETF for getting exposure to a portion of the market that would often be ignored and the diversification within the fund is strong enough that individual securities won’t be creating a large impact on value. If the top holding of the fund suddenly saw the stock price double, the value of the fund would be up less than half of one percent. The top sector weightings for the fund are industrials (21.2%) and financials (20.4%). I would prefer to see those lower and the consumer staples weighting (5.0%) higher, but on the whole I think this is one of the top options for getting this exposure. Currently they are trading around $29.70 to $29.90. If they dip down towards $29 to $28.50 it would be push me to put in a little cash sooner rather than later. For SCHF the expense ratio is only .08%, which is exceptional for international equity, and the fund has over 1,200 holdings. The heaviest sector weight is the financial sector at 26.3%, but consumer staple comes in at 10.9% which is fairly nice. One of the ways my risk aversion manifests itself is having a preference for the consumer staples sector which I consider safer from potential negative events. Conclusion Those are the four ETFs I’m looking at over the rest of the year. I already own all four and due to dividend reinvestment, I can be fairly certain that I will be buying at least a few more shares in each. It is very highly likely that during the next few months I will add some cash to buy up more shares. Due to free trading on the Schwab funds I’m more likely to use allocations to SCHH for building my equity REIT allocation. Investors with free trading on VNQ may find it preferable. The yield on VNQ is over 4.1% per Yahoo Finance while the yield on SCHH is only around 2.4%. Since I’m buying these ETFs into a tax advantaged account and just reinvesting the income the difference in their payouts is not a significant factor for me. Due to dividend reinvestment, my share count in VNQ is likely to grow slightly even though allocations towards SCHH are more likely. SCHC and SCHF are my favorite options for international equity and that is an area where my portfolio could use some additions. The huge factors going in their favor are the very rare exposure for SCHC to the small-cap side and the extremely low expense ratio for SCHF.

Decent Cloud Computing Earnings Put This ETF In Focus

The cloud computing industry is shining. Over the past couple of years, this specialized corner of the tech space has taken giant strides and motivated many companies to develop cloud infrastructure. Cloud computing is a procedure by which data or software is stored outside of a computer , but can be easily accessed anywhere/any time via the Internet. This process is gaining traction as it can cut IT costs of companies by removing expensive servers and trim maintenance staff. Thanks to the enormous growth in the amount of data, complexity of data formats and the need to scale up resources at regular intervals compelled several companies to turn to cloud computing vendors. Research firm IDC projected last year that public IT cloud services spending will surge at a 5-year CAGR of 22.8% to over $127 billion in 2018. The rate of growth is six times higher than the broader IT market. In 2018, public IT cloud services will comprise over 50% of global software and storage development (read: Behind the Surge in the Cloud Computing ETF ). No wonder, the bullish industry prospects will be reflected in corporate earnings. Investors also have a dedicated ETF to this specific industry – the First Trust ISE Cloud Computing Index ETF (NASDAQ: SKYY ) . The product comprises top-notch tech giants having considerable presence in the cloud business that have also delivered stellar results. Let’s take a look at some of the cloud-heavy stocks, dig deeper into their cloud computing segment and see how can impact the cloud computing ETF SKYY (see all Technology ETFs here). Inside SKYY & Q3 Earnings of Components SKYY has amassed about $490 million in assets so far and charges 60 bps in fees. Year to date, the product has advanced over 6.7%. The portfolio has a tilt toward software and Internet companies, though technology hardware and IT service firms also pull it off nicely. In total, the fund holds about 36 securities in its basket. Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN ) is SKYY’s top holding. The company beat on both lines in Q3 following blockbuster results in Q2. Steady cloud computing business led revenues to skyrocket 78.4% in Q3 after an 81% jump in Q2. The division generated almost as much operating income as Amazon’s entire North America e-commerce business. Notably, Amazon Web Services (AWS) is way ahead of all players in public cloud services that are rushing to draw near. Shares soared over 6.2% following the earnings release (as of October 23, 2015). Amazon has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). Further, the stock has a Zacks Growth and Momentum Style Score of ‘A’. Another cloud-heavy hot tech-stock – Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL ) – occupies 4.92% of SKYY and takes the second position. The company’s cloud business lies within ” Other Revenues “, which increased 11% year over year to $1.89 billion in Q3. As quoted by management, “we are scaling all of these apps for over a billion users, we are powering the infrastructure, which will drive our cloud business.” Shares of Alphabet rose over 5.6% on October 23. This Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) stock is up about 35.6% so far this year and has a Zacks Growth score of ‘B’ and Momentum score of ‘A’. Juniper (NYSE: JNPR ) is yet another cloud-based holding of SKYY which takes the fourth position in the fund with 4.30% weight. Juniper posted better-than-expected third-quarter 2015 results on both lines and issued an optimistic guidance for the fourth quarter. The company stated that the better-than-expected top line was mainly driven by higher demand from Cloud and Cable service providers. This Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stock has a Growth, Value and Momentum score of ‘B.’ Post earnings, JNPR jumped over 5.8% on October 23, 2015. Another player, Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX ) , which also happens to be the world’s largest video streaming company, takes the eighth position in the fund with 3.96% weight. Though this company disappointed investors this season, its outlook is still optimistic. This Zacks Rank #3 stock is up about 105% this year . Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT ) shares were up over 10% on October 23 following the release of 1Q16 earnings. Its bottom line beat the estimate but the top line lagged. Microsoft’s Azure and Office 365 are almost neck and neck with Amazon. Moreover, Microsoft comes second in terms of compute capacity in the cloud. Revenues from Azure grew 135% this season. This Zacks Rank #3 stock takes 2.92% of SKYY. EMC Corporation (NYSE: EMC ) beat on the top line but its bottom line matched the estimate. EMC, which holds 3.61% share of SKYY, is being acquired by Dell and a private equity firm Silver Lake. Moreover, EMC and VMware Inc. (NYSE: VMW ) announced their plans to form a new cloud company by spinning out Virtustream. Investors should note that VMW holds 2.45% share of SKYY. The company’s adjusted earnings grew a robust 28.6% on a year-over-year basis while revenues were up 10.4%. Bottom Line So for investors keen on playing this thriving cloud computing space, the time is ripe for building a position in SKYY. The fund has a promising profile and could expose one to the broader universe of cloud computing. Link to the original post on Zacks.com