Tag Archives: investment

The Wisdom Of Charlie Munger

As you may know, Charlie Munger is the low-profile partner of Warren Buffett and vice-chairman of Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A ) (NYSE: BRK.B ). You may have seen Munger sitting alongside Buffett during the famous annual Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meetings. Charlie Munger, with the younger Warren Buffett Although Munger is six years older than Buffett, they each refer to themselves as each other’s alter egos. Both come from Omaha. Both worked in the same grocery store in Omaha when they were kids – although at different times. At one time, Munger and Buffett were so close that they spoke on a daily basis. Today, they say they don’t have to because they already know what the other one is thinking. Looking at their personal balance sheets, Buffett is by far the more successful investor. Munger’s net worth is a mere $1.2 billion compared with Buffett’s $63 billion. Yet, when they sit side-by-side in interviews, it soon becomes clear that Munger is the more interesting character, with the broader range of both interests and knowledge. Buffett is quick to admit as much. The Mind of Munger Munger prides himself on being an intellectual iconoclast, relishing his role both as a curmudgeon and a foil to Buffett’s folksy image. He is a smart guy, having graduated second in his class at Harvard Law School, and takes pride in having pissed off most of the faculty in the process. Bill Gates said Munger has the “best 30-second mind in the world.” In my view, Munger is a classic INTJ personality, based on the Myers-Briggs test . He is a “mastermind” who thinks in terms of latticework intellectual models. Folks with this type of personality also account for a disproportionate number of the world’s top investors. Munger believes in studying the great ideas across all the disciplines not only to generate investment ideas, but also to live a rich and interesting life. While Buffett cites Dale Carnegie’s “How to Win Friends and Influence People” as a key book in his life, Munger quotes Greek stoics like Epictetus and Roman lawyers such as Cicero. It’s not that Munger never read Dale Carnegie. It’s just that he probably couldn’t be bothered to put what he read into practice. Five of Munger’s Big Ideas Munger’s thinking is eclectic, drawn from a wide range of disciplines and insights. Since he never has written these down, you need to tease them out of his occasional speeches to graduating law school and business school classes. Here are five of Munger’s insights that stuck with me, among the many. 1. Ignore the Propeller Heads of Modern Finance Munger disdains the army of academics who created the discipline of modern finance. He argues that defining financial risk as a function of a security’s volatility – the fundamental insight that won Harry Markowitz and William Sharpe the Nobel Prize in Economics in 1990 – has deluded generations of investors. Like Buffett, Munger was weaned on the mother’s milk of Ben Graham’s philosophy of value investing. But Munger also outgrew Ben Graham along the way, opening himself to the ideas of Philip Fisher. Fisher, the famed Silicon Valley-based investor, focused more on the idea of investing in high-quality companies at a reasonable price. Munger thus transformed Graham’s idea of a value-based “margin of safety” into the idea of a “moat” – a sustainable competitive advantage over time. This moat – say, a brand or some intellectual property – was the key to a company’s ability to generate returns for investors over a long period of time. Buy the right stock in the right company and you may never have to sell it. 2. Avoid Difficult Decisions Munger believes you should avoid difficult decisions. By limiting yourself to investing in the most simple and straightforward investment ideas, you are much more likely to be successful. Munger also recommends that you play to your strengths. This applies both to life and investing. Sadly, this strategy of “avoidance” demands a level of discipline that few investors possess. But if you’re 5″2″, you don’t make playing in the NBA your long-term goal. IQ won’t help you. Stick to what you’re naturally good at doing. 3. Don’t Trust Wall Street Munger disdains what he terms Wall Street’s “locker room culture,” which puts winning above everything else. This leads to counterproductive competitiveness and a willingness to push ethical boundaries just to keep up with the Joneses. This culture of greed and envy – two sins you should work hard to avoid, says Munger – are the source of much of the financial industry’s problems. 4. The Importance of Trust Munger emphasizes trust in investing. That’s why Berkshire invests in companies with sound and ethical managements who are motivated more by the compulsion to do a good job than by mere financial rewards. This emphasis on trust leads to some surprisingly anachronistic business practices. Berkshire’s acquisition of See’s Candies was done on a single sheet of paper. This was despite the fact that Munger is not only a lawyer, but also has his name on one of the most exclusive law firms in the country – Munger, Tolles and Olson, based in Los Angeles. 5. Understand the “Psychology of Human Misjudgment” Perhaps Munger’s most important insight is an understanding that human psychology is the key to successful investing – or what he has termed “the psychology of human misjudgment.” As with his other insights, these appear only sporadically in his speeches and writing. The recent work of behavioral economists and psychologists such as Richard Thaler or Daniel Kahneman echo some of Munger’s own views. Still, these academics’ insights pale in comparison to Munger’s cross-disciplinary “real world” approach. “Mr. Market’s mood swings” – “fear” and “greed” – as described by Ben Graham in “The Intelligent Investor” are a key part of both Buffett’s and Munger’s investment philosophy. But it’ll be a while before behavioral economists start writing on the impact of “envy” on your investment returns. That’s not the kind of research that’s going to get you tenure at an elite university. The Miracle of Munger If you take a step back, what Munger and Buffett have achieved together is astonishing. How is it that a couple of old guys sitting in Pasadena, California; and Omaha, Nebraska, became two of the most successful investors in the world, while generations of the best and brightest on Wall Street have come and gone, never to be heard from again? Munger would say it all comes down to “accurate thinking.” If that’s all it is, accurate thinking is the rarest of qualities, indeed.

KKR Income Opportunities: Good Entry Point For A 10% Yielder

Summary KKR Income Opportunities is a closed-end fund that invests in high-yield debt. A weak market in 2015 pressured the stock price and caused the discount to NAV to widen. Broad diversification, a large discount to NAV and a 10% yield make the current price a very compelling entry point. KKR Income Opportunities Fund (NYSE: KIO ) is a name that I have been watching with interest over the last few months. In this article I’m going to provide an analysis of the portfolio of this closed-end fund and explain why I think it is an interesting buying opportunity for income focused investors. What is KIO? KIO is a closed-end fund that provides a high level of current income by investing in a portfolio of loans and fixed income securities in the high-yield space. The fund makes use of leverage in order to enhance its yield and has a credit facility in place for this purpose – at the moment leverage stands at 32%. The company invests predominantly in BB – B – CCC rated securities and is almost evenly split between high yield bonds and leveraged loans, as you can see in their latest factsheet : The portfolio As we enter 2016 a characteristic that I search in a fixed income portfolio is a low exposure to interest rate risk. The portfolio’s duration is 3.4 years even though the average maturity is eight years. This low duration is achieved thanks to the allocation to leveraged loans, which generally offer a spread on top of the LIBOR rate and therefore have limited interest risk exposure. I believe the portfolio also is reasonably diversified, with a total of 95 positions and a concentration in the top 10 names of 32% of NAV. Sector concentration is a bit higher (44% for the top five industries) but what I particularly like is the absence in the top five of the energy sector. Considering how much money energy companies raised in the last few years and the weight of energy in high yield benchmarks (around 12%) I’m very pleased to see that exposure to this sector is below 6%. Credit to the management for that! As of the end of September the yield to maturity in the portfolio was 15.6% while the average coupon stood at 10.6%. As mentioned earlier the portfolio is leveraged with a loan to value of 32%. As of April 30th (date of the latest semi-annual report ) a credit facility was in place for a total of 145 mln at LIBOR + 0.825%. This facility expired on August 28th. I could not find the terms of the new facility but I suspect there must have been some worsening in the spread. The publication of the Annual Report (fiscal year ends on October 31st) will give some insight on this. One last thing that deserves to be mentioned is the management fee: KKR manages the fund and receives a fee of 1.1% of the Fund’s average daily managed assets. That means that also all the assets acquired thanks to the credit facility will pay the management fee. At the current 32% loan to value that means the fee is roughly 1.6% of net asset value. Investment thesis KIO currently trades around $14.4, a 13.9% discount to the most recent NAV. That compares with an average discount since the 2013 inception of 8.9%. I believe closed-end funds should trade at a discount to NAV given the often elevated fees and expenses associated but I believe such a discount should be between 5% and 10%. A 13.9% discount certainly has some appeal. Other two elements make that discount even more appealing to me: This is an income distribution fund: the yield currently stands at 10.45% and dividends are paid monthly. That means that you get a significant portion of your investment back at NAV even though you are investing at a large discount. The discount is close to peak in a disappointing year for high-yield securities. That means you are entering into a market that became cheaper during the year and you are doing so at a larger than usual discount. My biggest concern as I look at this investment is the possibility that the weakness in high yield/leveraged loans is not over yet. If we look at the S&P Leveraged Loans Total Return Index we see a peak to trough of 2.8% this year over six months. That compares with a 5.5% decline in 2011 over one month – in that occasion the decline was completely re-absorbed within six months. For the purpose of giving a complete picture I also have to add 2008: in that case the peak to trough was a massive 29% over six months. Although we can’t exclude a repeat of 2008 I have to say that I find it extremely unlikely. Credit conditions certainly relaxed over the past few years but they are not at the level of pre 2008 and, more importantly, banks have much higher capital cushions and are not as involved in the high-yield space as they used to be. In any case even in the dramatic situation of 2008 the S&P Leveraged Loans Total Return Index re-absorbed all losses within 11 months. Conclusions I believe the quality of the portfolio (measured in terms of diversification, exposure to the now “toxic” energy sector and duration) makes me comfortable in getting long KIO. However I can’t rule out further weakness in the months to come. As a result I’m starting a new position with an amount equal to 50% of my target allocation. The objective is to add to the position over the next few months in case of further weakness or keep it at current levels in case the decline in the market is over.