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Sell The State, Buy The People

Summary State-owned companies dominate many emerging-market ETFs. State-owned companies generate lower return on assets than privately-managed firms. Avoiding the slower-growing state firms by going with small caps, or a fund such as XSOE. Investors can slice and dice the investment world into all manner of categories. One of the most common is to separate its investments into domestic and international, developed and emerging markets, then into regions or individual countries. A different way to slice the market is to break it down into state-owned and private companies. This is not a critical distinction for investors in the developed world, where deep capital markets offer exposure to many private firms, but many emerging markets are still developing their capital markets. A passive investment approach in emerging markets results in a state-owned heavy portfolio, but there are ways to avoid this exposure. State Interference Doesn’t Pay At least since Ludwig Von Mises published Economic Calculation in the Socialist Commonwealth , the case against socialist economic planning has been there for those who choose to look. Without information, an enterprise cannot make good decisions, and one of the first casualties of central planning is the informational content in prices. Prices exist in centrally-planned economies, but they do not reflect the supply and demand in the economy. The unfolding disaster in Venezuela, a country that suffered toilet paper shortages and is now occupying supermarkets with the army in its never-ending war against the laws of economics, is only the latest example of this basic truth. Clearly, one does not want to invest in a basket case such as Venezuela. At the other end, one cannot avoid some intervention in the economy, as nearly every nation on Earth has a central bank working to manipulate interest rates. In between are the mixed economies such as in China, where the transition to market capitalism is still incomplete. These countries have varying degrees of market forces, but one common trait in many is that state-owned enterprises (SOEs) compete alongside private firms. In many of those countries, the state-owned giants dominate the stock market and make up the bulk of market capitalization. The extreme case is China, where most of the listed companies on the mainland stock exchange are SOEs. In Brazil, semi-private Petrobras (NYSE: PBR ) has accounted for 20 percent of stock market capitalization alone. As oil prices have tumbled and PBR sees corruption charges swirl around the firm , investors in funds such as iShares MSCI Brazil (NYSEARCA: EWZ ) have paid the price. Investors who passively plunk money into market capitalization index funds are often unknowingly choosing to invest with the state and even where the firms are increasingly competitive, they still often lag behind fully-privatized competitors. Recent figures show that Chinese SOEs earn about 5 percent on assets , versus roughly 9 percent for private firms. SOEs in China achieve this low return despite access to cheap credit and regulatory favoritism, in part because the largest shareowner, the state, cares about many things besides profit. Additionally, the government officials in charge of these firms have their own private agendas, and those often stray into the realm of corruption. Some recent examples are the lackluster performance of Russian energy firms even when oil prices were high, Chinese banks that have run up a mountain of bad debt due to politically-motivated lending, and as mentioned above, Brazil’s largest company is racked with scandal. Aside from the aforementioned issues, there’s the issue of sector exposure. Many state-owned companies are banks, energy producers, utilities and telecom firms. While these companies can experience rapid growth in a rapidly-growing economy, they aren’t growing as fast as technology start-ups and new consumer companies catering to an emerging and increasingly wealthy middle class. Investment Options There are some ways around this, the easiest of which is to go with small caps, though that involves taking on more volatility. Broad small-cap ETFs, such as WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend (NYSEARCA: DGS ), reduce exposure to SOEs. Guggenheim China Small Cap (NYSEARCA: HAO ) and Market Vectors Brazil Small Cap (NYSEARCA: BRF ) both offer a different mix of sector exposure along with avoiding the giant SOEs that populate many emerging-market ETFs. Some sector ETFs, such as KraneShares CSI China Internet (NASDAQ: KWEB ) achieve the same result. WisdomTree Emerging Markets ex-State-Owned Enterprises (NYSEARCA: XSOE ) WisdomTree launched XOSE in December to help investors maintain emerging market exposure while avoiding state-owned companies. The case for the fund is straightforward: the growth of emerging markets is the story of a rising middle class. The sectors most poised to benefit are those that serve these customers: consumer staples, consumer discretionary and healthcare firms. Technology is also an emerging sector in many of these countries that is growing far faster than the overall economy. To really profit from the growth of emerging markets, investors want to be positioned in the sectors pulling GDP forward, not the moribund state-owned enterprises that lag behind or at best, are indirect plays on the commodity cycle. From WisdomTree’s website : (click to enlarge) Technology is the largest sector exposure at nearly 23 percent of assets. Healthcare is underweight, consumer discretionary and consumer staples are the third and fourth largest sectors. Financials are a large portion of assets at about 20 percent, but that is less than many emerging market funds. One reason why the fund isn’t better positioned with respect to sectors is because the fund’s main goal is the removal of SOEs, not a shift in sector exposure. From WisdomTree, the index criteria (emphasis mine): ” State owned enterprises are defined as government ownership of more than 20% of outstanding shares of companies. The index employs a modified float-adjusted market capitalization weighting process to target the weights of countries in the universe prior to the removal of state owned enterprises while also limiting sector deviations to 3% of the starting universe. ” For investors who want to remove SOE exposure while still getting similar sector and country exposure as the run-of-the-mill emerging-market fund, XSOE is a great choice. Assuming the state-owned companies aren’t reformed and unlock hidden value from their assets, over time XSOE should beat the market capitalization weighted competition such as iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (NYSEARCA: EEM ). The case for owning XSOE over other funds is stronger today because the sectors dominated by SOEs are at the center of the slowdown in emerging markets, from China’s debt-laded banks to Brazil and Russia’s energy-heavy stock markets. The fund might lag for long periods when plain vanilla emerging market funds benefit from the sector exposure that SOEs bring, but over the long run, XSOE is likely to come out ahead thanks to holding shares in more efficient firms. Disclosure: The author has no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. (More…) The author wrote this article themselves, and it expresses their own opinions. The author is not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). The author has no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

WGL Holdings (WGL) Q1 2015 Results – Earnings Call Transcript

WGL Holdings (NYSE: WGL ) Q1 2015 Earnings Call February 05, 2015 10:30 am ET Executives Douglas Bonawitz – Head of Investor Relations Terry D. McCallister – Chairman, Chief Executive Officer, Chairman of Executive Committee, Chairman of Washington Gas Light Company and Chief Executive Officer of Washington Gas Light Company Vincent L. Ammann – Chief Financial Officer, Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer of Washington Gas Light Company and Senior Vice President of Washington Gas Light Company Adrian P. Chapman – President, Chief Operating Officer, President of Washington Gas Light Company and Chief Operating Officer of Washington Gas Light Company Gautam Chandra – Senior Vice President of Strategy, Business Development and Non-Utility Operations Analysts Mark Barnett – Morningstar Inc., Research Division Operator Good morning, and welcome to the WGL Holdings Inc. First Quarter Fiscal Year 2015 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, I would like to inform you that this conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] The call will be available for rebroadcast today at 1:00 p.m. Eastern, running through February 12, 2015. You may access the replay by dialing 1 (855) 859-2056 and entering the pin 70000880. If you do not have a copy of the earnings release, you may obtain one at www.wglholdings.com. I’ll now turn the conference over to Doug Bonawitz. Please go ahead. Douglas Bonawitz Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining our call. Before we begin, I’d like to point out that this conference will include forward-looking statements under the federal securities laws. Forward-looking statements inherently involve risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to vary materially from those predicted in such forward-looking statements. Statements made on this conference call should be considered together with cautionary statements and other information contained in our most recent annual report on Form 10-K and other documents we have filed with or furnished to the SEC. Forward-looking statements speak only as of today and we assume no duty to update them. This morning’s comments will reference a slide presentation on our website, you can access by going to www.wglholdings.com, clicking on the Investor Relations tab, and then, choosing Events and Webcast from the drop down menu. The slide presentation highlights the results for our first quarter of fiscal year 2015 and the drivers of those results. On today’s call, we will make reference to certain non-GAAP financial measures, including operating, earnings of WGL Holdings on a consolidated basis and adjusted EBIT of our operating segments. A reconciliation of these financial measures to the nearest comparable measures reported in accordance with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles or GAAP is provided as an attachment to our press release and is available in the Quarterly Results section of our website. This morning, Terry McCallister, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer will provide some opening comments. Following that, Vince Ammann, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer will review the major items that led to our first quarter results. Adrian Chapman, President and Chief Operating Officer, will discuss key issues affecting our business and the status of some of our principal initiatives. In addition, Gautam Chandra, Senior Vice President of Strategy, Business Development and Non-utility Operations, is also with us this morning to answer questions. And with that, I would like to turn the call over to Terry McCallister. Terry D. McCallister Thank you, Doug, and good morning everyone. Our first quarter results have given us a strong start to fiscal year 2015. Our non-GAAP operating earnings for the first quarter as shown on Slide 3 in our presentation were $58 million or $1.15 per share, compared to $51.4 million or $0.99 per share in the first quarter of 2014. This 17% increase in consolidated operating earnings per share was driven by strong results in all 4 of our operating segments this quarter compared to the prior year. At the utility, we saw 6% increase in adjusted EBIT over what had been a strong performance in the first quarter of 2014. Our customer base continue to grow as the active — average active customer meters increased by 12,000 meters year-over-year for the first quarter of 2015. Utility results were also driven by accelerated pipeline replacement programs as well as strong asset optimization revenues. The commercial energy systems business also delivered strong results across the board. We continue to see earnings growth driven by the distributed generation in assets that we own across the country. We invested in an additional $43 million in commercial solar assets this quarter, as part of our plan to spend a total of $150 million on the distributed generation investments this year. These investments will continue to build a steady stream of income from the sale of clean power to our customers. Midstream energy services business delivered higher results compared to the first quarter of 2014. Capitalizing on optimization opportunities offered by the winter weather are continuing to invest in the 2 pipeline projects under development. Finally, our retail energy-marketing business performed well, with electric margins significantly higher in the first quarter of — than in the first quarter of last year. Over the past quarter, PJM capacity pricing returned to expected levels. Also, PJM introduced procedural changes that results in lower ancillary cost. The company has also introduced options, that allow our customers to choose a lower price in exchange for sharing the risks associated with potential costs volatility. As discussed in previous quarters, we continue to drive towards a return to historical levels of earnings in this business. These efforts include an increased focus on large commercial and government account relationships. As an example, WGL Energy recently won the General Services Administration contract to serve power to the federal facilities in the District of Columbia and Maryland. Maryland contract extends 2 years, and the District of Columbia contract extends over 18 months. Of course we hope to work further with GFA to explore opportunities to provide distributed power generation to many of these sites, helping these federal organizations meet the mandated 2020 greenhouse gas reduction goals. Retail energy-marketing business continues to be an important component of our ability to provide a comprehensive set of energy answers to customers. I’m confident in our ability to achieve our financial plan for 2015. Given our results for the first 3 months and our earnings outlook for the remainder of the year, we are affirming our consolidated non-GAAP earnings guidance in the range of $2.70 to $2.90 per share for fiscal year 2015, although at this point, we anticipate being in the higher end of the range. Finally, as noted in our earnings release, I’m also pleased the Board of Directors has approved a $0.09 increase in our dividend to an annual rate of $1.85 per share. This 5% increase reflects our confidence in our strategic plan and our commitment to provide sustainable dividend growth for investors. This is the 39th consecutive year that WGL Holdings has increased the dividend on its common stock. I’m now going to turn the call over to Vince, who will review our first quarter segment’s — our results by segment. Vincent L. Ammann Thank you, Terry. First I’d like to remind you that we’ve made a change to our practice of discussing earning results at the segment level. Going forward, we’ll use non-GAAP adjusted earnings before interest and taxes or adjusted EBIT to discuss results at the segment level. This change will provide more clarity by allowing us to discuss the performance of each business unit, prior to the impact of interest expenses, taxes and accretion and dilution. Turning first to our utility segment. Adjusted EBIT for the first quarter of fiscal year 2015 was $96.6 million, an increase of $5.7 million compared to the same period last year. The drivers of this change are detailed on Slide 5. We continue to grow and add new meters. The addition of over 12,000 average active customer meters, improved adjusted EBIT by $1.5 million. Higher asset optimization revenues added $5.8 million. Revenues from the new rates in Maryland added $2.6 million, as new base rates were effective in Maryland on November 23, 2013. Higher revenues from our accelerated pipe replacement program also added $2.3 million in adjusted EBIT. Partially offsetting these items, were higher O&M expense, primarily driven by higher labor and employee incentive costs, which reduced adjusted EBIT by $4.7 million. Higher depreciation expense also reduced adjusted EBIT by $1.6 million, while reflecting growth in our utility investment, our investment utility plan. Turning to the retail energy-marketing segment. Adjusted EBIT for the first quarter of fiscal year 2015 was $9 million, an increase of $7.6 million compared to the same period last year. On Slide 6, you’ll see that the primary driver of the increase was higher electric gross margins, partially offset by lower natural gas margins. Electric margins increased by $8.8 million, driven by lower capacity charges and lower costs for PJM ancillary services, partially offset by lower sales volumes. Electric volumes decreased 6% in the first quarter versus the prior year, primarily, due to a decline in customers and warmer weather. PJM capacity prices for the territories that we serve were on average about 60% of the levels seen in the prior PJM year, which led to more favorable electric margins in this quarter versus the same quarter last year. I would also like to note that ancillary charges in PJM have been well below the levels seen during the polar vortex that occurred last year. While peak demand on the PJM systems this winter has been close to the levels hit during the January of 2014 polar vortex. New PJM procedures that improve generation reliability and cost allocation have resulted in lower energy costs and reduced ancillary service costs this winter. In the natural gas business, gross margins were $1.5 million lower as benefits realized last year related to wholesale portfolio optimization and interruptible spots sales did not recur. Natural gas volumes decreased 5% in the first quarter versus the prior, primarily due to decline in customers and warmer weather. As Terry mentioned, the focus of our sales effort recently as well as going forward, will be on the large commercial and government accounts in both the electric and natural gas margins. We believe this strategy will facilitate the return of earnings to historical levels. Next, I’ll move to the commercial energy systems segment. Adjusted EBIT for first quarter of fiscal year 2015 was $1.2 million, an increase of $1.2 million compared to the same period last year. The increase reflects growth in distributed generation assets in service, as well as improved margins in the federal contracting business and higher earnings in investment solar businesses. Please note the earnings for this segment are somewhat seasonal in nature, and while our earnings are modest year-to-date, we are on track to meet our original adjusted EBIT forecast for the segment. The commercial energy systems segment continue to add new projects to its portfolio. As of December 31, we have over $80 million — over 80 megawatts of installed solar capacity and 3 megawatts of solar fuel cell capacity. We have an additional 20 megawatts of distributed generation, currently under contract or in construction. In total, these projects represent over $330 million of capital investments and we continue to see a robust pipeline of future distributed generation assets. During the first quarter, our commercial distribution generation assets generated over 19,000-megawatt hours of clean electricity, which is sold to customers through all purchase agreements. This is more than double the amount generated during the first quarter of last year. As Terry mentioned earlier, we are on track to invest $150 million in commercial solar, other distribution — distributed generation projects, during the fiscal year 2015. Next, I’ll move to the midstream energy services segment. Adjusted EBIT for the first quarter of fiscal year 2015 was $2.6 million compared to $1.8 million in the same period last year. The increase, primarily reflects favorable storage spreads, partially offset by the development expenses. Results of other non-utility activities reflecting adjusted EBIT loss of $1.5 million compared to a loss of $1.9 million for the same period of the prior year. Please note that in December of 2014, WGL fully impaired it’s equity investment in ASD Holdings Inc. for a charge of $5.6 million. The impairment was recorded as a non-GAAP adjustment. The charge of solar related to revaluation of our equity investment in the development company, and all of our leases, solar residential assets prior to this relationship are performing as expected. I’ll now move to a discussion of interest expense on a consolidated basis for the first quarter. Interest expense primarily driven by long-term debt, increased to $12.3 million during the first quarter compared to $9 million in the prior period. In October, WGL issued $100 million of 5-year notes and $125 million of 30-year notes. In December, WGL sold an additional $25 million of 30-year notes. In total $250 million of long-term debt was issued at the holding company during the first quarter. Proceeds are being used primarily to fund our share repurchase program and non-utility capital investments. In December, Washington Gas also issued $50 million of 30-year notes. We also took advantage of the opportunities to extend our revolving credit facilities to December of 2019. Facilities previously had a maturity date of April, 2017. On August 7, we announced a $150 million share repurchase program authorized by our Board of Directors. The plan authorizes WGL to repurchase shares based on market and other financial conditions. During the quarter ended, December 31, we purchased — we repurchased 1 million shares of common stock for a cost of $42 million. Since the plan’s inception, WGL has invested $98 million to repurchase 2.3 million shares of WGL common stock under the plan at an average price of $43.31. As Terry stated earlier, we are affirming our consolidated non-GAAP operating earnings guidance in a range of $2.70 and $2.90 per share with a focus on the higher end of the range, primarily, due to strong performance at the regulated utility. I’ll now turn the call over to Adrian for his comments. Adrian P. Chapman Thank you, Vince, and good morning, everyone. I’m pleased to provide you with an update on our operations and regulatory initiatives. In addition to Columbia, you may recall that the Public Service Commission issued an order in March of 2014, conditionally approving an expanded accelerated pipeline replacement plan. The plan would increase spending in the District of Columbia to approximately $110 million over a 5-year period. In August, 2014, the commission granted final approval of the revised accelerated pipe replacement plan pending the determination of an appropriate cost recovery mechanism. I’m pleased to report, that the commission recently approved a unanimous settlement agreement that authorizes a surcharge to provide timely recovery of our return on and off pipeline replacement investment, including all replacement activity since June of 2014. As a result, this program will begin to positively impact earnings fiscal year 2015 as expected. In Maryland, the Public Service Commission issued an order in December approving the stride project list for 2015. The project list targets approximately $37 million in accelerated infrastructure replacement capital expenditures and also includes an associated surcharge factor, subject to adjustments made by the staff of the PSC. The calendar year 2015 factor is estimated to collect $3.8 million in revenue. In Virginia, we plan to file by Monday February 9, an application at the SEC of Virginia for approval to amend our current SAVE plan. The Virginia State Act established a regulatory framework for local distribution companies to accelerate infrastructure replacement, and receive current cost recoveries through a surcharge. The commission previously approved and amended SAVE plan in November 2012 that increased our SAVE expenditures to $191 million, over a 5-year period beginning in January, 2013, and ending on December 31, 2017. Based on the company’s experience to date with the implementation of approved SAVE plan program, as well as analysis of our distribution integrity management plan, Washington Gas will propose amendments to the SAVE plan. The amendments in our filing will include both revisions to approve SAVE plan programs, as well as proposals for new eligible infrastructure replacement programs, including the replacement of infrastructure on Washington Gas’ transmission system. The company will request approval for the amended SAVE plan up through December 31, 2017, which is the expiration date for the previously approved SAVE plan. As required by the SAVE Act, the proposed new programs will enhance system safety and reliability by reducing system integrity risks and will also help reduce green house gas emissions. Also in Virginia, legislation was enacted in 2014 that will allow local distribution companies to invest in gas reserves to realize longer-term gas cost to reliability benefits for customers. We initiated a process last year to identify opportunities that would benefit our customers in Virginia. And we are currently evaluating proposals with the goal of presenting a proposal to the commission in the third fiscal quarter of this year. And one final item in Virginia, I’m pleased to report that legislation was recently introduced in the general assembly that supports the expansion of natural gas infrastructure to serve potential customers, located at areas not currently served. Local distribution companies will be able to file a system expansion plans that will address the deferral and recovery of costs, that would be considered uneconomic under utilities new customer economic test and require large upfront contributions in aid of construction from potential customers. A system expansion wider will allow for the recovery of eligible systems expansion infrastructure costs, as a monthly surcharge from effected new customers, as a separate mechanism from the customer rates established in rate case, as well as the deferral of unrecovered eligible system expansion infrastructure costs. To fully support this legislative initiative, that will help bring the benefits of natural gas to more customers in Virginia, including our franchised service territory. I would now like to turn the call back to Terry for his closing comments. Terry D. McCallister Thanks, Adrian. I’d now like to highlight a few of our recent developments. First, an update on our constitution — our investment in the constitution pipeline project. In early December, the FERC issued a certificate of public convenience and necessity for the pipeline. We are still waiting for permitting for the project from the state of New York. Given the permitting delays we now expect in services date sometime in the second half of 2016. While we are disappointed in this delay, we are still confident that the project will move forward to provide an important stream of future earnings. As of December 31, our subsidiary WGL Midstream has invested approximately $24 million in the constitution pipeline project, we expect to invest an additional $55 million through completion. Now turning to our larger investment in the Central Penn Line. The Central Penn Line is greenfield pipeline segment of Transco’s announced Atlantic Sunrise project, WGL Midstream will invest approximately $410 million. This project is on track and development activities are proceeding as expected. The Central Penn Line have a projected in-service date in the second half of 2017. As of December 31, our subsidiary WGL Midstream has invested approximately $10 million in the Central Penn Line project. In late November, WGL Midstream entered into a gas sale and purchase and capacity agreement with GAIL Global USA, a subsidiary of GAIL India. WGL Midstream agreed to sell and deliver a minimum of 340,000 decatherm per day and up to 430,000 decatherms per day of natural gas for a term of 20 years from the in-service date of the Cove Point LNG export facility. WGL Midstream will make deliveries using transportation capacity released by GAIL through an Asset Management arrangement. The majority of the natural gas will be purchased by WGL Midstream through an existing arrangement with Antero Resources, one of the most active operators in the Marcellus and Utica Shale regions. Under these arrangements, WGL Midstream also has an option to acquire a 30% interest in the 70-mile extension of an existing gathering system, pipeline system that will support the Antero’s deliveries to pipeline serving the Mid-Atlantic market. We look forward to a long-term relationship with both GAIL Global and Antero Resources, which capitalize on the growing supply of abundant natural gas from the Marcellus shale region. We continue to evaluate additional midstream opportunities, similar to the projects announced to date, as we continue our strategy to provide infrastructure solutions to move gas from producing areas to the customer market areas. Now turning to our commercial energy systems business. As mentioned earlier, we continue to add to our portfolio of distributed generation assets. In December, Washington Gas Energy systems announced the completion of 20 solar projects, totaling more than 15-megawatts, that will produce renewable energy for Georgia Power. All of its solar arrays will be owned and operated by Washington Gas Energy Systems under our 20-year purchase — power purchasing agreement with Georgia Power. These projects significantly increased renewable energy capacity in the state through the Georgia Power advanced solar initiatives. And we look forward to completing more parts — projects through this partnership. All in all, we are off to a good start for the year. We look forward to providing further information regarding successes and opportunities during our analyst meeting, scheduled for March 18, at the New York Stock Exchange. This concludes our prepared remarks, and we’ll now be happy to answer your questions. Question-and-Answer Session Operator [Operator Instructions] We’ll take our first question from Mark Barnett, Morningstar. Mark Barnett – Morningstar Inc., Research Division Just a couple of quick questions. One, just more broadly, can you talk about how the supply agreement — not the supply, but the financing agreements with Shell has been impacting your operations, and whether that’s something that’s working well for you? Kind of how has the benefits started to show up? Can you maybe discuss that a little bit? Gautam Chandra Mark, this is Gautam. I will take that. Yes, I think the Shell agreement has been performing as we expected. We put that in place, primarily, to reduce short-term capital requirements. Because we’re just leaving a lot of purchases through Shell. And also, just reduction and collateral requirements from the holding company. And I would say, we’ve been achieving that over the last couple of years, where we’ve been operating with Shell and the relationships work very smoothly. So I would say, as expected. Mark Barnett – Morningstar Inc., Research Division Okay. And just shifting to some of the regulatory items you mentioned, the rider proposals for the gas infrastructure in Virginia, I mean, that’s fairly similar to what’s been discussed, I guess, in New England, but there’s been some resistance there. Of course, that’s kind of a multi-state question. I’m wondering what the political climate around that is in Virginia, what you’ve heard, I guess, from stakeholders to-date? Adrian P. Chapman This is Adrian. I’ll address that, Mark. Certainly, there was a some initial perception that this will address to facilitated some of the pipeline activity that’s happening in Virginia, and there was some initial push back, but I think once that was clarified that there’s been certainly generally a wide degree of support due to the economic development benefits of making gas available to currently unserved areas in Virgina. So I think it’s a little premature to predict exactly how the bill will evolve, but it has made good progress through committee and is heading close to the legislative final votes in each chamber of the house. So my expectation is that we’ve been able to clearly articulate the benefits. And what’s been important is it is, there is a signs of cost to those who directly benefit from the development activity that we would do. So those who get access to get service are ones who would directly pay for it. And principally, where we saw that contribution in native construction, sometimes being so large, that it stopped development, now we made that a much more affordable activity for new developers and customers to undertake. Terry D. McCallister Mark, this is Terry. I’d also add to that, this goes through the legislature. We wouldn’t expect — I wouldn’t expect any pushback from the governor, because he clearly drew his support behind the interstate pipeline that’s been proposed to the state earlier this year. So he is a big advocate of natural gas for pipelines for economic development for the state. Mark Barnett – Morningstar Inc., Research Division Okay, okay. And one last question on the regulatory treatment of gas reserves. Could you remind me, would that agreement be directly with an E&P? Terry D. McCallister Yes, it would. Yes, so we are working on a number of arrangements. But ultimately, it would be buying reserves from producer Adrian P. Chapman That’s what the legislation anticipates. Mark Barnett – Morningstar Inc., Research Division Right, I thought so. I just wanted to make sure, because there is obviously a couple of things, you have to work around that, but — okay, it’s great. Operator Again, I would like remind everyone that you can listen the rebroadcast of this conference call at 1 p.m. Eastern today, running through February 12, 2015. You may access the replay by dialing 1 (855) 859-2056 and then entering the pin 70000880. If there are no further questions, I will now turn the call back over to Mr. Bonawitz for any additional or closing remarks. Douglas Bonawitz Well, thank you, all, for joining us this morning. If you do have any further questions, please don’t hesitate to call me at (202) 624-6129. Thanks, again, and have a great day. Operator This concludes our conference call for today. Thank you for participating. And all parties may disconnect now.

Forget The Groundhog: Sunny Skies So Far For Clean Energy Yieldcos

Summary Renewables Round-Up: This article focuses on select clean energy yield/total return companies that trade on the U.S. Exchanges. Performance has been strong over last couple of months, buoyed by recent, positive announcements from PEGI, ABY, NEP, NRG/NYLD, and TERP. President Obama’s 2016 Budget contains some encouraging proposals that, if enacted, would benefit clean energy companies. Waking up in NYC on Monday morning, nobody needed a groundhog to tell us spring’s not headed our way any time soon. But, for investors in the alternative energy/renewables stocks, it was more important to keep an eye on President Obama, and his focus on clean energy in the 2016 budget. While no one can predict what the broader markets will do, or whether specific proposals in the President’s plan will pass, bold statements about upping the budget for clean energy, permanently extending production and investment tax credits (PTCs and ITCs) for wind and solar, as well as calling for the repeal of $50 billion in tax subsidies to the fossil fuel industries, bodes well for alternative energy and renewable companies. And while performance may have been choppy in the past, based on recent performance, it seems investors have warmed to the “yield/total return cos,” a relatively new, dividend paying, subsector, formed from the spin-out of alternative energy/renewables assets of energy, utility, independent, or other infrastructure companies. Timing is Everything…. Looking at the six month chart (several, Abengoa Yield (NASDAQ: ABY ), NextEra Energy Partners (NYSE: NEP ), and TerraForm Power (NASDAQ: TERP ) only went public this summer)) of six clean energy, yield/total return company stocks that trade on U.S. exchanges, one might have mixed feelings. For example, referencing Figure 1, if you’d bought NEP or Brookfield Renewable Energy Partners (NYSE: BEP ), you’d probably be happy with your +17.1% and +12.0% return. But, if you’d opted instead for ABY or Pattern Energy (NASDAQ: PEGI ) during the same period, you be down, stuck with returns of -8.7% and -4.7%, respectively. Figure 1: Six Month Stock Price Performance of Select Clean Energy Yield/Total Return Companies – Source: Yahoo Finance (click to enlarge) What a Difference a Turkey Makes…. More recently, things have changed. So, if we now consider a two-month chart (after the Thanksgiving holiday), as painful a pun as this is, some would wish they’d “gobbled” up many of these names. As shown below, somewhere around mid-December, the stocks began to show more consistent improvement, with the two-month chart showing all companies up in the range between 4.5%-28.8%, versus the broader indices, which were down, -1.1 to -1.6%. And now, despite looking like laggards in the prior chart, ABY and PEGI, come in with some of the best performance over the two month period, up 28.8% and 17.5%, respectively. Figure 2: Two Month Stock Price Performance of Select Clean Energy Yield/Total Return Companies – Source: Yahoo Finance (click to enlarge) It’s Been a Happy New Year So Far! The good news seems to be continuing in January. Some examples include: January 20th, PEGI announced it will partner with Amazon Web Services (division of AMZN) to provide 150MW of wind power to help it achieve the goal of being 100% renewable. Although the project will be renamed “Amazon Web Services Wind Farm,” PEGI will maintain 100% ownership. PEGI further announced on January 28th, that it had taken a majority stake in Green Power Investment (Tokyo-based wind and solar provider), increasing its right of first offer (ROFO) pipeline by 1 GW. ABY announced the opening of its 280MW Mojave solar plant on January 23rd. Given the Mojave Desert is very attractive in terms of its solar power potential (and now, the plant is operational), and Japan represents the second largest solar market behind China, both announcements are positive for these yieldcos. Additionally, both companies also recently announcing public offerings. ABY closed a $285 million secondary for selling shareholder parent, Abengoa (NASDAQ: ABGB ), at $31 per share on January 22nd; on February 2nd, PEGI announced a $351 million common stock offering at $29.25, scheduled to close on February 9th. On January 27, NEP, along with parent company, NextEra (NYSE: NEE ) reported seeing ” stronger than expected demand for new renewables projects;” and “had one of our best years ever in originating new investment opportunities” in terms of contracted renewable projects. On January 28th, NRG Energy (NYSE: NRG ) announced it would work with SunShare to deliver one of the largest community solar projects to Denver. And TERP, along with parent SunEdison (NYSE: SUNE ), announced the closure of the First Wind transaction on January 29th. But Will They Break Our Hearts by Valentine’s Day? Let’s be honest – clean energy companies have not always been the easiest stocks to cuddle up with. In fact, depending upon your time frame and the stock(s) in question, you’re probably more likely to feel you’ve been on a rollercoaster, versus sailing through any tunnel of love. Specific to yieldcos, since debuting with the NRG Yield Co (NYSE: NYLD ) offering in July 2013, there have also been mixed feelings about complex structures, potential governance issues, as well as concerns related to the overall ability to continually find new projects to support dividends, etc. However, just like love, while these stocks may be fickle, there are reasons to believe investors might not get stood up this time. In addition to being an integral part of the clean energy solution, expecting to provide dividend yields in the range of 2-5%, and also having, largely, contracted revenue streams, these yieldcos should benefit from trends in global energy and electricity demand, more competitive pricing among renewable technologies, as well as renewed emphasis on clean energy associated with upcoming 2015 United Nations Climate Change events. Forget the Groundhogs – Focus on Obama’s Clean Energy Proposals While difficult to guess, particularly given the Republican-controlled Congress, how much of it might actually go through, President Obama unveiled his new 2016 budget on Monday, placing a high emphasis on addressing climate change and clean energy solutions. Raising the budget for clean technologies to $7.4 billion (up from $6.9 billion), the proposal also includes $4 billion in the form of a Clean Power State Initiative Fund, the purpose of which is to help states to adopt clean energy more rapidly. Seemingly intent on making clean energy a focal point over the next two years, President Obama also called for the permanent extension of both the PTCs and ITCs for wind and solar. Further, Obama’s proposal calls for the repeal of almost $50 billion in tax subsidies to the oil, gas, and coal industries. Although he has encouraged several of these points in prior budgets (like the repeal of fossil fuel subsidies which hasn’t gone through), the fact that he came out so strongly, combined with other recent positive announcements, should bode well for companies providing clean energy solutions. Hopefully, More to Come…. So, maybe Punxsutawney Phil didn’t brighten your week. But hopefully, some of the clean energy news (and bad holiday references made herein) made you smile! Although we may be stuck with six more weeks of winter,* it appears clean energy yieldco stocks have been seeing some sun recently. And based on what we’ve seen so far, if it continues, investors have the potential for some more Easter Eggs in their clean energy investment baskets! Note: For those not in the loop on groundhog forecasts, Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow on Monday, February 2 (Ground Hog Day); not really sure why that means six more weeks of winter, but thinking he’s probably right! (click to enlarge) Associated Press Photo -February 2, 2015 Disclaimer: The statements, views, or opinions expressed herein are my own, and should not be relied upon by anyone. While, hopefully, readers will find the discussion insightful and entertaining, the post is provided exclusively for your reading enjoyment. Although care was taken to do reasonable research when gathering information herein, and was believed to be accurate at the time, there is no representation made, or assurance given, that it is either comprehensive or accurate. Additionally, any comments from other respondents/posters are their own; I am neither responsible nor liable for their comments. If there are any issues with this post, please feel free to contact me, and I will try to address your concerns. Disclosure: The author has no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. (More…) The author wrote this article themselves, and it expresses their own opinions. The author is not receiving compensation for it. The author has no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Additional disclosure: I do own 200 shares in a related entity, Nextera Energy Capital Holdings Inc. Subordinated Debt, in an inherited beneficiary IRA account (NEE.PR.I).