Tag Archives: industry

Eversource Energy (ES) Thomas J. May on Q4 2015 Results – Earnings Call Transcript

Operator Welcome to the Eversource Energy Fourth Quarter Earnings Call. My name is John, and I’ll be our operator for today’s call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. Please note, the conference is being recorded. And I would now like to turn the call over to your host, Jeff Kotkin. Jeffrey R. Kotkin – Vice President-Investor Relations Thank you, John. Good morning and thank you for joining us. I’m Jeff Kotkin, Eversource Energy’s Vice President for Investor Relations. We posted slides last night on our website that we will reference during our remarks today. And as you can see on slide one, some of the statements made during this investor call may be forward-looking as defined within the meaning of the Safe Harbor provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are based on management’s current expectations and are subject to risk and uncertainty, which may cause the actual results to differ materially from forecasts and projections. Some of these factors are set forth in the news release issued yesterday. Additional information about the various factors that may cause actual results to differ can be found in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014 and our quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the three months ended September 30, 2015. Additionally, our explanation of how and why we use certain non-GAAP measures is contained within our news release and the slides we posted on our website under Presentations and Webcasts and in our most recent 10-K and 10-Q. Turning to slide two, speaking today will be Tom May, our Chairman, President and CEO; Lee Olivier, our Executive Vice President for Enterprise Energy Strategy and Business Development; and Jim Judge, our Executive Vice President and CFO. Also joining us today are Werner Schweiger, our Executive Vice President and COO; Phil Lembo, our Vice President and Treasurer; Jay Buth, our Vice President and Controller; and John Moreira, our Vice President of Financial Planning and Analysis. Now, I’ll turn over the call to Tom and slide three. Thomas J. May – Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer Good morning, everyone. I have the easy job this morning of making the introductions and let me start by saying surprise, surprise. We’ve had another great year. Jim, in a minute, will take you through all the numbers to explain that. And Lee will take you through the significant big capital projects that we have. And they will both report on great progress. So, we’re moving along quite nicely. One of the things that we have been focusing on for the last four years is customer service. Those of you that know me, I’m a nut about customer service. And I think that in 2016, operationally, we had the best ever year with record reliability, record number of customers we were able to connect into our gas system. And we think we did that at a time when the delivery part of our bills have been very, very stable. In 2016, we think we’re going to bring it to the next level. We’re focused on the customer touch points. We have successfully implemented a new outage management system throughout the three states so that, if you will, our order entry system is consistent for all 3.5 million of our customers. And with this technology, which has great connectivity between our customers and our electrical components, we’re going to be able to take it to the next level with a communication strategy that will let the customers know exactly what’s going on at all times with their system and their connections. We’re also going to be rolling out a new bill, new website, again, important interactions with the customer that we think are the key to our success long-term. For the region, as you know, it’s an exciting time in New England. We are in a very unique phase. I think just last week, Gordon van Wheelie, who runs ISO New England, made a great presentation to the business community, and its focus was the needs going forward. And critical, first thing that he addressed is the gas infrastructure needs, showed the difference between our pricing and New York and other regions in the winter timeframes when our gas infrastructure experiences constraints, and whether gas prices are high or gas prices are low, the differential is very significant. He also talked about the transmission system and the impacts that are going to be felt as we as a region meet our carbon reduction goals and move almost 35% or more than 35% of our fossil generation over the renewable generation. And so, exciting time and we’re right in the middle of that and we’ll talk more about that. And for investors, of course, you know that we work for you. The foundation for TSR, which we measure very carefully, is growing earnings per share and growing dividends. And that’s what we’ll talk to you about our ability to continue that as we go forward. And as we do that, we think we will provide attractive returns while maintaining the highest credit rating in the industry. If you flip to page four, my favorite slide in the deck, we continue to outperform our peers in the market over the long-term. Last year was kind of a flat year. We do believe we did better than the industry. And as you can see by the bottom chart, as long as we keep our dividends growing, and this week, we raised our dividend 6.6% or $0.11, and despite that, we still, as you know, have a very modest payout ratio. I won’t dwell on those numbers, although I do like to. The last slide I just would mention before I turn it over to Lee is page five. And we’re really quite proud of this. We’ve grown into a role as a regional leader. I referenced the recent ISO New England presentation that Gordon made and their view on the regional challenges. But what has been very interesting, and Lee is in the center of all this, is that as the largest player in New England, we seem to be the one that everybody comes to when they think they can help our customers in the region achieve our energy goals. And so, we’re working with several partners to help create the solutions that will bring us to the modern era, whether that’s the pipeline constraints that I mentioned. Again, we think we have the best project and the best partner in the form of Spectra Energy that allows us to use existing facilities that pass by every one of our most efficient new gas-fired units in New England. And with our plan, we’ll keep those units in the competitive queue each and every day of the winter. On the renewable energy side, we think we have – and there we’ll probably talk a little bit more about the three-state RFP, but as we look at that, we think we have really the only dispatchable project that can flow a substantial amount, no pun intended, of carbon-free energy into the region at the peak times that will, again, affect the pricing in the queue. Whether it’s the oil heat dependency that, in particular in Connecticut, is a key program in the Connecticut energy policy, we found this year that despite the fact that the gap between oil and gas shrunk considerably that people still want to convert. And we were able to convert about 11,000 customers last year. And I think we already converted 1,000 in January. So, the mild weather, while we don’t like it from a sales perspective, allows us to continue and get a lot of work done. And, of course, the forefront of everything in New England in terms of solving our energy problems and backing out carbon is energy efficiency. It’s the cheapest way to achieve our objective. We have award-winning EE programs. As this slide says, we spent $0.5 billion a year, but last year we actually exceeded our goals. Spent less, exceeded our megawatt hour goals and had our incentives. We exceeded our plan by about $5 million on the incentive side. So, we’re very proud of that. The bottom line is we want our customers to see us as the solution to their energy concerns. And that’s why it’s an exciting place to be, New England, and for us to be in the center of all this. And with that, I know you would like to hear more about the projects. Every time I’m in front of a group, they want to ask about Northern Pass or Access Northeast, and even my board is always interested in what’s going on with the projects. So with that, I’ll hand it over to Lee to give you more flavor on progress report on where we are with some of these stuff. Leon J. Olivier – EVP-Enterprise Energy Strategy and Business Development Okay. Thank you, Tom. I’ll provide you with brief update on our major investment initiatives and then turn the call over to Jim. Let’s start with Northern Pass and slide seven. In December, the Hampshire Site Evaluation Committee, or SEC, determined that our Northern Pass application is complete and commenced the formal review process. As part of that process, the SEC held five public information sessions on the project in January and will hold another round of public hearings later this quarter. Simultaneously, we continue to respond to questions about the project from the multiple state agencies that are participating in the review. As you can see from slide eight, we’re expecting the Hampshire SEC to vote on the Northern Pass, consistent with its current schedule, which concludes on December 19. In parallel, the U.S. Department of Energy will host a series of four public hearings on its draft Environmental Impact Statement or EIS on Northern Pass the week of March 7. Two of them will be held jointly with the New Hampshire Site Evaluation Committee. Written comments on the draft EIS are due to the DOE by April 4. We expect the DOE to finalize the EIS in the second half of this year and anticipate a Presidential Permit issue soon after than the Hampshire SEC process has concluded. That time table has not changed and we ensure that all relevant conditions of the SEC decision will be reflected in the Presidential Permit as well. We continue to feel very good about the review process on Northern Pass. We’re receiving strong support for the project both inside and outside of New Hampshire. At the first public information session last month in Franklin, New Hampshire, where the DC to AC converter station will be located, we received significant support from local leaders, the business community and labor representatives. In Massachusetts, Governor Baker said in his State of the State speech last month that increasing access to affordable hydroelectric power was the top priority of his administration. As Jim will discuss in his remarks, our new capital expenditure forecast reflects revised $1.6 billion of cost of the project we announced in October and also allows the vast majority of the construction to take place in 2017 and 2018. As you probably know, Northern Pass is one of two projects connected to Eversource that were bid into the joint state RFP. As shown on slide nine, the other project is the Clean Energy Connect. This project involves construction of the new 600 megawatt, 25 mile transmission line between a transmission substation we own in Hinsdale, Massachusetts and a transmission substation in Easton, New York State. This project will utilize a back-to-back HVDC converters to ensure deliverability into New England. We are developing it with Brookfield, and Iberdrola, and EDP Renewables. These partners already have a presence in New York. They’ve not been specific about the cost, but our share, which is entirely a transmission investment, will be more than $400 million. If approved as part of the RFP, we expect this project to be built in the 2018 through 2020 timeframe, and for our investment to earn returns consistent with FERC-regulated transmission investments. Each of the three states involved in the Clean Energy RFP; Massachusetts, Connecticut and Rhode Island will go through a process to select the winning bids and submit them to regulators for approval. The RFP schedule is on slide 10. As you can see, we expect contracts with the successful bidders to be executed by the end of the third quarter and for the contracts to be approved by the end of this year. We believe that the two projects we are jointly proposing represent the region’s best options for low-cost, firm, reliable and non-carbon emitting resources. Regarding Northern Pass, our bids into the RFP does not change in any respect the significant benefits this project will provide to the host state of New Hampshire. Our Forward New Hampshire plan remains in place. We anticipate $80 million per year in energy savings to New Hampshire, additional savings specific to New Hampshire as a result of a power purchase agreement with HQ, a commitment to hire New Hampshire workers first, a $200 million fund to support economic development and community initiatives, as well as other benefits. I’ll now turn to slide 11 and the Access Northeast project we plan to build with our partners, Spectra Energy and National Grid. To remind you, Access Northeast is a $3 billion project to upgrade the existing Algonquin pipeline and add 6.8 billion cubic feet of LNG storage in Acushnet, Massachusetts to bring firm gas supplies to power generators in New England. Our share of the Access Northeast project is 40% or $1.2 billion. FERC has accepted the pre-filing we made last year and we’re continuing to submit information on the project to FERC as part of that process. In January, FERC staff completed 13 open houses on the project in the region. We plan to make our formal application filing late this year to meet our initial in-service date of 2018. The project is designed to add 900 million cubic feet per day of natural gas supplies to serve the region’s power generators during cold winter periods. That will allow up to 5,000 additional megawatts of the region’s most efficient and low-cost units to remain online when winter temperatures drop, saving New England customers approximately $1.5 billion to $2 billion in a typical winter, and approximately $3 billion in an extreme winter such as 2013, 2014. The Access Northeast builds off the existing Algonquin footprint, which already touches 60% of the power generation in New England, a percentage that will grow as new proposed plans are built. The project allows direct last mile deliveries to the power plants to ensure greater reliability and cost benefits. The business models that the electric utility signed pipeline capacity contracts for up to 20 years with Access Northeast and then retain an independent capacity manager to market that capacity to generators. Without Access Northeast, those generators are frequently unable to run their units during cold weather when the region’s existing pipeline capacity is used primarily to heat homes and businesses. The large amount of new pipeline capacity is set aside to meet the needs of natural gas generators, we can depend less on more costly and higher-emitting coal and oil plants that typically run when the region’s natural gas supplies run shot. We have made significant progress in the past three months. The status of securing approval of contracts with the wind and electric distribution companies is on slide 12. Following an RFP this past fall that attracted a number of bids, NSTAR Electric and Western Mass Electric filed with the Massachusetts Department of Public Utilities in December seeking approval of contracts for pipeline and storage capacity with Access Northeast. The two utilities asked for a decision by October 1 of this year. The National Grid’s two Massachusetts electric distribution companies, Massachusetts Electric and Nantucket Electric, made a similar filing with the DPU on January 15. Once approved by the Department of Public Utilities, these contracts will account for nearly 45% of the Access Northeast targeted capacity. In Connecticut, the natural gas capacity RFP will be run the State Department of Energy and Environmental Protection, or DEEP. We expect this process to be complete later this year. In New Hampshire, the Public Utilities Commission issued an order on January 19 in which they accepted a staff report that concluded that the PUC had sufficient authority to approve electric distribution contracts for natural gas supplies if those contracts are shown to be in the customers’ interest. If the PUC Commission has agreed with the staff that they have sufficient authority to approve such agreements, they would then determine whether the specific contracts submitted were in the customers’ best interest. In Maine, where regulators have been engaged on the natural gas contracting issue for some time, bidders were given an opportunity to refresh their proposals in December. State regulators are scheduled to reach a decision on recommended solutions by mid-year. In Rhode Island, National Grid issued an RFP in November. At the same time, the Massachusetts electric distribution companies issued their RFP. We expect National Grid to make a decision and file in the coming months with Rhode Island. In the Vermont, the state has expressed support for additional natural gas infrastructure, but its level of participation has yet to be determined. We expect that the state processes will be concluded this fall so that we can file our formal application with FERC before the end of 2016. We continue to believe that Access Northeast offers an excellent near-term and long-term answer to the region’s intensifying winter energy supply challenges. Now, I’d like to turn the call over to Jim. James J. Judge – Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President Thank you, Lee, and I’d also like to thank you all for joining us this morning. Turning to slide 14, I’ll start by covering our financial and operating results for the fourth quarter and the year, our 2016 outlook and long-term EPS growth expectations through 2019, current regulatory developments in the absence of rate case activity for the next 12 to 18 months, and I’ll conclude with a brief overview of how we’ve delivered on the commitments that we made to investors in recent years. Let’s start with the fourth quarter. As you can see from slide 15, earnings, excluding integration costs, were $0.60 per share in the fourth quarter 2015 compared with earnings of $0.72 per share in the fourth quarter of last year. The $0.60 per share is consistent with the guidance that we gave on the third quarter earnings call and consistent with the updated Street estimates that have been published this year. Electric distribution and generation earnings declined by $0.07 per share to $0.28 per share in the fourth quarter 2015. Higher retail electric revenue, mostly due to the December 2014 Connecticut Light & Power distribution rate decision, added about $0.05 per share to earnings, but that impact was offset by higher property taxes and depreciation expense due to higher plant balances and higher amortization expense due to the amortization of CL&P’s deferred storm balance. Earnings for NSTAR Electric and Public Service in New Hampshire, which do not have revenue decoupling, were lower due to milder weather. Earnings in this segment were also lower due to a higher effective tax rate in the fourth quarter of 2015 compared with the same period last year. On the consolidated basis, our effective tax rate was approximately 39.4% in the fourth quarter of 2015 compared with 35.4% in the fourth quarter a year ago. The higher rate lowered consolidated earnings in the quarter by about $0.04 per share. As expected, transmission earnings were down $0.03 per share in the fourth quarter of 2015 due to the absence of the fourth quarter 2014 reversal of a reserve related to FERC’s review of the New England transmission ROEs. The historically mild temperatures this past December were the primary reason for a $13.2 million or $0.04 per share decline in our natural gas segment earnings. Lower natural gas revenues alone cost us $0.03 per share, despite having 2% more heating customers in the fourth quarter of 2015. Average temperatures in Boston and Hartford were 10 to 12 degrees warmer than average in December. As a result, our firm natural gas sales were down 16% in the fourth quarter of 2015 compared with a fairly mild fourth quarter of 2014. Parent and other improved by $0.02 per share compared with the fourth quarter of 2014. I’ll now turn to full year results. Excluding integration charges, we earned $2.81 per share this year compared with $2.65 in 2014. 2015 results were consistent with our guidance of $2.80 to $2.85 per share and also consistent with recently updated Street estimates. As you can see in the news release, the most significant driver of earnings growth in 2015 was higher electric revenue, which added $0.39 per share to our results compared with last year. The primary driver was approximately $150 million distribution rate increase for Connecticut Light & Power. We also benefited from a 0.3% increase in retail electric sales. Those higher revenues were offset in part by higher property taxes, depreciation and the CL&P storm amortization expense in 2015. Higher electric transmission earnings also contributed to improved year end results. Our transmission segment earned $0.96 per share in 2015 compared with $0.93 in 2014, benefiting in part from a higher level of investment in the business. As a result of our robust capital program, our transmission rate base was approximately $5.2 billion at the end of 2015 compared with $4.9 billion at the end of 2014. Those benefits were partially offset by FERC’s decision last year to lower the base transmission ROE in New England to 10.57% from the previous 11.14% and to cap our ROEs on any reliability project, regardless of previously approved incentives at 11.74%. As we’ve said in the past, those changes have reduced our effective transmission ROE, including incentives, to approximately 11.5%. Turning to our natural gas distribution business, after a very strong start, our year end 2015 results were almost identical to those that we recorded in 2014. For the year, due to the warm fourth quarter, firm natural gas sales were down 1% after being up 8.4% in the first quarter of 2015. On a weather-normalized basis, sales rose 2.5% for the year. Parent and other results were down $0.01 for the year. Two other items worth mentioning in 2015 were the benefits of lower O&M and the negative impact of a higher effective tax rate. Lower non-tracked O&M added $0.08 to earnings in 2015. This follows a $0.23 per share benefit in 2014 and a $0.05 per share benefit in 2013. Altogether, we have reduced our O&M by about $250 million since the merger closed in 2012. Offsetting much of that benefit was a higher effective tax rate in 2015, which lowered earnings by about $0.06 per share as compared with the previous year. So, in spite of the warm fourth quarter, we were still able to grow earnings for the year by $0.16 per share or 6% in 2015. Turning from the financial slide to operations, as you can see on slide 16, our key reliability statistics have dramatically improved and are record levels, as Tom mentioned. Since 2011, the number of months between interruptions and the speed of restoration when outages do occur have both improved by about 40%. We are well up in the top quartile of our peers, so very proud of this accomplishment. This closes our 2015 discussion. Let’s move on to 2016. On slide 17, you can see we’ve established an earnings per share range of $2.90 to $3.05 this year. The biggest year-over-year benefit will come from growth of our transmission rate base. The second biggest positive driver will be the natural gas segment. We expect that segment to benefit from a continued increase in natural gas heating customers, various capital initiatives for which we have trackers, and a $15.8 million base rate increase that was effective at NSTAR Gas on January 1 of this year. Other drivers include lower O&M. In the first quarter of this year, we will migrate our legacy payroll and benefits system to a single IT platform, which we’ve already done with our accounting and our outage management systems. Consolidating to a single system is expected to significantly improve efficiency and lower cost in the future. Offsetting these benefits are continued increases in depreciation, property taxes and modestly higher interest costs, reflecting continued investment in our distribution systems. From 2016, let’s turn to the longer term in slide 18. We estimate that we can grow earnings per share by 5% to 7% annually over the 2015 to 2019 forecast period. This compares with our previous growth rate of 6% to 8% for the 2014 to 2018 period. Nearly all of that change is attributable to the five-year extension of bonus depreciation for tax purposes recently passed by Congress. We estimate that bonus depreciation alone is lowering our growth rate by approximately 1%. Components of the 5% to 7% growth are similar to what has driven the 7.2% annual earnings growth since our 2012 merger. We’ve also noted our key assumptions about major projects, which include the completion of Northern Pass in 2019 and the construction of Access Northeast in 2018 and 2019. Because significant Access Northeast construction is expected to continue beyond our forecast period, we anticipate that it’ll contribute to earnings growth in both 2020 and 2021 as well. Electric transmission capital expenditures and rate base growth are the primary drivers of our attractive earnings growth projection. Turning to slide 19, you can see that capital expenditure projections are up significantly from the forecast we showed you a year ago. To begin, I should note that our transmission capital expenditures totaled $807 million in 2015. That’s about $67 million above our projection at this time last year. We now show nearly $5 billion of electric transmission investment from 2015 through 2019. As we do every year, we have again identified transmission investments that we didn’t have in the plan one year ago. We’ve added about $800 million of new investment, $200 million of that increase involves our previously announced increase in the Northern Pass project. We are projecting transmission capital expenditures of $911 million in 2016, $880 million of which will be spent on reliability related transmission projects at our four regulated electric companies. Two of the largest initiatives, the Greater Boston and Greater Hartford projects, involve dozens of individual projects and are described more fully in the transmission slides in our Appendix. Those expenditures are helping to drive the significant improvements in reliability and transmission earnings growth in 2016. You can see that we expect little capital spending on Northern Pass in 2016, but considerable expenditures in 2017 and 2018, consistent with the schedule that Lee gave you earlier. These capital expenditure projections do not reflect our spending on the Clean Energy Connect project Lee discussed earlier, which we expect to contribute to earnings growth from 2018 to 2021. We continue to work on both Clean Energy Connect and other potential projects that we expect to be approved. As a result, the arrow on the slides shows that we do not expect a significant decline in transmission spending in 2019, but we have not included all of the potential projects that are likely to be built that year. Because we are in a competitive bidding process, we are not providing a total cost of the Clean Energy Connect project or a year-by-year estimate for capital expenditures. We hope to provide that to you should the project be selected. Let’s turn to slide 20. On the left-hand side, this slide shows our capital program, excluding both Access Northeast and Clean Energy Connect. From 2016 through 2019, we expect to invest $9.2 billion in New England’s energy infrastructure, including $3.9 billion in transmission that I mentioned earlier. You can see that electric and natural gas distribution capital totaled about $1.2 billion every year during that period. A slide in the appendix shows that investments in our natural gas delivery system will comprise a rising percentage of that investment. On the right-hand side, we have estimated the pace of our $1.2 billion projected investment in the Access Northeast project, which costs a total of $3 billion. Our FERC application indicates that elements of Access Northeast will be phased into service between late 2018 and 2021. On slide 21, we illustrate how the composition of our rate base is expected to change by the end of 2019. About $2.5 billion of the $3.6 billion of rate base growth over the next four years is expected to come from electric transmission. By the end of 2019, we expect that electric transmission will comprise 42% of our total rate base. And if our Access Northeast and Clean Energy Connect investments were included, it puts us at nearly 50% FERC-regulated company by the end of 2019. We believe that this rising percentage of FERC investments will result in an increasing ROE for Eversource Energy as a whole. Slide 22 shows various initiatives that we expect to continue beyond our current four-year forecast. As I said earlier, we expect significant expenditures on Access Northeast, Clean Energy Connect and other projects we’re working on. We also expect continued work on modernizing the electric grid in Massachusetts, assuming our $430 million five-year plan and capital tracker are approved by the state regulators we expect later this year. A lot of initiatives are primarily tied to growing our natural gas distribution business. Turning to slide 23, you can see that despite declining oil prices, we added 11,415 new natural gas customers in 2015. This is about 7.5% ahead of 2014 and 4% ahead of our target for the year. The slide shows that we expect new heating customer growth to continue to accelerate over our forecast period and eventually reach about 16,000 per year, significantly aided by legislatively-endorsed initiatives in both Connecticut and Massachusetts. In 2016, we’re projecting approximately 12,500 new natural gas heating customers, and Tom mentioned that one month into the year we’re on plan. Slide 24 reviews two important regulatory items that are currently pending. Hearings on the divestiture of our New Hampshire generation fleet were completed this week and we expect a decision within the next two months. Last week, a settlement was filed with certain advisory staff at the New Hampshire PUC, who had earlier supported a delay to the sale. They now support near-term divestiture. Should the New Hampshire PUC authorize the divestiture, we expect the sale process and securitization to be completed later this year and early next year. As a reminder, we expect full recovery of approximately $700 million invested in New Hampshire generation by early 2017. In December, the FERC Administrative Law Judge handling the second and third New England transmission ROE complaints requested some additional briefing on an aspect of the second complaint. So an initial recommendation by that ALJ was delayed from December 2015 to the end of March 2016. Because of that three month delay by the ALJ, we now expect to receive a decision from FERC on the two complaints in either late 2016 or early 2017. As you can see on slide 25, we have no general rate cases currently pending for any of our six regulated distribution utilities. And while we do expect rate case activity next year, we expect that any decisions would not impact our financial results until the end of 2017 or early 2018. So we have very good visibility into our distribution company results for the next two years. Turning to this year’s financing calendar, 2016 is likely to be similar to last year. One benefit of bonus depreciation, of course, is that it lowers our cash tax obligation. In 2016, we will receive an estimated $250 million to $300 million in refunds from taxes paid in 2015. Additionally, we expect our cash tax liability for 2016 to be lowered by approximately $300 million as well. In 2017, bonus depreciation is estimated to lower our cash tax obligation by another $300 million. Slide 26 shows the current distribution of S&P’s electric utility credit ratings, with Eversource as the only A-rated parent company as a result of our upgrade last year. We’ve also noted on the slide several positive outlooks on other subsidiaries at both Fitch and Moody’s. Slide 27 shows the relative price performance of Eversource’s shares versus the S&P 500 and the UTY, since our merger was announced more than four years ago. We’re very proud of our total shareholder return, as well as our strong credit ratings. We strongly believe that financial strength and attractive shareholder returns can certainly both coexist and do at Eversource. Slide 28 sums up what we have delivered to customers, policymakers and investors over the past four years. We committed that we’d exceed industry earnings per share and dividend growth rates and we delivered with growth rates that are two times the industry average for three years. We targeted O&M reductions of 3% to 4% and we achieved 5% per year for three years on average. We said we’d maintain the strong financial condition. We’ve done better than maintain. Three upgrades since the merger announcement has us with the only single A credit in our industry. We committed to top-tier service and reliability, a 40% improvement in reliability has us now consistently in the top-quartile of our peers. We committed to grow and leverage our transmission and gas business. This morning, we’ve discussed the great portfolio of projects that will continue that great growth. And finally, advancing energy policy in the region, our Access Northeast project, Northern Pass and Clean Energy Connect are game changers, cost effectively advancing the region’s carbon reduction agenda effectively. Eversource continues to be a very attractive offering for investors and we’re confident it will continue to be in the years ahead. Now, I’ll turn the call back to Jeff. Jeffrey R. Kotkin – Vice President-Investor Relations Thank you, Jim. And I’m going to turn the call back to John just to remind you how to enter questions. John? Question-and-Answer Session Operator Thank you. We’ll now begin the question-and-answer session. Jeffrey R. Kotkin – Vice President-Investor Relations All right. Thank you, John. First question this morning is from Greg Gordon from Evercore ISI. Good morning, Greg. Greg Gordon – Evercore ISI Good morning, guys. So, this whole bonus depreciation thing is a high-class problem, obviously significantly increases the cash flow even though it’s a bit dilutive to rate base growth. But I’m just wondering, you said that the vast majority of the reduction in the growth rate is due to bonus and yet you’ve also significantly increased your capital expenditure budget, so, algebraically, that means that the overall growth rate is more than 1% lower before the offset of the higher capital plan. So, is bonus, in fact, the sole driver of that or are there other factors? James J. Judge – Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President No. I would say that bonus is the sole driver of it. The numbers that I mentioned, Greg, $300 million a year, obviously the pancaking impact of that, when you look at 2015, 2016, 2017 and beyond, has a significant impact on our cumulative deferred income taxes, and we’re obviously a purely regulated T&D company. So, it does impact our ability to earn. And I’ve seen a number of estimates out there where companies have – analysts have estimated that it’s about a 1% increase on a company – decrease on a company like Eversource. I would tell you this that, as you well know, that we have a long track record, Tom and I, 20 years of delivering on guidance either meeting or exceeding it. And the other thing that I’ve mention is we tend to provide data to the Street, forecasted data, capital expenditure data, that ties out to the dollar to projects that we have in the queue. So, we have obviously updated the forecast for the projects that we have and the impact has been of a 5% to 7% growth rate is a better guidance for Wall Street, a more credible guidance than the 6% to 8% that we had previously. That being said, I’ll tell you that a year ago, we didn’t provide capital expenditure numbers for Access Northeast and look how long that project – how far along that project has come. Three months ago at our third quarter call, we didn’t provide any guidance. Clean Energy Connect wasn’t even mentioned as a project and we now have that before the regulator to be approved. So, we tend to find projects going forward. We don’t put them into our plan until they’re real. So, I think we have a very credible 5% to 7%, with some upside going forward. Greg Gordon – Evercore ISI Yeah. I agree. One last question. Are you electing to take bonus on Northern Pass, or are you going to choose to not take bonus on that particular project? James J. Judge – Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President We have customers paying for it and it’s largely a FERC type of formula and cost recovery mechanism. So, we would expect the benefits of bonus depreciation to be shared with customers. Greg Gordon – Evercore ISI Okay. Thank you, guys. Have a good morning. Jeffrey R. Kotkin – Vice President-Investor Relations Yeah. Thanks, Greg. Next question is from Dan Eggers from Credit Suisse. Good morning, Dan. Daniel L. Eggers – Credit Suisse Securities ( USA ) LLC (Broker) Hey. Good morning, guys. Just following up on Greg’s question on the bonus depreciation side. You think about in 2016 and 2017, you’ll bring in about $900 million of bonus cash and then you’ve got the proceeds from the New Hampshire sale or securitization coming in probably early 2017. How are you guys thinking about kind of using that incremental pile of cash relative to old expectations where you didn’t need equity without having that cash coming? James J. Judge – Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President Well, we still don’t need equity. And that’s obviously cash that can be redeployed towards projects. That’s capital. That’s shareholder capital. And if it turns out that we can’t redeploy it towards new projects, we certainly would consider giving it back to shareholders in the form of increased dividends or more effectively through a share buyback, if need be. Daniel L. Eggers – Credit Suisse Securities ( USA ) LLC (Broker) I mean, I guess, how are you accounting for that extra cash in the growth rate? Are you assuming that it kind of accumulates on the balance sheet or is that – is there some redeployment assumption in the underlying growth rate? James J. Judge – Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President In the underlying growth rate, we actually are very, very cash strong. And so, again, absent another project to invest it in, we assume a share buyback would be the best application of it. Daniel L. Eggers – Credit Suisse Securities ( USA ) LLC (Broker) Okay. And I guess, Tom, the merger has been very successful for you, guys. You’ve executed on what you had laid out when you did the deal, had a very convenient name change along the way. How do you think about M&A at this juncture? And given your success thus far, is this something you could take on the road again? Thomas J. May – Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer We have a very strong company. We are also in a very exciting place in New England. You get a sense of what – you have a sense of what we’re telling you and you don’t a sense it’s on our to-do list, but there is a lot happening in New England and it’s pretty exciting. And that’s why, as Jim said, we’ll have fun with capital allocations. We hope there are more and more projects to deploy our excess capital in, but if not, we’re very flexible and we’re very shareholder-oriented. On the M&A side, I’ll just say that we’ve always been big believers that consolidation in our industry makes sense. However, we have also been very selective with respect to what makes sense for our shareholders and for our customers. And we do believe that, and I think we’ve proved it over the years that you can actually spend less money operating a business and provide world-class service and improve service along the way by using size and scale and technology. But things are pretty overheated right now. We do believe that you go through ebbs and flows. There’ll be opportunities. Right now, we’re focused on executing the plan we put in front of you. Daniel L. Eggers – Credit Suisse Securities ( USA ) LLC (Broker) Got it. Thank you, guys. Jeffrey R. Kotkin – Vice President-Investor Relations Thanks, Dan. Our next question is from Julien Dumoulin-Smith from UBS. Good morning, Julien. Julien Dumoulin-Smith – UBS Securities LLC Good morning. Can you hear me? Jeffrey R. Kotkin – Vice President-Investor Relations Yeah, absolutely. Thomas J. May – Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer Yeah. Julien Dumoulin-Smith – UBS Securities LLC Excellent. So, I wanted to dig in a little bit more on the Clean Energy Connect. Admittedly, I know it might be challenging. But first, just to get a sense, is this connected to firm renewables back in New York? Just could you talk about the project a little bit just in terms of how we should think about it? And then on the financials, if you can elaborate, is it accruing AFUDC, whatever construct you’ve devised with your partners? And then in terms of the return, would it be fair to continue to say, this is a FERC like return on a typical equity ratios we think about, at least preliminarily the $400 million you’ve contemplated? Leon J. Olivier – EVP-Enterprise Energy Strategy and Business Development Yeah, Julien. This is Lee Olivier. Yeah, in regards to the project itself, it really is designed around getting existing run-of-river renewable plans that are in place in New York and building new wind, and as you can see from our partners from Iberdrola, EDP would build new wind. And getting that combined power, so you can firm up the wind with the hydropower such that when you have a transmission line going into New England, you have 100% deliverability into the region and you have very, very high capacity factors of utilization across that line to the extent of 80% to 90% utilization. It would accrue AFUDC and it would garner FERC-like returns. Julien Dumoulin-Smith – UBS Securities LLC Got it. All right. Excellent. And then just turning over to the conversions – the oil conversion side of the equation, I’d just be curious, you talked about continued strength, particularly on the back of your reasonable winter thus far, moderate, shall we say, but what’s the normalized trend of late? I’d be curious, given how low oil prices are of late, is there something to be concerned about as we think about a more normalized weather pattern for the next 2016, 2017 winter that we should be thinking about a slowdown at all? James J. Judge – Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President No. I mean, the forecast that we’ve provided on slide 23, we continue to be comfortable with. If you look at each of the years, 2013, 2014, and 2015, we exceeded the targets that we have provided. And even given the dramatic reduction in oil prices that existed for most of 2015, we have great opportunity, primarily because of a lack of penetration down in Connecticut. It’s significantly underpenetrated and we feel pretty good about our target for 2016 and achieving it as well. Julien Dumoulin-Smith – UBS Securities LLC So, perhaps said differently, the penetration level was such that there are still clear economic benefits for customers to continue to switch at the same pace they have, or at least you’re confident in the ability to garner the same conversion pace that you have historically? James J. Judge – Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President I think the payback for a conversion is more challenging than it was a year or two ago, but we’ve got some more aggressive marketing and the carbon benefits of gas versus oil are compelling to customers as well. So, I’m not going to suggest that it’s not more challenging than it was a year or two ago, but we still feel pretty good about our ability to execute. Thomas J. May – Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer It’s interesting. Anything is new construction anywhere on our territory. They want natural gas for heating. It actually adds value to the house. There are studies that shown that the houses are selling for $10,000 or $20,000 more, if instead of having an old oil tank on your property, you have a pipe that without trucks pulling up and down your street. But we’re seeing lots of communities that are actually encouraging us to come in and help them reduce their carbon footprint. We call it the three Ps. They don’t require us to make permit fees. They don’t require us to have police details, and what’s – on paving. They don’t make us pave curb to curb. Typically when you go in and cut a street to put a pipe down in for a neighborhood, they want you to pave curb to curb. They’ll say, hey, we’ll let you patch that cut and therefore reduce the price to come in and bring this gas to our neighbor. So, interestingly, the demand is still there, but as you say, the payback for a customer is quite different and therefore, you have to find different ways to turn it into a monthly payment rather than a big lump sum. Julien Dumoulin-Smith – UBS Securities LLC And then last, a quick clarification, is the 5% to 7%, the Clean Energy Connect, is it in there and how do you think about it? James J. Judge – Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President It is in there, but again, the CapEx spend there is $18 million to $21 million. So, it doesn’t move the dial much one way or another. It’s a small piece of the financials out in 2018, 2019. Julien Dumoulin-Smith – UBS Securities LLC Fair enough. Thank you. Jeffrey R. Kotkin – Vice President-Investor Relations Thanks, Julien. Next question is from Travis Miller from Morningstar. Good morning, Travis. Travis Miller – Morningstar Research Good morning. Thank you. I was wondering as we talk more about these renewables, they look three to five years out, obviously you have a lot of transmission spend opportunity. So I was wondering if you could elaborate on potential upside for the distribution side of the electric. Distribution side, is there upside in your plan? Is there additional in terms of integrating all of that renewable energy that will come in through the transmission projects? James J. Judge – Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President Sure. Travis, this is Jim. We mentioned that we spend about $1.2 billion a year on the distribution system, that’s gas and electric, but in particular, we have a slide that references this grid modernization plan. It’s $430 million of spending over the next five years. Included in there is advanced sensing technology, a next generation fault circuit indications, and those sorts of things, but a good part of the spend there has to do with making it easier for distributed resources to be tapped into the system and provided for. So, that’s a filing that’s before the regulator in Massachusetts currently and we expect the plan to be approved later this year. Travis Miller – Morningstar Research Okay. That’s all I had. Thank you. Jeffrey R. Kotkin – Vice President-Investor Relations Thanks, Travis. Our next question is from Shar Pourreza from Guggenheim. Good morning, Shar. Shahriar Pourreza – Guggenheim Partners Hey, Jeff. Hey. Good morning, everyone. Thomas J. May – Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer Good morning. Shahriar Pourreza – Guggenheim Partners So just real quick question on the growth. So, you kind of had the regulatory mechanisms at the utilities and you sort of assume Northern Pass and Access Northeast are on schedule. So, what’s sort of the driver to get you to the top end or exceed your updated growth trajectory, or sort of how should we think about the bottom or top end of that range? James J. Judge – Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President Well, what I would say, Shar, is that, obviously, if all the projects go forward as planned, we would be higher in that 5% to 7% range, but I do think that we have some flexibility in that range, such that if one of the projects didn’t go forward, I think we’d still be able to achieve the lower end of that range. Shahriar Pourreza – Guggenheim Partners Okay. Got it. So if your projects are on schedule, you can essentially hit the mid-point of your old range? James J. Judge – Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President Or beyond. Shahriar Pourreza – Guggenheim Partners Excellent. Thanks. Jeffrey R. Kotkin – Vice President-Investor Relations Thanks, Shar. Next question’s from Mike Lapides from Goldman. Good morning, Mike. Michael Lapides – Goldman Sachs & Co. Hey, guys. Good morning. A couple of housekeeping-related questions. First of all, in 2016 guidance, what are you assuming for O&M cost management on controllable O&M? James J. Judge – Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President Michael, this is Jim. We are basically providing estimates of 2% to 3% long-term and there’ll be some variability year-to-year. We’re not giving a spot-specific number for 2016, but you’ve seen our performance to-date and you can assume that that 2% to 3%, you can take to the bank. Michael Lapides – Goldman Sachs & Co. Well, I mean, actually, you’ve done a really good job of just completely blowing right past that 2% to 3% a year in the first couple of years post-merger. Just trying to get my arms around what would drive a fundamental slowdown in the O&M cost savings or are you just being a little bit on the conservative side about your ability to manage cost structure post-merger? James J. Judge – Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President Well, we’ve been giving guidance historically of 3% to 4% and we’ve exceeded it. So 2% to 3%, I guess, reflects a little bit of a slowdown, but we do see ample opportunity. Eventually, you go from merger synergies, which I think we’ve largely achieved, into achieving savings just by good cost discipline across the organization. And that’s the phase that we’re in now. Tom and I mentioned some of the IT system conversions that are taking place currently that will fuel savings going forward. And our operations area, the standardization that takes place is assured to provide us some additional savings. So we feel good about it, but obviously the 2% to 3% is an indication that it has tempered a little bit from what we’ve got the first few years. Michael Lapides – Goldman Sachs & Co. Got it. And can you frame for us a little bit just the difference in the second and third FERC ROE complaints relative to the one that already lowered your ROE? And if so, what’s kind of the – if complainants get what they ask for or if staff gets what they’re kind of nodding towards? What the impact on earnings power and the growth rate would be? James J. Judge – Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President Well, the filings that we’ve made, the initial briefs that were filed and updated at FERC, the position of the New England transmissions owners is that, if you do the math, similar to what was done by FERC in complaint number one, that the ROE would be 10.24%. And if you did the math the same way for complaint number three, it will be 10.9%. If you average those two, you get to where we at currently, 10.57%. So, we would expect and hope that FERC would realize that there hasn’t been a dramatic change in what they approved over a year ago in terms of a base ROE. The same logic applies on the cap as well. The 11.74% sits well within what the math would show from applying the new methodology at FERC to the timeframes that were considered for complaint two or three. Obviously, there’s a series of conflicting testimony, I guess, from the consumer advocates groups and from FERC staff that would have slightly lower numbers, but we feel pretty good about our prospects in terms of the case that were presented. Michael Lapides – Goldman Sachs & Co. Got it. Thanks, guys. Much appreciated and congrats on a good year. Jeffrey R. Kotkin – Vice President-Investor Relations Thanks, Michael. Next question’s from Praful Mehta from Citi. Good morning, Praful. Praful Mehta – Citigroup Global Markets, Inc. (Broker) Good morning. Hi, guys. So, I just had two quick questions. One was on Northern Pass. And just want to understand, if there were delays in the Northern Pass, CapEx plan and implementation, are there other levers to fill the hole in terms of EPS, or is there going to be an impact to EPS, as you see it today? James J. Judge – Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President Yeah. This is Jim, Praful. As I mentioned, we come up with projects that we don’t even have on the drawing board. We’re looking at other projects currently. And you’re asking me if Northern Pass, the $1.6 billion, was significantly delayed, what would we backfill it with? I would assume that by the time we get out to 2017, 2018 and 2019, there will be new projects, but right now, they have not been defined. I haven’t reached the stage where we would include them in our plan. Praful Mehta – Citigroup Global Markets, Inc. (Broker) Fair enough. Got it. And secondly, in terms of capital allocation, you’ve talked about excess the cash that you have, the bonus depreciation, and one of the options could be share buybacks. From a timing perspective, how do you see that decision playing out? Do you kind of wait and see if you have new projects in 2016, 2017? And if you don’t, and if you have excess cash, you do the buyback? I’m just trying to figure out how does that sequence of events go and when does that decision take place to actually do buybacks. James J. Judge – Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President Yeah. We will look at that on a year-to-year basis. Obviously, we have not announced a share buyback. We don’t anticipate one in 2016. We think we have potential application of this excess cash in years beyond that. But if we don’t, it’s clearly capital that deservedly would go back to shareholders and we consider a share buyback, but it’s basically a year-to-year decision. Praful Mehta – Citigroup Global Markets, Inc. (Broker) Got you. Thank you, guys. Jeffrey R. Kotkin – Vice President-Investor Relations Thank you. Our next question’s from Steve Fleishman from Wolfe. Good morning, Steve. Steve Fleishman – Wolfe Research LLC Hi. Good morning. Just briefly in the context of the bonus depreciation and the plan that you’re giving us, maybe you could just talk about how the balance sheet or cash flow metrics look under this plan as it is versus maybe you had before to kind of fill in the whole picture. James J. Judge – Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President Well, we certainly think that the cash flow numbers improved, given the bonus depreciation, the lack of tax payments that need to be made. We fully expect to maintain the strong single-A credit that we have achieved to-date. So, I think the credit metrics would reflect that. Steve Fleishman – Wolfe Research LLC Okay. Thank you. Jeffrey R. Kotkin – Vice President-Investor Relations All right. Thanks, Steve. We don’t have any more questions this morning, so we want to thank you very much for joining us. If you have any follow-up questions, please give us a call. Thanks and enjoy the rest of the winter. We’ll see you at a couple of the conferences. Operator Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. That concludes today’s conference. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect. Copyright policy: All transcripts on this site are the copyright of Seeking Alpha. However, we view them as an important resource for bloggers and journalists, and are excited to contribute to the democratization of financial information on the Internet. (Until now investors have had to pay thousands of dollars in subscription fees for transcripts.) So our reproduction policy is as follows: You may quote up to 400 words of any transcript on the condition that you attribute the transcript to Seeking Alpha and either link to the original transcript or to www.SeekingAlpha.com. All other use is prohibited. THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HERE IS A TEXTUAL REPRESENTATION OF THE APPLICABLE COMPANY’S CONFERENCE CALL, CONFERENCE PRESENTATION OR OTHER AUDIO PRESENTATION, AND WHILE EFFORTS ARE MADE TO PROVIDE AN ACCURATE TRANSCRIPTION, THERE MAY BE MATERIAL ERRORS, OMISSIONS, OR INACCURACIES IN THE REPORTING OF THE SUBSTANCE OF THE AUDIO PRESENTATIONS. IN NO WAY DOES SEEKING ALPHA ASSUME ANY RESPONSIBILITY FOR ANY INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISIONS MADE BASED UPON THE INFORMATION PROVIDED ON THIS WEB SITE OR IN ANY TRANSCRIPT. USERS ARE ADVISED TO REVIEW THE APPLICABLE COMPANY’S AUDIO PRESENTATION ITSELF AND THE APPLICABLE COMPANY’S SEC FILINGS BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISIONS. If you have any additional questions about our online transcripts, please contact us at: transcripts@seekingalpha.com . Thank you!

Black Hills’ (BKH) CEO David Emery on Q4 2015 Results – Earnings Call Transcript

Operator Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Black Hills Corporation Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2015 Earning Conference Call. My name is Kat and I will be your coordinator for today. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Following the prepared remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes. I would now like to turn the presentation over to Mr. Jerome Nichols, Director of Investor Relations of Black Hills Corporation. Please proceed, sir. Jerome Nichols Thank you, Kat. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to Black Hills Corporation’s fourth quarter and full-year 2015 earnings conference call. Leading our quarterly earnings discussion today are David Emery, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Rich Kinzley, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. During our earnings discussion today, some of the comments we make may contain forward-looking statements as defined by the Securities and Exchange Commission and there are a number of uncertainties inherent in such comments. Although we believe that our expectations and beliefs are based on reasonable assumptions, actual results may differ materially. We direct you to our earnings release, Slide 2 of the investor presentation on our website and our most recent Form 10-K, Form 10-Q, and other documents filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission for a list of some of the factors that could cause future results to differ materially from our expectations. I will now turn the call over to David Emery. David Emery Thank you, Jerome, and good morning, everyone. Thanks for participating in the call this morning. I will be following along here on the webcast presentation deck for those of you who have it. Starting on Page 3, we will follow a similar agenda to previous quarters. I’ll give a quick update on highlights of the quarter. Rich Kinzley will cover the financial update, and then I’ll jump back in for forward strategy before we take questions from all of you. Moving on to Slide 5, fourth quarter highlights, we had a real solid fourth quarter despite the fact that we had mild weather for our gas utility territories and a continued decline in crude oil and natural gas prices, which affected our oil and gas results. During the quarter, we made great progress on several key growth initiatives, including our pending acquisition of SourceGas. Related to SourceGas, we received regulatory approvals now in three states; Arkansas, Nebraska, and Wyoming. And our closing will occur as soon as we receive approval in the state of Colorado. We still expect to close sometime during the first quarter. We’ve also recently completed our permanent financing on both the debt and the equity needed to close the transaction, so we’re ready from our finance standpoint. We still have several teams working on detailed integration activity. We expect to be fully integrated all systems and processes by year-end 2016, assuming we get closed by the end of the first quarter. Moving on to Slide 6, utility highlights for the quarter, Black Hills Power received final approval from the Wyoming Public Service Commission to begin construction on the first segment of our new 144-mile transmission line that will go from northeastern Wyoming to Rapid City, South Dakota. We expect to start construction in February and have that line completed ad in-service by year end. At Cheyenne Light in Wyoming, we recorded a new winter peak load of 202 megawatts on December 28, 5 megawatts higher than the previous winter peak set the year before. At our Colorado Electric subsidiary, we received approval in October to purchase the $109 million 60-megawatt Peak View Wind project. That project will be built by a third-party wind developer and we’ve executed a build transfer agreement with them, and we’ll take over as soon as the project is in-service, which is expected at year end. At Colorado Electric, we also continued construction on our new $65 million, 40-megawatt simple cycle gas turbine, which we’re adding to the Pueblo Airport Generating Station. We expect that turbine also be in service by year end. Moving on to Slide 7, Non-regulated Energy and corporate highlights for the quarter. On the Non-regulated Energy side, we initiated process during the quarter to explore the sale of a minority interest in our Colorado IPP 200-megawatt combined cycle units at the Pueblo Airport Generating Station. That process is ongoing, and we expect to make a decision related to that potential sale in the first quarter. We also completed our 2014, 2015 Mancos formation shale gas drilling program in the Southern Piceance Basin to prove up, the extent to that resource. We drilled, completed and tested and now have on production nine wells. We have four additional wells that we drilled and cased. We deferred the completion activities on those four wells, because we have a limited amount of gas processing capacity out of the area and we won’t need them probably call, at least, next year to fill the plant capacity. Overall, the results of the drilling program exceeded our expectation, so we’re quite pleased with the results there. On the corporate side, last week, our Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.42 a share, that’s equivalent to an annual dividend rate of $1.68. The increase to $0.42 represents the 46th consecutive annual increase in dividends to shareholder. During the quarter, we also entered into $400 million of interest rate swaps to mitigate interest rate risk associated with the future debt refinancing activity, we expect in late 2016 and early 2017. Moving on to Slide 8, this just simply provides a reconciliation of fourth quarter income from continuing operations as adjusted, the fourth quarter 2014 results. Strong performance at our Electric Utilities and Power Generation segments nearly made up for the negative weather impacts at our gas utilities and the low crude oil and natural gas prices that are oil and gas subsidiary that I mentioned earlier. Slide 9 provides a similar reconciliation for full-year 2015 versus full-year 2014. Again, despite the challenges, we’re still able to post an increase in net income as adjusted. Now, I’ll turn it over to Rich Kinzley to talk about the financials for the quarter and the year. Rich? Richard Kinzley All right. Thanks, Dave, and good morning, everyone. We are encouraged to report another year of earnings growth in 2015, driven by strong results at the Electric Utilities, Power Generation, and Coal Mining businesses. As Dave mentioned, overall results were tempered by unfavorable weather and low crude and natural gas prices. Our gas utilities faced warmer than normal weather in the winter heating months in 2015, compared to colder than normal weather in 2014, which contributed to a decline in year-over-year performance, and low commodity prices impacted our oil and gas business. But despite those challenges, we again delivered earnings growth in 2015. On Slide 11, we reconciled GAAP earnings to earnings as adjusted, a non-GAAP measure. We do this to isolate special items and communicate earnings to better represent our ongoing performance. This slide displays the last five quarters, in each of the last two years. In each quarter of 2015, we incurred a non-cash ceiling test impairment charge at oil and gas business, due to the continued decline of crude oil and natural gas prices throughout 2015. In the second quarter of 2015, we also recorded a non-cash impairment of an equity investment at our oil and gas business, due to low commodity prices. In the fourth quarter, we divested this equity investment and realized the small gain above the impaired book value. We also incurred external acquisition-related expenses like financing and other third-party costs, in the second, third, and fourth quarters of 2015 associated with the pending SourceGas acquisition. These impairments in acquisition expenses are not reflective of our ongoing performance and accordingly we reflect them on an as adjusted basis. Our fourth quarter as adjusted EPS reflective of ongoing operations was $0.71 per share compared to $0.77 in the fourth quarter last year. Our full-year as adjusted EPS was $2.98 for 2015 compared to $2.93 for 2014. Fourth quarter and full-year EPS were diluted by approximately $0.04 each due to the 6.3 million share common stock offering we completed in November to partially fund the SourceGas acquisition. Slide 12 displays our fourth quarter revenue and operating income. On the left side of the slide, you’ll note the revenue was lower in 2015, due to reduced revenues at our gas utilities from lower pass-through gas costs during the year, given the low natural gas price environment in 2015. On the right side of the slide, you see strong performance in the fourth quarter at our Electric Utilities and Power Generation businesses more than offset decreased performance at our gas utility, coal mining, and oil and gas businesses, resulting in a 4% increase in consolidated operating income compared to the fourth quarter in 2014 Moving to the full-year on Slide 13, revenue decreased by $89 million, again, due to lower pass-through gas prices in 2015 at our gas utilities. Operating income improved at our Electric Utilities, Power Generation, and Coal Mining businesses in 2015. These improvements were partially offset by lower earnings at our gas utilities due to warmer winter weather and wider losses at our oil and gas business due to the lower natural gas and crude oil price environment. In total, year-over-year operating income increased by over 7%. And excluding our oil and gas business, our core utility and utility-like businesses’ operating income increased by 13%. I’ll touch on each business in more detail in the following slides. Slide 14 displays our fourth quarter and full-year income statements. Before asset impairment charges and acquisition-related expenses, we delivered operating income growth for both the fourth quarter and full-year despite the weather and commodity price challenges mentioned earlier. We implemented cost management efforts early in 2015 and I’m pleased with the way the organization responded. You can see our operating expenses decreased in the fourth quarter and increased only 1.5% for the full-year. Depreciation and interest expense increased, as we continue to grow our asset base. We’ve broken out the non-recurring impairments and external acquisition-related expenses, including the cost of the bridge financing we arranged for the pending SourceGas acquisition. For the full-year, as adjusted EPS grew nearly 2% year-over-year, while EBITDA increased by over 7%. Slide 15 displays our electric utilities gross margin and operating income. The electric utilities gross margin increased in the fourth quarter by $6 million over 2014 and by $49 million year-over-year. These gross margin increases resulted primarily from return on additional investments most notably the $222 million Cheyenne Prairie Generating Station, which went into service October 1, 2014. New rates associated with these investments went into effect at all three of our electric utilities in late 2014 and early 2015. Gross margin also benefited from industrial and commercial load growth in a variety of other factors, as detailed in our earnings press release distributed yesterday. Strong cost management throughout 2015 resulted in reduced O&M in the fourth quarter of 2015 compared to 2014, and a full-year increase of only 5% despite 12 months of the Cheyenne Prairie plant in operation during 2015 compared to three months in 2014. The combination of gross margin improvement and strong cost management resulted in operating income increasing by $7.3 million, or 19% during the fourth quarter compared to 2014, and $36.1 million, or 25% for the full-year 2015 over 2014. The electric utilities had an outstanding year driven by large capital investments to better serve our customers. Moving to Slide 16, our gas utilities gross margin as compared to 2014 decreased $3.6 million in the fourth quarter and $7.3 million for the full-year, driven by 14% fewer heating degree days in 2015 compared to 2014. Both heating seasons comprised of the first and fourth quarters were milder in 2015 than 2014. Strong cost management efforts at the utilities – at the gas utilities with decreases in O&M for both the quarter and full-year compared to 2014, partially offset the negative weather impact. Operating income declined $3 million in the fourth quarter compared to 2014 and by $4.9 million year-over-year. Compared to normal weather, our gas utilities gross margins were negatively impacted by an estimated $4.9 million in 2015. Also, in 2015, our electric utilities gross margins were negatively impacted by an estimated $3.9 million compared to normal weather. Combined these negative weather impacts compared to normal impacted our EPS by approximately $0.13 in 2015. On Slide 17, you see the power generation improved operating income by $3.2 million for the fourth quarter compared to 2014 and by $5.7 million year-over-year. The main drivers in the improved operating income were an increase in megawatts delivered in 2015 due to a Wygen I outage in 2014 and a Wygen I power purchase agreement annual price increases, as well as lower maintenance expenses and general cost management during 2015. For the full-year, as adjusted revenue was $3.5 million higher in 2015 and as adjusted O&M, including depreciation was $2.2 million lower. On Slide 18, our coal mining segment had a $1.2 million operating income decrease compared to the fourth quarter in 2014. For the quarter, revenue was $2.2 million lower as tons sold decreased by 7% compared to Q4 2014, due primarily to planned outages. Further, our regulator approved pass-through mechanism through which we sell approximately half our coal, yielded a lower price per ton in the fourth quarter due to lower mining costs. In Q4, O&M was $1 million lower in 2015 than 2014. For the full-year, coal mining operating income increased by $1.7 million, while tons sold were 4% lower in 2015, due to planned outages we’ve benefited from a significant revenue per ton increase in mid-2014 on a third-party coal contract as a result of a contractually scheduled price re-opener. This contract represents approximately 35% of our production and a higher price per ton increased our revenue in 2015 by $4 million. Keep in mind, the revenue increase from this price adjustment did not drop straight to operating income, as we pay revenue related royalties and taxes on the increase. On the cost side, we enjoyed continued mining efficiencies and lower fuel costs. We moved 31% more overburden in 2015, but at a decrease per cubic yard cost. O&M was flat from 2014 to 2015. Moving to oil and gas on Slide 19, we incurred an operating loss in the fourth quarter of $5.8 million, excluding a $71 million pre-tax ceiling test impairment charge compared to an operating loss of $4.5 million in 2014. Fourth quarter production increased 45% from 2014, driven by a 67% increase in natural gas sales volumes. From an average price received standpoint, including hedges, crude oil decreased by 22% and natural gas decreased by 38% comparing Q4 2015 to Q4 2014. For the full-year, we incurred an operating loss of $27.5 million, excluding pre-tax ceiling test impairment charges of $250 million compared to an operating loss of $11.8 million in 2014. 2015 production of 12.9 billion cubic feet equivalent represented a 29% increase over 2014, driven by a 41% increase in natural gas sales volume with a 10% increase in crude oil volume, and a 24% decrease in NGL sales volume. Comparing 2015 to 2014 average prices received for the full-year, including hedges, natural gas prices decreased by 39% and crude oil by 24%. While we are pleased with the outcome of the drilling program in the Piceance Basin over the last couple years from an operational standpoint, the low commodity price environment in 2015 severely impacted financial results at our oil and gas business. Regarding impairments taken in each quarter of 2015, Slide 20 shows the average trailing 12-month crude oil and natural gas prices, which continued to drop each quarter in 2015, driving the impairments. Given the continued low price environment for crude oil and natural gas, it’s likely we will have additional non-cash impairments to our oil and gas reserves in 2016, at least, in the first quarter. However, any impairments will be much smaller than those recorded in 2015, as our full cost pool is impaired down to approximately $94 million at the end of 2015, with an additional approximate $68 million in excluded costs, which is made up of a certain infrastructure, assets, and wells drilled, but not yet completed. Impairments taken in 2015 are driving down our depletion rate and our current guidance estimates the depletion rate of $0.80 to $1.20 per Mcfe in 2016. It’s worth noting here that we are managing our go-forward exposure in our oil and gas business by cutting CapEx, reducing the cost structure of the business, and beginning to divest non-core properties. You can see in our press release yesterday, the trend in the fourth quarter related to reduced O&M. And as I just noted, we expect a much reduced depletion rate in 2016, given the impairments. Dave will further address our strategy around oil and gas in a few minutes. Slide 21 shows our capitalization. At year end, our debt to cap ratio was 57% with a net debt to cap ratio of just over 50, excuse me, 57% with a net debt to cap ratio of just over 50% given cash on hand. In November, we received net proceeds of $536 million from the issuance of common stock and unit mandatory convertibles to partially fund the pending SourceGas acquisition, which increased our equity and debt. In January, we issued $550 million of long-term debt to nearly complete the permanent financing required for the acquisition. We will be assuming approximately $760 million of SourceGas debt when we closed the transaction. The remaining financing needs at closing expected to be in the range of $50 million to $100 million will be covered with our revolver. We will be more levered than normal on closing of the acquisition, but the strong cash flows and earnings from our businesses will assist us in delevering over the next couple of years. As you know, we continue to evaluate the potential sale of a minority interest in our Colorado IPP facility, which may yield proceeds allowing us to reduce debt. And to help fund our strong future utility focused capital program, we plan to put an at the market equity program in place in 2016. We will prudently issue equity through that program in 2016 and 2017. We are committed to maintaining our current solid investment grade credit ratings and our forward forecasted metrics support those ratings. Slide 22 demonstrates our track record of growing operating earnings and EPS. We look forward to closing the SourceGas acquisition and taking the next step forward in continuing to build upon our impressive track record of growing shareholder value, as we serve our utility customer safely and reliably. Our strong forward utility-based capital program will drive an above average growth profile compared to our utility peers, and the addition of SourceGas will enhance our growth prospects. Moving to Slide 23, yesterday, we updated our 2016 EPS guidance to be in the range of $2.40 to $2.60. This revision updates our previous 2016 earnings guidance issued on November 23, taking into account the additional interest expense associated with our recent $550 million debt issuance. It’s important to note the range does not include any earnings contribution from the SourceGas properties. When the SourceGas transaction closes, we will issue updated 2016, guidance and preliminary 2017 guidance with refreshed assumptions for all our forward-looking activities. 2016 will be a busy year as we effectively manage our businesses, integrate SourceGas and position ourselves for strong earnings growth in 2017 and beyond. I’ll turn it back to Dave now for strategy update. David Emery All right. Thank you, Rich. Moving on to Slide 25, we’ve shown you this slide for quite sometime now. But we group our strategic goals into four major categories and really with the overall objective of being an industry leader in all we do. Those four key objectives are profitable growth, valued service, better everyday, and great workplace. In the profitable growth area on Slide 26, strong capital spending drives our earnings growth. And we forecast total of more than $1.1 billion in capital spending for 2016 through 2018. That projected spending far exceeds our depreciation driving the earnings growth. It’s important to note that this table on Slide 26 does not include any capital related to the SourceGas acquisition. Once that acquisitions close, we’ll provide some revisions to the forecasted capital spending. On Slide 27, we continue to make great progress constructing our new turbine at the Pueblo Airport Generating Station at $65 million simple cycle gas turbine is on schedule and we expect it to be in service by year end 2016. To-date, we’ve spent about $35 million of a total $65 million budget were projected to come in at or under budget. Construction is about 27% complete and notably, we’ve had no safety incidents to-date. On Slide 28, as I mentioned earlier, we received approval from the Colorado PUC in October to purchase the new Peak View Wind Project for our Colorado electric utility. The third-party developer expects to commence construction in the first quarter and achieve commercial operations by year end at which time we’ll take over the project. We have made almost $12 million in progress payments as of December 31. Moving on to Slide 29, as Rich mentioned, our electric utility has demonstrated solid earnings growth in 2015, and a big part of that was our industrial load growth. We’ve had strong industrial load growth in all three of our electric utilities during 2015, for an overall increase in industrial load of almost 15%. That growth has been from several different industrial customers, but the datacenter load growth particularly in Cheyenne Wyoming is the most notable driver of that growth. Slide 30, another significant growth opportunity we’re pursuing very actively is the utility cost of service gas supply program. We’ve been talking about this for well over a year now. Under a cost of service gas program, our direct investment in natural gas reserves will provide long-term price stability for our customers, while also providing opportunities for increased investment and earnings for shareholders truly a win-win scenario. We submitted cost of service gas regulatory filing this fall in six separate states. Hearing dates have now been set in all six of those states. And we’re currently in the process of evaluating producing properties and drilling prospects for inclusion in the program that includes our Mancos Shale gas properties in the Piceance Basin in Colorado, which we’re evaluating now that we’ve finished up our test drilling program there. We hope to finalize our cost of service gas program sometime before year end 2016. Moving on to Slide 31, oil and gas strategy, Rich referred to this a little bit earlier. But we previously announced our plan to transition our oil and gas business to primarily support cost of service gas within our utilities. That program will provide stable price, low-cost fuel to our utility customers. As noted earlier, we completed our 2014/2015 Mancos Shale gas drilling program and essentially helped us prove up the magnitude of the resource we have in the Southern Piceance Basin. As Rich noted, we dramatically reduced our planned oil and gas capital spending for 2016 and 2017. Current product prices just simply don’t support additional capital investment in oil and gas. And our plan for capital going forward is essentially putting our capital investment into our cost of service drilling program. We’ve reduced our staff and cut cost in order to reduce our ongoing O&M. And our professional staff at our oil and gas subsidiary is busy applying their expertise and knowledge to assist our utilities with execution of cost of service gas. Moving on to Slide 32, this slide just simply provides a well by well details for our Mancos drilling program. It includes all the wells we’ve drilled now from 2013 through 2015. As I said earlier, overall we are very pleased with the results of the program little better than we expected. Moving on to Slide 33, I mentioned earlier, our dividend increase, we continue to be very proud of our dividend track record. And this is now being our 46th consecutive year of dividend increases for shareholders that’s one of the longest strings in the utility industry, and a record we’re very proud of. Slide 34, Rich talked earlier about our solid investment-grade credit metrics. We do have a solid balance sheet and good investment-grade credit ratings. Long-term, we expect the SourceGas acquisition to be credit positive, adding substantial low-risk, predictable cash flows to our credit metrics. On Slide 35, it illustrates the focus we place every day on operational excellence and on being a great workplace. During 2015, our safety record and our electric reliability performance were both near the top of the industry, that’s something we strive for an essentially all we do. On Slide 36, this is our scorecard, again, our way of holding ourselves accountable to you, our shareholders. Every year, we set forth our key strategic goals and initiatives and literally check the box on progress as we proceed throughout the year. Slide 36 is our 2015 goals and progress we’ve made towards those goals. Slide 37 is a preliminary scorecard for 2016. This includes the goal of completing the SourceGas transaction, but does not include any specific goals related to SourceGas. Once we require those properties, we will update the scorecard. That concludes our remarks. We would be happy to entertain any questions that anyone might have. Question-and-Answer Session Operator Ladies and gentlemen, we are ready to open the lines for your questions. [Operator Instructions] And your first question comes from the line of Insoo Kim with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Insoo Kim Hey, good morning, everyone. David Emery Hey, good morning, Insoo. Insoo Kim First question on the oil and gas strategy. I know you’ve talked about the low commodity price environment, and how the potential sale or divesting of the non – some of the assets would not result in the value that the asset that you don’t have. Just given the ongoing cost of service gas program, if that doesn’t go through, what are your thoughts regarding that business and the timing of such a strategic decision? David Emery Well, I think we have a pretty degree of confidence that we will have our cost of service gas program, the specifics of the size and which states choose to participate and at which levels, I think is the primary question in our mind, we think it’s a program that makes tremendous sense for customers and shareholders alike. And I think we’re uniquely positioned for that program because of our oil and gas expertise. Strategically, we’ve talked about divesting our non-core properties there. We’ve made the statement that we don’t intend a fire sale those if you will. But we are taking our time and making sure we can divest of those in a way that makes sense for us, and really focusing almost all of our attention on cost of service gas, whether that’s our Manco’s program and the shale gas resource we have in the southern Piceance Basin, or whether that would be reserves that we could potentially go out and purchase or a combination of the two, that’s really what we’re working on right now. We can’t finalize any of those plans or decisions until we know what size program we will have going forward, which of course is dependent on the regulatory process. Insoo Kim Got it. And sticking to cost of service gas, the CapEx estimates that you guys have through 2018 for that program. Is that still more of a placeholder for now, until you know what the details of the program are and the level of investments that you’ll be needing? David Emery Yes. Essentially, the way we came up with those numbers as we assume that we would commence a drilling program kind of late in 2016. We’ve talked about kind of our rough ongoing run rate for horizontal drilling program is around a $100 million for a rig running continuously for a full-year. And so that’s really where those numbers came from. We’ve got some wells, we have yet to complete in the Piceance and so the 2016 number is a little lower and then we basically assume a drilling rig year, if you will, for both 2017 and 2018, which I think is a pretty realistic assumption assuming we get the program off the ground. Insoo Kim Got it. And turning to the utilities business, for the legacy Black Hills utilities, ex-SourceGas, I guess beyond 2016 timeframe, what are some of the projects that you are looking for that could drive – further drive rate-based growth? David Emery Well, we’ve got several things we’re working on. In our slide deck, we do list a list – listing of kind of major utility projects. We break those out back in the appendix. And there’s several transmission projects, natural gas pipeline project, and other things that we’re actively pursuing right now. The other thing that we’ve talked about is, we’re short resources on the generation side and we talked about that in our Analyst Day back in October. We’re just getting started really on revisiting our resource planning for our electric utilities and fully expect that out of that, we’re going to need some additional resources to meet the load growth that we’re experiencing. Insoo Kim Got it. And just last question on – for the electric utility or I guess the electric or gas utility rate load growth, how much of your load growth is dependent on oil and gas customers? I’m assuming it’s relatively small, but – and what kind of impact have you seen, if at all, due to the low commodity price environment? David Emery Yes, essentially none of our load growth is dependent on oil and gas a very, very small percent. We don’t serve on the electric side direct oil and gas producing basins. So we get a small amount of kind of peripheral businesses that are located near the producing basins, but it really doesn’t drive a lot of growth a little bit and very light industrial and commercial load that we have – we do have one oil field that we serve at Black Hills Power had a little bit of load growth there it’s an enhanced oil recovery project. And I would say the prices there on a marginal cost basis are sufficient to keep producing. And so we really haven’t seen any cut backs in production, which would impact our load there. So a pretty minimal overall exposure to oil and gas prices on the electric utility side. Insoo Kim Got it. okay, thank you very much. David Emery You bet. Thank you. Operator Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Chris Ellinghaus with WillCap. Your line is open. Chris Ellinghaus Hey, guys, how are you? David Emery Good. Good morning, Chris. Chris Ellinghaus You quoted a $0.13 drag from weather for the year, I assume that’s versus 2014? David Emery No, that’s versus normal weather, Chris. Chris Ellinghaus Okay, great. David Emery And actually a little bigger than that compared to 2014, because 2014 was a little colder than normal. Chris Ellinghaus Okay. And can you give us any kind of characterization of how January went for the service areas? David Emery That are pretty close, but normal weather maybe slightly warmer than normal depending on the territory. Chris Ellinghaus Okay. And can you give us a little more detail on where the industrial strength is coming from? David Emery Yes, we’ve got several things, I mean, a lot of it is related to data center load growth in Cheyenne and Wyoming and then that’s the over warming portion of it. Colorado, some of our industrial businesses there have been growing at a steady clip, particularly gold mining has been real strong. There’s also an old munitions depot down in Pueblo, where they’ve ramped up load as they dispose of old weapons, and expect to keep that higher load for multiple years as they go through that process. Black Hills Power, we’ve just seen some of our industrial customers, whether that’s crude oil refining, I mentioned the oilfield earlier a combination of several of those things have helped expand load at Black Hills Power as well. Chris Ellinghaus Okay. And can you give us some ideas about when your next IRPs will get filed? David Emery Probably going to be late this year, or early next year. Chris Ellinghaus For all? David Emery Yes. Chris Ellinghaus Okay. David Emery We typically do our research planning for Cheyenne Light and Black Hills Power jointly. We manage that as essentially a single load, they’re interconnected systems, and we combine our resource planning efforts for those two. Colorado Electric, of course, we do separately. Chris Ellinghaus Okay. And do you have any planned major outages for this year or next year? David Emery We don’t have anything, I don’t think there’s any real lengthy outages. The ones we do have planned are incorporated into our earnings guidance. Chris Ellinghaus Okay. And do you have any updated thoughts on the Colorado SourceGas approval situation? David Emery No, I think we’re pretty well positioned there. We were successful in reaching a settlement. Colorado has a process, where your settlement is reviewed by an Administrative Law Judge and then the Commission requires a little time to review the recommendation of the ALJ and issue its order. We don’t foresee any real problems there. We are just kind of going through the motions, if you will, waiting for the process to play itself out. Chris Ellinghaus Okay. Thanks for the color, guys. David Emery You bet. Thank you. Operator Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Andy Levi with Avon Capital Advisors. Your line is open. Andy Levi Hi. Good morning. David Emery Good morning. Andy Levi How are you? David Emery Great. Thanks. Andy Levi Just two questions, maybe three. But just the first one just on the IPP sale process. Can you just give us a little more color on that kind of I guess, it’s taking a little bit longer than you thought, so just kind of what’s going on there, and when we may hear something from you on that? David Emery Yes, I don’t know if it’s really taking a whole lot longer than we thought it would. We knew announcing kind of pre-holidays is not an ideal time to get things done expeditiously. The process is going well, obviously, we’ve engaged an investment banker. We’re going through the bidding process. We’ve had very strong indication of interest from multiple bidders. When you we are kind of working our way through the process. And I didn’t say earlier, we still expect to make a decision sometime before the end of the first quarter. Andy Levi Okay. And any reason to think that a sale wouldn’t happen, or that’s probably unlikely? David Emery Yes, I think it just really comes down to value. As I said, so far, indications have been pretty strong. But when you get down into negotiating real specifics and details and selecting final bids, you never know until you’re done. But we’re certainly encouraged by what we see so far. Andy Levi Okay. And then on the oil and gas segment, I just wanted to kind of understand what we got left on the books. I mean, I guess you showed $209 million of book value right at the end of December. Is that correct on page 20, I think it is? David Emery Correct. Andy Levi Okay. David Emery Yes, so… Andy Levi Can you give us a breakdown on the $209 million kind of… David Emery Sure. Andy Levi …how much is commodity related and how much is kind of, I don’t know hardware or kind of steel and the ground type stuff? Richard Kinzley Yes, as I pointed out in the comments earlier $94 million of that’s our full cost pool. So it’s the wells that are in our pool. $68 million is in unevaluated properties, which includes some infrastructure. And then wells – Dave mentioned that we drilled for wells in the Piceance, but didn’t complete them. So they are in that pool. And then you’ve got the balance, which is roughly $40 million which is the other assets of the business. Andy Levi Okay. So just to understand the commodity exposure piece is, what would you estimate? So if you kind of take out the pipeline stuff and trucks and things like that, what do you…? Richard Kinzley Say $150 million or $160 million is what’s left on the books, roughly exposed. Andy Levi Okay, okay. And then I know you commented on it, but I don’t think I was listening too closely. How much of that $150 million are you trying to get into rate-based gas? Or is that – is it not that defined? Richard Kinzley Really not defined at this point as Dave, mentioned a bit ago we’re evaluating whether a purchase of a third-party property or our existing gas assets make sense for that Cost Of Service Gas program, and working through that with regulators. Andy Levi Okay. What was the thing on the third-party? I’m sorry? Richard Kinzley Well one of the things we’ve evaluated in a way to potentially jumpstart our program if you will is assuming we get approval for Cost Of Service Gas if we could find a gas producing property perhaps with a distressed buyer or distressed seller. We might have an opportunity to buy a property in addition to looking at some of our properties primarily just the Mancos property is the one of our own really is a good viable long-term gas resource in at least the couple of trillion cubic foot resource potentially as much as 8 and that’s the one property. We have, we think would be a great fit for Cost Of Service Gas. But we’re also looking and if we can opportunistically purchase reserves from other parties we would like to do that to contribute to the program as well. Andy Levi Okay. And then – and I lied about the three questions. But in your guidance that you gave for 2016, the temporary guidance without SourceGas, what’s the – how much is oil and gas? What’s the drag? Richard Kinzley Well we haven’t broken out segment guidance like that yet when we get the SourceGas deal closed we intend to issue updated 2016 guidance and preliminary 2017 guidance and we may provide a little more color at that point around. Well certainly we’re going to provide updated assumptions on all our forward-looking activity including oil and gas, but we may provide a little more color at that time. Andy Levi I mean I guess the kind of way I looked at it is – and I think we’ve probably discussed this in the past – is that you have this really good story at the utility; the IPP is good and stable, you sell a portion of that. And the coal – mine math coal obviously is stable as well. So you have this really good kind of growth story at the utilities, especially with SourceGas. And then you have this distraction of this oil and gas business, which I understand you’re trying to get into rate base, for no better way to put it. But if, for some reason, a majority of those assets or the rate-basing of gas doesn’t materialize for whatever reason, what’s the longer-term strategy on this? Is it just to kind of sell it, or to kind of continue on? Again, this is assuming that commodity prices stay where they are, which I have no idea where they are going. But just kind of what your thinking is on that, because you have written down the majority of it, but it is a distraction and is a drag on earnings, and then ultimately valuation. So, without that drag, let’s just say it’s $0.25 to $0.40. You can kind of do the dumb math on a P/E basis, and you’ll come up with a higher valuation for the stock? Richard Kinzley Yes, I talked about this a little bit earlier, but I mean I think we fully expect to have a Cost Of Service Gas program going forward. The size of that and which states choose to participate at what level of production every year is really the question that we think it makes great sense to have a program. We think that we’ll be able to convince the regulators of the benefits to customer of having a program. There are tremendous benefits for customers in implementing a program, so we’re pretty confident we will have a program. And as we’ve said our strategy is to utilize that business to support Cost Of Service Gas. We’ve essentially eliminated any capital spending related to non-cost of service gas oil and gas investment. We’ve cut our staff, we’ve cut our ongoing operating expenses, we have the professional staff focused on Cost Of Service Gas. And as far as the other non-core properties we’ll continue to look for opportunities to divest those. We’re not just throwing our hands up and dumping them, but we’re going to sell them as prudent carefully review properties and sell them to people who it make sense to sell them to and gradually clean up the non-core properties, if you will. As far as ongoing earnings and the impact of ongoing earnings, when you look at the amount we impaired in 2015, the drag on earnings is going to be dramatically less than 2016 than it was in 2015. Just because we wrote off almost $250 million of our pool, and we’re not spending additional capital. So a depletion will be lower and then as we mentioned the cost structure is lower, so the drag will not be anywhere near what it was in 2015 and 2016. Andy Levi So on a clean basis, absent the write-downs, how much was the drag in 2015? Richard Kinzley Well, operating loss you can see in a press release was $27 million. Andy Levi Okay. So $27 million. We’ll use, I don’t know, 51 million shares to try and keep it kind of where it’s at. That was about $0.53 a share, or something like that on the new share count, absent the dilution from the converts, right? Is that right? So is there any type of guidance you can kind of give us? Richard Kinzley We’ll give updated guidance when we get the SourceGas deal closed. But basically 240 to 260 incorporates the assumptions we put out on November 23 guidance, incorporates the full drag of the equity, converts, and interest associated with the debt we just placed, and it doesn’t count any income contribution from SourceGas. So it’s a temporary number. Certainly, when we get SourceGas closed, I would expect 2016 to be higher than that, and then we’ll issue updated assumptions at that time. Operator Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Tim Winter with Gabelli & Co. Your line is open. Tim Winter Good morning and thanks for taking my question. I wondered on the 2016 guidance, I have two questions. One is, what are you guys assuming for the IPP plant? Is there any earnings in there? And then the second part is, can you give us any updated metrics on SourceGas, maybe rate-based, ROE, earnings, anything like that that maybe just ballpark ranges? Richard Kinzley Repeat the first part again, Tim, on the IPP? You repeat the first question on IPP. Tim Winter What’s the assumption in the 2016 guidance for the…? Richard Kinzley Right now I assume that we own it for the full- year. Tim Winter Okay. Richard Kinzley And then on the metrics for SourceGas, again, we’ll put some color on that when we get the deal closed. Tim Winter Okay, okay. Thank you. Operator Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Tom Nowak with Advent Capital. Your line is open. And I’m showing no further questions at this time. I’d like to turn the call back to David Emery for any closing remarks. David Emery All right. Well, thank you, everyone, for your participation this morning. We appreciate your continued interest in Black Hills. Have a great rest of your day. Operator Thank you for your participation in today’s conference. This concludes the presentation. You may now disconnect. Good day. Copyright policy: All transcripts on this site are the copyright of Seeking Alpha. However, we view them as an important resource for bloggers and journalists, and are excited to contribute to the democratization of financial information on the Internet. (Until now investors have had to pay thousands of dollars in subscription fees for transcripts.) So our reproduction policy is as follows: You may quote up to 400 words of any transcript on the condition that you attribute the transcript to Seeking Alpha and either link to the original transcript or to www.SeekingAlpha.com. All other use is prohibited. THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HERE IS A TEXTUAL REPRESENTATION OF THE APPLICABLE COMPANY’S CONFERENCE CALL, CONFERENCE PRESENTATION OR OTHER AUDIO PRESENTATION, AND WHILE EFFORTS ARE MADE TO PROVIDE AN ACCURATE TRANSCRIPTION, THERE MAY BE MATERIAL ERRORS, OMISSIONS, OR INACCURACIES IN THE REPORTING OF THE SUBSTANCE OF THE AUDIO PRESENTATIONS. IN NO WAY DOES SEEKING ALPHA ASSUME ANY RESPONSIBILITY FOR ANY INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISIONS MADE BASED UPON THE INFORMATION PROVIDED ON THIS WEB SITE OR IN ANY TRANSCRIPT. USERS ARE ADVISED TO REVIEW THE APPLICABLE COMPANY’S AUDIO PRESENTATION ITSELF AND THE APPLICABLE COMPANY’S SEC FILINGS BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISIONS. If you have any additional questions about our online transcripts, please contact us at: transcripts@seekingalpha.com . Thank you!

Industrial ETFs In Focus On GE Mixed Q4 Results

On Friday, General Electric (NYSE: GE ), the industrial conglomerate giant, reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter 2015 earnings but missed on the top line. Earnings per share came in 52 cents, a couple of cents ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate and up 27% from the year-ago quarter. Revenues rose 1.4% year over year to $33.89 billion but were well below our estimated $35.92 billion. The revenue miss were credited to a weak global economy and an oil price slide that hurt revenues in the renewable, and oil and gas segments (read: Oil Hits 12-Year Low: Short Energy Stocks with ETFs ). In order to withstand the fall oil prices and slow global growth, General Electric doubled its restructuring spending for this year to $3.4 billion and increased its cost-cutting target by two times for the struggling oil and gas business to as much as $800 million. Further, the company is transforming itself into a digital-industrial company and plans to shift its headquarters from Connecticut to Boston by 2018. Notably, digital business revenue climbed 22% to $5 billion last year and is on track to reach $20 billion by 2020. For fiscal 2016, the company reaffirmed its earnings per share guidance of $1.45-$1.55, the midpoint of which is a penny below the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Organic revenue is expected to grow 2-4% while cash generation is estimated at $30-$32 billion. General Electric also intends to return $26 billion to its shareholders this year, including $8 billion in dividends and $18 billion in share repurchases. Market Impact Following mixed Q4 results, shares of GE dropped as much as 3.1% in Friday’s trading session and the industrial ETFs having double-digit allocation to this industrial conglomerate giant are in focus for the days ahead. All the funds stated below have a Zacks ETF Rank of 3 or ‘Hold’ rating with a Medium risk outlook. Fidelity MSCI Industrials Index ETF (NYSEARCA: FIDU ) This fund tracks the MSCI USA IMI Industrials Index, holding 345 stocks in its basket. General Electric takes the top spot at 13.3% share with the aerospace and defense industry making up for one-fourth of the portfolio, followed by industrial conglomerates at 21.3%. The product has amassed $100.5 million in its asset base while trades in moderate volume of nearly 102,000 share a day on average. It is one of the low cost choices in the space charging 12 bps in annual fees from investors. The fund gained 0.8% following GE results. Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA: XLI ) This is the largest and most popular ETF in the space with AUM of $5.3 billion and average daily volume of 13.7 million shares. It follows the Industrial Select Sector Index and charges 14 bps in fees per year. Holding a small basket of 68 securities, GE takes the top spot with 11.9% allocation. Form a sector look, aerospace and defense occupy the top position at 28.3% followed by industrial conglomerates (21.5%), and machinery (12.8%). The fund added 0.9% on the day. Vanguard Industrials ETF (NYSEARCA: VIS ) This fund follows the MSCI US IMI Industrials 25/50 index and holds about 346 securities in its basket. Of these firms, GE occupies the top position with 12.6% allocation. Here again, aerospace and defense takes the top spot at 23.8% followed by industrial conglomerates at 20.2%. The fund manages $1.8 billion in its asset base and charges 10 bps in annual fees. Volume is moderate as it exchanges 121,000 shares a day on average. The product gained 1.1% on the day (read: Beat U.S. Manufacturing Woes with These Industrial ETFs ). iShares U.S. Industrials ETF (NYSEARCA: IYJ ) This product provides exposure to 212 industrial stocks by tracking the Dow Jones U.S. Industrials Index. It is heavily concentrated on GE – the top firm – with 11.5% of assets while others make up for less than 4% share. Further, the ETF is tilted toward capital goods’ companies at 59.4% while transportation and software services round off the next two spots with double-digit exposure. The fund has an AUM of $507 million and average daily volume of 68,000 shares. Expense ratio came in at 0.44%. The product has gained nearly 1.2% following GE results. Bottom Line Investors should note that the decline in the GE share price has not affected these ETFs despite its largest allocation to the company. This is because the funds have a spread out exposure to a number of firms in various types of industries suggesting that the space can easily counter small declines from some of the industry’s biggest components. Further, the gains in these industrial ETFs are the result of a broad stock market rally buoyed by the sudden spike in oil price, and stimulus hopes in Europe and Japan. Link to the original post on Zacks.com