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5 Real Estate Fund Picks On Record Construction Outlay

The real estate industry is off to a solid start this year ignoring the winter weather, which always acts as a resistance. Construction outlay touched a record high in January, while building permits remained unchanged. Existing home sales also posted record gains in January indicating that the housing industry is firmer than what most believed. In February, the NAHB/Wells Fargo housing market index that reflects home builders’ sentiment continued to remain above the 50 mark, indicating improvement. Moreover, historically low mortgage rates and a rise in wages is expected to give the real estate industry a boost. Hence, it will be prudent to invest in real estate mutual funds for solid returns. Construction Spending Rises in January Outlays on construction rose 1.5% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.41 trillion in January from the upwardly revised estimate of $1.12 trillion in December, according to the Commerce Department. Construction spending touched the highest level in January since Oct. 2007. Spending also rose a whopping 10.4% year over year. Money was spent on both private and public infrastructure. In the private sector, spending increased 0.5% to $831.41 billion in January from December’s figure of $827.35 billion. Single family residential construction and multifamily construction soared 7.7% and 30.4% from year-ago levels, respectively. Private non-residential construction too surged 11.5% year over year. Coming to the public sector, total spending increased 4.5% in January following a 3.3% monthly gain in December, with spending on educational facilities gaining a solid 11.7% year over year. This sharp rise in spending in January came in after outlays gained momentum last year. In 2015, construction spending was up 10.5% to $1.097 trillion from $993.4 billion in 2014. This steady rise in spending toward new construction is a telltale sign of the health of the real estate industry. Moreover, construction spending as a percentage of GDP rose 6.2% in the quarter ending Dec. 31. This is a commendable rise from the year-ago increase of 5.8%. However, if we consider the last 50 years average during this period, spending gained 8.4%. This shows that the rise is still below the historical average, which in many ways represents pent-up demand. Building Permits Remain Steady There is also good news on the construction permit front. Building permits are a precursor to construction activity. It indicates the future growth of housing activities. Building permits were revised to a seasonally adjusted rate of 1.204 million in January, unchanged from December’s figure, according to the Commerce Department. Earlier, it was reported that permits were down 0.2% to a seasonally adjusted rate of 1.202 million in January. Meanwhile, the other part of the report that shows the number of privately owned new houses on which construction has started was not so encouraging. In January, housing starts declined 3.8% to a 1.1 million annualized rate from 1.14 million in December. A crippling east coast winter storm was cited to be the reason behind this drop in housing starts. If this be so, it is a seasonal factor, which in the long run won’t leave any impact. Moreover, with the job market strengthening, it is expected that demand for more construction will increase. Average hourly earnings gained almost 0.5% in January from the previous month’s figure to $25.39. Average hourly earnings also rose 2.5% year over year. And this happened while the unemployment rate declined from 5% in December to 4.9% in January, the lowest since 2008. Record Home Sales Existing home sales for January hit the highest level since July last year. This indicates that the housing industry is in better shape than earlier estimated. Existing home sales increased 0.4% in January to a seasonally adjusted annual pace of 5.47 million. This is contrary to the consensus estimate of sales of homes owned earlier dropping to 5.33 million from December’s revised pace of 5.45 million. Additionally, existing home sales registered an annual increase of 11% in January, the largest yearly increase registered since Jul 2013. Pending home sales mostly track existing home sales. Pending home sales also advanced 1.4% in January from year-ago levels, its 17 straight month of year-on-year gains. However, purchase of new-single family homes decreased 5.2% in January from a year earlier. Nevertheless, home loan rates are drifting downward, which is expected to boost home sales in the near term. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is about 3.8%, while the 15-year fixed loan rate is down to around 3.2%. Rates are currently hovering at historically low levels. 5 Real Estate Funds to Invest In Investors continue to remain optimistic about the outlook of the real estate industry in the U.S. According to KPMG’s 2016 Real Estate Industry Outlook Survey, 91% of real estate investors and executives surveyed said that real estate fundamentals will improve this year. Almost 74% of them believe foreign investment in the U.S. real estate will increase over the next 12 months. Record rise in construction activities, steady permits for building activities and healthy surge in home sales at a time when weather plays a spoilsport have boosted their sentiment. Add to this, low mortgage rates and you know why they sound so confident. Moreover, there are hints that spending plans on infrastructure may rise in the future. Democratic presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders have already promised to increase infrastructure investment. While Clinton plans to spend $275 billion on infrastructure, Sanders wants to deploy $1 trillion. Banking on these positive trends in the real estate industry, it will be prudent to invest in funds related to the housing space. Here we have selected five such real estate funds that boast a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or #2 (Buy), have positive 3-year and 5-year annualized returns, offer minimum initial investment within $5000 and carry a low expense ratio. Franklin Real Estate Securities A (MUTF: FREEX ) seeks to maximize total return. FREEX invests a large portion of its assets in equity securities of companies operating in the real estate industry. FREEX’s 3-year and 5-year annualized returns are 8.2% and 9.1%, respectively. Annual expense ratio of 0.99% is lower than the category average of 1.29%. FREEX has a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #2. Neuberger Berman Real Estate A (MUTF: NREAX ) seeks total return. NREAX invests a major portion of its assets in equity securities issued by real estate investment trusts and other securities issued by other real estate companies. NREAX’s 3-year and 5-year annualized returns are 6% and 7.4%, respectively. Annual expense ratio of 1.21% is lower than the category average of 1.29%. NREAX has a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #2. PIMCO Real Estate Real Return Strategy A (MUTF: PETAX ) seeks maximum real return. PETAX seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing in real estate-linked derivative instruments. PETAX’s 3-year and 5-year annualized returns are 4.3% and 11.6%, respectively. Annual expense ratio of 1.14% is lower than the category average of 1.29%. PETAX has a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #2. Davis Real Estate A (MUTF: RPFRX ) seeks total return. RPFRX invests the majority of its assets in securities issued by companies principally engaged in the real estate industry. RPFRX’s 3-year and 5-year annualized returns are 6.6% and 7.9%, respectively. Annual expense ratio of 0.96% is lower than the category average of 1.29%. RPFRX has a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1. T. Rowe Price Real Estate (MUTF: TRREX ) seeks long-term growth. TRREX invests a large portion of its assets including borrowings for investment purposes in the equity securities of real estate companies. TRREX’s 3-year and 5-year annualized returns are 9.1% and 9.4%, respectively. Annual expense ratio of 0.76% is lower than the category average of 1.29%. TRREX has a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1. Original Post

Right Sizing Your Trading

Editor’s note: Article originally published February 26, 2016. I can’t tell you how many times I have been woken up in the middle of the night by an investor who was sleepless over a position that was going the wrong way. Gold was down $50, the euro was spiking two cents, or the stock market was enduring one of its periodic heart attacks. Of course, my answer is always the same. Cut your position in half. If your position is so large that it won’t let you sleep at night on the bad days, then you have bitten off more than you can chew. If you still can’t sleep, then cut it in half again. Which brings me to an endlessly recurring question I get when making my rounds calling readers. What is the right size for a single position? How much money should they be pouring into my Trade Alerts ? Spoiler alert! The answer is different for everyone. For example, I will not hesitate to pour my entire net worth into a single option position. The only thing that holds me back is the exchange contract limits. But that’s just me. I have been trading this market for nearly half a century. I have probably done more research than you ever will (I basically do nothing but research all day, even when I’m backpacking, by audio book). And I have been taking risks for my entire life, the financial and the other kind, quite successfully so, I might say. So my taking a risk is not the same as your taking a risk. Taking risks is like drinking a fine Kentucky sipping Bourbon. The more you drink, the more you have to imbibe to get a good buzz. Eventually, you have to quit and start the cycle all over again. Otherwise, you become an alcoholic. So you can understand why it is best to start out small when taking on your first positions. Imagine if the first time you went out to drink with your college dorm roommates and you finished off an entire bottle of Ripple or Thunderbird ? The results would be disastrous and nauseous, as they were for me. So I’ll take you through the drill that I always used to run beginning traders at Morgan Stanley’s institutional equity trading desk. You may be new to investing, new to trading, and find all of this money stuff scary. Or you may be wary, entrusting your hard earned money to advice from a newsletter you found on the Internet ! What if my wife finds out I’m doing this with our money? Yikes! That is totally understandable, given that 99% of the newsletters out there are all fake, written by fresh faced kids just out of college with degrees in Creative Writing, but without a scintilla of experience in the financial markets. And I know most of the 1% who are real. I constantly hear of new subscribers who are now on their tenth $4,000 a year subscription, and this is the first one they have actually made money with. So it is totally understandable that you proceed with caution. I always tell new readers to start out paper trading. Virtually all online brokers now have these wonderful paper trading facilities where you can practice the art with pretend money. Don’t know how to use it? They also offer endless hours of free tutorials on how to use their platform. These are great. After all, they want to get you into the market, trading, and paying commission as soon as possible. You can put up any conceivable strategy and they will elegantly chart out the potential profit and loss. Whenever you hit the wrong button and your money all goes “poof” and disappears, you just hit the reset button and start all over again. No harm, no foul. After you have run up a string of two or three consecutive winners, it’s now time to try the real thing. But start with only one single options contract or a few shares of stock or an ETF. If you completely blow up, you will only be out a few hundred dollars. Again, it’s not the end of the world. Let’s say you hit a few singles with the onesies. It’s now time to ramp up. Trade 2, 3, 4, 5, 10, 50, or 100 contracts. Pretty soon, you’ll be one of the BSDs of the marketplace. Then, you’ll notice that your broker starts following your trades since you always seem to be right. That is the story of my life. This doesn’t mean that you will enjoy trading nirvana for the rest of your life. You could hit a bad patch, get stopped out of several positions in a row and lose money. Or you could get bitten by a black swan (it hurts). Those of you who have been following me for eight years have seen this happen to me several times and now know what to expect. I shrink the size, reduce the frequency, and stay small until my mojo comes back. And my mojo always comes back. You can shrink back to trading one contract or quit trading altogether. Use the free time to analyze your mistakes, rethink your assumptions, and figure out where you went wrong. Was I complacent? Was I greedy? Did hubris strike again? Having a 100% cash position can suddenly lift the fog of war and be a refreshingly clarifying experience. We all get complacent and greedy. To err is human. Then, reenter the fray once you feel comfortable again. Start out with a soft pitch. Over time, this will become second nature. You will know automatically when to increase and decrease your size. And you won’t have to wake me in the middle of the night. Good luck and good trading. Disclosure: No positions