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The Psychology Of Losing Streaks And How To Overcome Them

By Maria Meramveliotaki-Simon In trading, consecutive losses are very common and some traders do not take it at heart. Instead, they try to make the best out of it, learn, adjust their strategy or money management plan if needed and just get on with it. It is not always that easy, however, to have this attitude. It is not unlikely, if you ever had a number of consecutive losing trades, to have thought that you are an incompetent trader or that you are possibly not fitted for live trading. You may have experienced anxiety, disappointment and anger at yourself or anyone else that is involved (such as your broker or the market). This is a natural human reaction that has a chemical basis; a losing streak activates the production of cortisol, our body’s stress hormone. While cortisol’s primary function is to prepare our body to cope with danger by increasing glucose, the prolonged exposure to it that comes in tandem with losing streaks will render us anxious or even sad. Anxiety and sadness will then work as “containers” for negative thinking. Suddenly, we see the world through those black glasses and we may engage in various unhelpful thoughts: ” I am a loser”, ” I will never make it”, “Should have never traded”. But what happens as you think in this manner? Your anxiety, disappointment and anger increases and with them comes a lot of confusion, feeling scattered, unsure, lacking in confidence and belief. There are some typical ineffective behaviours that traders may then fall into such as Overtrade to reduce losses Revenge trade to get back at the market Become extremely risk averse and trade too small or not trade at all Give up and close trading account Escaping The Vicious Cycle Of Losing Streaks If you do engage in some of the ineffective behaviours mentioned above, it is likely that you will end up trapping yourself in a vicious cycle. This is because risky trading behaviors such as overtrading or revenge trading are likely to make you lose again and, therefore, evoke the same unpleasant emotions and unhelpful thoughts that led you to it. Click to enlarge In order to exit the vicious cycle of losing streak psychology: 1. Become aware of the emotions that have emerged. Ask yourself: What am I feeling? Am I disappointed? Anxious? Am I Angry? 2. Understand the thinking pattern that accompanies these emotions. What is your mind telling you? Is it pulling you down, sabotaging you or maybe intimidating you? Typical thoughts following a losing streak would be: I am a lousy trader. Should have given up long time ago My strategy must be wrong; I have been wrong all the way I cannot afford to just let it be. I must make back the money I lost It is just embarrassing to have lost more than half of my balance 3. Are you about to make trading decisions according to what you are feeling or thinking? Is this the best way to trade? Has this helped you to succeed in the past? 4. You can choose to break the cycle. Having unhelpful thoughts and emotions is very different from acting on them . Remember that if you act on them, you maintain the vicious cycle. Instead of acting on your thoughts, keep your purpose in mind and act according to your goals: Examine if there are aspects of your strategy & methodology that need to be changed. You may opt to do so by going back trading on a demo for a while. But while demo can provide you with valuable insights about your strategy, it cannot simulate real market conditions; your psychology is going to be completely different when you trade live. Take a look at your risk/reward ratio. Are your stop losses too narrow or too wide? It often takes the time to determine the best ratio and you may have to be wrong before you get it right. When you trade, focus entirely on the present moment. Your mind may attempt to remind you of the past, or scare you with negative future possibilities. You must learn not to buy into it, because if you do, you will end up back in the vicious cycle. Your focus must be what’s happening in the market now. Keep educating yourself on trading. You could attend webinars, read online tutorials or join relevant forums. Exercise patience. You may be in the right way to achieve your trading goals and it could be that it just hasn’t happened yet. Be patient, have belief and don’t buy into negative self-talk. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

5 Top-Rated Oppenheimer Mutual Funds

Founded in 1959, OppenheimerFunds currently has $204 billion worth of assets (as of January 29, 2016) under management, invested in 89 mutual funds across a wide range of categories, including equity, fixed income, alternative and multi-asset funds. With over 2,000 employees and 170 investment professionals, the company serves clients, including financial advisors, individual investors and institutional investors, across 77 countries. OppenheimerFunds is a subsidiary of MassMutual, which is one of the leading asset managers, with around $600 billion assets under management along with its affiliates. Below we share with you five top-rated Oppenheimer mutual funds. Each has earned a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and is expected to outperform its peers in the future. To view the Zacks Rank and past performance of all Oppenheimer mutual funds, investors can click here . Oppenheimer Global Opportunities Fund A (MUTF: OPGIX ) primarily invests in a wide range of domestic and foreign equity securities. It focuses on acquiring stocks, but may also purchase debt securities. The fund may invest a maximum of 25% of its assets in “below-investment grade” securities or “junk bonds.” Moreover, it may invest in developing or emerging countries and in small- and mid-cap companies. The fund has a three-year annualized return of 5.6%. Frank V. Jennings is the fund manager of OPGIX since 1995. Oppenheimer Equity Fund A (MUTF: OEQAX ) seeks growth of capital. It invests the lion’s share of its assets in equity securities of domestic companies. Though the fund primarily focuses on acquiring securities of mid- and large-cap companies, it may also invest in securities of small-cap companies. Moreover, it may invest in securities of companies located in foreign lands. The fund has a three-year annualized return of 5.8%. OEQAX has an expense ratio of 0.98%, compared to the category average of 1.18%. Oppenheimer Discovery Fund A (MUTF: OPOCX ) primarily emphasizes investing in common stocks of domestic companies with solid growth potential. It invests in securities of companies having a market capitalization similar to those listed in the Russell 2000 Growth Index. The fund has a three-year annualized return of 2.8%. As of December 2015, OPOCX held 105 issues, with 2.50% of its assets invested in Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (NYSE: BFAM ) Oppenheimer Rochester AMT-Free Municipals Fund A (MUTF: OPTAX ) seeks tax-exempted income. The fund invests a large chunk of its assets in securities that are expected to provide returns exempted from regular federal and state income taxes. The assets of OPTAX are not invested in municipal securities, the interest income on which is not free from the federal “alternative minimum tax” (AMT). The fund has a three-year annualized return of 4.3%. OPTAX has an expense ratio of 0.87%, compared to the category average of 0.97%. Oppenheimer International Growth Fund A (MUTF: OIGAX ) may invest all of its assets in non-U.S. companies with impressive growth prospects. It invests more than 65% of its assets in common and preferred stocks of companies located in at least three different countries other than the U.S. The fund has a three-year annualized return of 1.5%. As of December 2015, OIGAX held 106 issues, with 1.78% of its assets invested in Continental AG ( OTCPK:CTTAY ). Original Post

Biotech ETFs Slide As Stocks Report Mixed Q4 Results

Since the beginning of the year, the biotech sector has been experiencing some weakness due to industry specific headwinds like pricing concerns and global factors like weak emerging market currencies and a strong U.S. dollar. To deepen its woes, the sector has failed to gain investor confidence so far in the fourth quarter earnings season. Although several well-known biotech industry players like Amgen Inc. (NASDAQ: AMGN ), Biogen (NASDAQ: BIIB ) and Gilead (NASDAQ: GILD ) easily managed to beat estimates on both earnings and revenues, other companies including Alexion Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: ALXN ) and Celgene Corporation (NASDAQ: CELG ) reported disappointing or mixed results. Quite expectedly, investors will keep an eye on biotech earnings for the rest of this season to assess whether the sector can pull off another turnaround supported by strong pipelines, innovative treatments, growing demand for drugs, especially for rare-to-treat diseases, an aging population and increased health care spending (read: What Lies Ahead for Biotech ETFs in 2016? ). Biotech Earnings in Detail Gilead reported impressive fourth-quarter results as both earnings and revenues outdid the respective Zacks Consensus Estimate. The biotech giant’s fourth-quarter earnings (including stock-based compensation expenses) of $3.27 per share beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.91. Reported earnings were significantly higher than the year-ago figure of $2.38 per share. Quarterly revenues surged 16.3% to $8.5 billion driven by strong product sales. The revenue figure breezed past the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $8.1 billion. Meanwhile, the company provided 2016 product sales guidance. The company expects product sales in the range of $30-$31 billion. The stock has added 2.9% since reporting earnings (as of February 5, 2016). Another biotech behemoth, Amgen also beat both earnings and revenue estimates in the fourth quarter. The company’s fourth-quarter 2015 earnings of $2.61 per share surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.27 and improved from the year-ago earnings of $2.16. Also, total revenues grew 4% to $5.536 billion, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.532 billion. Foreign exchange translation negatively impacted fourth quarter sales by two percentage points. Based on an improved revenue outlook, the company upgraded its outlook for 2016 earnings to $10.60-$11.00 per share from $10.35-$10.75 per share. The company also pushed up its revenue guidance to $22.0-$22.5 billion from $21.7-$22.3 billion. The stock has lost 2.2% since releasing earnings (as of February 5, 2016). Biogen also beat on earnings and revenues. The company’s earnings per share of $4.50 were well above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.07. Earnings grew about 10% year over year while revenues increased 7.5%. Revenues came in at $2.8 billion, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.7 billion. This biotech firm also provided revenue and earnings guidance for 2016. The company expects to earn $18.30-$18.60 per share on revenues of $11.1-$11.3 billion. The stock gained 1.5% since it reported earnings (as of February 5, 2016). On the other hand, Celgene reported mixed results with earnings of $1.00 per share (including stock-based compensation expenses) falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.02 and revenues of $2.6 billion beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate slightly. However, both earnings and revenues rose year on year in the reported quarter. Net sales of the drug Revlimid, the backbone of Celgene, saw a year-over-year rise of 18%. The company has kept its 2016 outlook intact. The stock is down 4.3% (as of February 5, 2016). Alexion also came up with disappointing fourth-quarter results with both earnings and revenues missing estimates. Fourth-quarter 2015 earnings (including stock-based compensation expense) of 84 cents per share missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 88 cents. Earnings were also below the year-ago figure of $1.14 per share. Nevertheless, Alexion’s revenues climbed 16.9% year over year in the fourth quarter to $700.1 million. Revenues, however, missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $706 million. Alexion has provided its outlook for 2016. The company expects adjusted earnings per share in the range of $5.00 to $5.20 on revenues of $3.05-$3.1 billion. Foreign exchange translations are expected to negatively impact revenues by $120 million and earnings by 31 cents. Shares gained 3.6% post earnings (as of February 5, 2016). ETFs in Focus Thanks to mixed results, biotech ETFs with considerable exposure to the five stocks above were all in the red in the last 10 trading sessions (as of February 5, 2016). This has put the spotlight on biotech ETFs. Below we discuss four of these ETFs having a sizeable exposure to the above stocks (see all Healthcare ETFs here ). iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (NASDAQ: IBB ) This top player in the biotech ETF space tracks the NASDAQ Biotechnology Index, holding 190 securities in the basket. Celgene, Amgen, Gilead Sciences, Biogen and Alexion are placed among the top 10 holdings with a combined exposure of about 41% in the fund. The fund has an asset base of more than $7.5 billion and trades in an average volume of nearly 2.7 million shares a day. It has an expense ratio of 0.48% and lost 11% in the above mentioned timeframe. IBB currently has a Zacks ETF Rank #2 (Buy) with a High risk outlook. Market Vectors Biotech ETF (NYSEARCA: BBH ) This fund follows the Market Vectors US Listed Biotech 25 Index and holds 25 securities in its basket. Gilead Sciences (13.2%), Amgen (12.9%), Celgene (10.3%) and Biogen (6.5%) take the top four spots in the fund while Alexion (4.8%) takes the sixth place. The fund has amassed nearly $529.8 million in its asset base and trades in moderate volumes of roughly 151,000 shares a day. The product charges an annual fee of 35 bps per year and lost 10.6% in the said timeframe. It currently carries a Zacks ETF Rank #2 with a High risk outlook. PowerShares Dynamic Biotechnology & Genome Portfolio ETF (NYSEARCA: PBE ) The fund tracks the Dynamic Biotech & Genome Intellidex Index. The top 4 holdings include Amgen (6.42%), Biogen (6.4%), Alexion (5.49%) and Gilead (5.28%). Total assets of the fund are $275.5 million representing 30 holdings. The fund’s expense ratio is 0.57%. The trading volume is roughly 83,000 shares per day. The fund has lost 10.6% in the past 10 trading sessions. It currently carries a Zacks ETF Rank #3 (Hold) with a High risk outlook. First Trust NYSE Arca Biotechnology Index ETF (NYSEARCA: FBT ) FBT tracks the NYSE Arca Biotechnology Index and holds 30 securities in the basket. The fund is well diversified with no stock holding more than 4.1% weight. Biogen, Amgen, Celgene and Gilead are placed among the top 10 holdings with a combined exposure of about 14.8% in the fund. Total assets of the fund are $1.8 billion. The fund’s expense ratio is 0.58. The trading volume is roughly 475,000 shares per day. It currently carries a Zacks ETF Rank #4 (Sell) with a High risk outlook. The fund has lost 14.4% in the last 10 trading sessions. Link to the original post on Zacks.com