Tag Archives: etf

The V20 portfolio is an actively managed portfolio that seeks to achieve an annualized return of 20% over the long term. If you are a long-term investor, then this portfolio may be for you. You can read more about how the portfolio works and the associated risks here . Always do your own research before making an investment. Read the last update here ! Current Allocation *Only available to Premium Subscribers Planned Transactions *Only available to Premium Subscribers ————– It’s been a while since I gave a public weekly update. Premium subscribers have continued to receive weekly updates regarding allocation and planned transactions. It was quite encouraging to have some readers email me regarding this short hiatus, I am glad that I have provided value to you. Since the last update , the V20 Portfolio rose by 12.8% while the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA: SPY ) was virtually flat. As we wrap up February, the V20 Portfolio suffered a minor setback towards the end of the month, shedding 2.3% while the S&P 500 gained a modest 1.6% over the past week. Portfolio Update When the portfolio declined significantly in January, we took the opportunity to make some moves. Now that the portfolio is rebounding, we shall sit and wait patiently. One of our minor holdings, Intelsat (NYSE: I ), reported earnings on Monday. Shares have almost halved since then, falling from $3.01 to $1.69 as of Friday, contributing to 81% of the decline over the past week. On the bright side, the company is now trading at less than 1x TTM P/E. As I’ve mentioned in previous updates, the problem with Intelsat is not a matter of profitability, but one of liquidity. As the result of the meltdown in the high yield market, it is becoming increasingly probable that a restructuring will take place due to the company’s large debt load ($15 billion), assuming current market conditions persist. While it sounds scary, it is a risk that we should be willing to take. For one, the underlying business is still generating healthy amount of cash flows. Secondly, I believe that the equity holders (Silverlake, BC Partners, and Fidelity, controlling 80% of shares) have enough incentives to put together a deal that would be favorable to shareholders in the event of a restructuring. Of course, this is not just blind faith. Given the fact that they haven’t sold shares during the IPO, it is fairly clear that it is in everyone’s best interest to not let creditors get away with a low ball offer. Furthermore, the risk to the portfolio is also contained through Intelsat’s small allocation in the V20 Portfolio (2.4%). Looking Forward While half of our holdings have reported earnings ( SAVE , ACCO , I), Conn’s (NASDAQ: CONN ) and Magicjack (NASDAQ: CALL ) (58% of long position) have yet to announce their fourth quarter results. In Conn’s case, two big questions have already been answered thanks to the company’s monthly updates. Sales have continued to grow at a rapid pace (+7.4% in Q4) and delinquency rates have started to decline. As for MagicJack, the company recently initiated two previously announced initiatives: a new service offering with Movistar and a new SMB (small medium businesses) subsidiary. There isn’t significant fixed costs for the Movistar deal, but for the SMB initiative, there will be an initial investment of around $10 million this year. However, both of these initiatives will drive growth, which is a critical component to turning around investor sentiment, an important step that could push the stock back to its fair value quickly. Performance Since Inception Click to enlarge Disclosure: I am/we are long ACCO, CONN, CALL, I, SAVE. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.