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Verizon May Now Be Front-Runner For Yahoo, As Comcast, Google Bail

Verizon ( VZ ) is the front-runner for Yahoo ( YHOO ), now that several rumored bidders including Alphabet ( GOOGL ) unit Google and Comcast ( CMCSA ) have dropped out, the Wall Street Journal reported on Sunday . Yahoo reportedly sent a letter to possible buyers last month, asking them to submit preliminary bids, which are said to be due today. Some buyers might be interested in all or part of Yahoo’s core Web business, while others might want Yahoo’s stakes in Alibaba Group ( BABA ) or Yahoo Japan. Some reports estimate that as many as 40 groups have expressed interest in the wilting Sunnyvale, Calif.-based Web portal. Royalties from Yahoo Japan, thousands of patents and plentiful real estate could boost Yahoo’s bids, wrote SunTrust Robinson Humphrey analyst Robert Peck in a recent research report. Minus a “potential upside” from those assets, SunTrust expects Yahoo to fetch bids in the $6 billion-$8 billion range for its core business. Yahoo has not commented. Yahoo rose 1 cent to 36.52 in the stock market today  Yahoo stock has sunk about 20% on growth concerns, compared to where it was trading this time last year. Verizon stock rose 0.7% to 51.73. AT&T ( T ), IAC/InteractiveCorp ( IAC ) and Time ( TIME ) have also decided not to join the bidding for Yahoo and its core assets, the WSJ said. Yahoo’s core assets include a 15% stake in China e-commerce giant Alibaba and holdings in Yahoo Japan. Time concluded it would be too hard to revive Yahoo’s finances, the WSJ said. Most of Yahoo’s value comes from its 15% stake in Alibaba. Yahoo’s market cap is $34.5 billion. Verizon was likely to face competition from private equity companies, including Bain Capital, Advent International and TPG, according to the WSJ report. YP Holdings, formed in 2012 from AT&T’s Yellow Pages, planned to bid for Yahoo, Bloomberg said. PE firm Cerberus Capital Management owns 53% and AT&T 47%. Verizon, with a market cap of $210 billion and about $4.5 billion in cash on its balance sheet, has the means to purchase Yahoo’s declining Web assets and a logical blueprint for folding them into its fledgling digital media business. Those include AOL properties it acquired last year for $4.4 billion, according to the WSJ report. Verizon has identified video services and online advertising to be the company’s next avenue for growth. It plans to combine customer data from smartphones with advertising inventory on AOL — and possibly Yahoo — to create an online advertising technology platform that can compete with Web giants such as Facebook ( FB ) and Alphabet-owned Google. “Verizon is trying to pivot its business from analog to digital,” Craig Moffett, senior analyst at telecommunications-research firm MoffettNathanson, told the WSJ. “Verizon believes that a combined AOL/Yahoo would provide the digital advertising platform they need to execute their video reinvention strategy.” Either way, news site Re/Code said that documents Yahoo provided to potential bidders predict that Yahoo’s 2016 revenue will drop by close to 15% and its earnings by more than 20%. Yahoo CEO Marissa Mayer has been unable to spark significant earnings and revenue growth since she came aboard in 2012, as Yahoo has struggled to build online- and mobile-ad revenue vs. rivals Google , Facebook and others. Yahoo is set to report Q1 earnings after the close Tuesday. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect Yahoo’s Q1 revenue to fall 12% year over year to $1.08 billion. Yahoo is guiding Q1 revenue at $1.05 billion to $1.09 billion, down 14% to 11%. FactSet expects Yahoo to report revenue ex-TAC of $847 million, down 18%. TAC, or traffic acquisition costs, refer to fees Yahoo pays other sites to carry its ads. Yahoo TAC spending has climbed during each quarter of 2015. The analyst consensus calls for Yahoo’s EPS ex items to plunge 53% to 7 cents.

Amazon Goes Head-To-Head With Netflix In Streaming Video

After amassing a portfolio of critically acclaimed original TV series, Amazon.com ( AMZN ) has decided the time is right for its subscription streaming video service to go head-to-head with industry leader Netflix ( NFLX ). The Seattle-based e-commerce giant late Sunday revealed that it will offer its Amazon Prime Video as a stand-alone service for $8.99 a month, a dollar less than Netflix’s standard streaming plan. Amazon Prime Video was launched five years ago as an extra for subscribers of Amazon Prime, a program that offers free two-day shipping on millions of items. Amazon Prime costs $99 a year. In addition to the stand-alone video service, Amazon also is offering full Prime membership on a monthly basis. Customers can pay $10.99 a month with no annual commitment or save 25% by paying for the full-year plan. Like Netflix, Amazon has been investing in original content as well as signing exclusive licensing deals for cable and broadcast shows. Amazon original series include “Transparent,” “Mozart in the Jungle,” “Catastrophe,” “Bosch,” “The Man in the High Castle” and “Red Oaks.” Other competitors in the Internet video sector include Hulu and Time Warner ‘s ( TWX ) HBO. Hulu is co-owned by Comcast ( CMCSA ), Disney ( DIS ) and Fox ( FOXA ). Amazon’s move comes as many long-time Netflix customers will see the price of their service jump from $7.99 to $9.99 a month starting next month. Netflix boosted its pricing starting two years ago, but it provided grace periods for existing customers. Netflix stock was down about 3% to near 108 in afternoon trading on the stock market today . The Los Gatos, Calif.-based company is scheduled to report first-quarter earnings after the market close today. Amazon stock was up almost 1% to about 631. Amazon gets an IBD Composite Rating of 84 out of a possible 99, and Netflix a 51. For when to buy, hold or sell off Amazon and other top stocks, sign up for a free trial of IBD Leaderboard Amazon is offering the stand-alone video service only in the U.S. for now, but it is likely to take it to international markets soon, CCS Insight analyst Paolo Pescatore said in a research note Monday. Amazon’s new video offer will limit Netflix’s ability to grow its domestic subscriber base, Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter said in a research note Sunday. “The monthly video offering reflects Amazon’s determination to capture an increased share of Netflix’s addressable market,” he said. “While we don’t expect a significant number of current Netflix customers to defect to Amazon Instant Video, it is likely that Amazon and Netflix will divide the remaining uncommitted market on a roughly equal basis, severely impacting Netflix’s continued domestic growth.” Subscriber Fees Hiked Pachter believes Amazon timed the offer to take advantage of the impending price increase at Netflix. An estimated 30 million domestic Netflix subscribers will see their monthly subscription fees go up starting May 9, he said. Pachter rates Amazon stock as outperform with a price target of 700 and Netflix as underperform with a price target of 45. RBC Capital Markets analyst Mark Mahaney said Monday that the Amazon offer “creates a negative headwind for Netflix.” However, Mahaney reiterated his outperform rating on Netflix with a price target of 140. “We view this move by Amazon as a significant negative development for Netflix,” he said in a report. “Amazon certainly has the brand name, the customer relationships and the focus on high-quality consumer experiences to impact the growth in Netflix’s U.S. subscriber base, and perhaps eventually its global subscriber base.” Netflix is facing growth challenges in the U.S. market. In the fourth quarter last year, it missed its own target for new domestic subscribers. But its international growth easily beat expectations and offset U.S. weakness. Netflix Original Shows Rank Tops In a survey released last week, consumers ranked Netflix as No. 1 for original programming. It topped HBO for the first time in the six years that Morgan Stanley has tracked consumer preferences in premium video services. Some 29% of survey respondents said Netflix was best in original programming, up from 23% last year, while HBO came in second place at 18% (compared with 31% last year), Morgan Stanley said. Amazon.com, Hulu and CBS (CBS)-owned Showtime were each near 5%. Netflix original shows include “House of Cards,” “Orange Is the New Black,” “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt,” “Narcos” and Marvel comic-book hero shows “Daredevil” and “Jessica Jones.”

IBM Showcases Video Streaming At NAB Show; More Competition For Akamai?

IBM ( IBM ) pushed further into online and cloud-based video services, unveiling streaming products at the National Association of Broadcasters show in Las Vegas on Monday. IBM downplayed possible competition with Akamai Technologies ( AKAM ), the leader in content delivery network services. IBM, though, seems to be moving onto Akamai’s turf, says Oppenheimer analyst Tim Horan. At the NAB show, IBM took the wraps off Aspera FASPStream , software that IBM says streams live broadcast video over “commodity Internet networks.”  IBM also unveiled an enterprise CDN product that lets companies broadcast live streaming video within their corporate firewalls. IBM’s initial clients for the video streaming products include AOL, part of Verizon Communications ( VZ ); the Canadian Broadcasting Co., Comic-Con and Mazda. “We’re not in the CDN business like Akamai,” Braxton Jarratt, who leads IBM’s cloud video unit, told TechCrunch . He added, though, that IBM has substantial cloud and software resources. IBM has made a few video streaming-related acquisitions. At NAB, Akamai announced the opening of a  broadcast operations control center to support customers’ over-the-top (OTT) video streaming. Cable TV firm Comcast ( CMCSA ) also looms as a new rival of Cambridge, Mass.-based Akamai. Comcast launched a commercial CDN offering in May, 2015. Akamai’s global CDN speeds up video streaming, e-commerce transactions and business software downloads over the Internet. Akamai competes with Level 3 Communications ( LVLT ) and Limelight Networks ( LLNW ) as well as startups Fastly and CloudFlare.