Tag Archives: author

Video: The World Is Going Passive. Is It A Mistake?

Man Group’s 2016 Unconventional Views video series is designed to present original thoughts and insights that challenge the consensus view. The videos feature leading executives from the firm’s four investment engines, Man AHL, Man GLG, Man FRM and Man Numeric, explaining their views on various investment themes. In recent years, there has been a seismic shift within the asset management industry from active to passive investing. In this video, Ben Funnell, Portfolio Manager at Man GLG, considers this shift and explains why he thinks the growing alpha opportunity in the market is tipping the balance back in favor of active management. He outlines several structural and cyclical reasons to support his argument that today’s investors should take a second look at active management: Fund alpha is more important later in a market cycle, and this alpha is vital for many institutional investors with real growth hurdles and obligations to distribute. The stock-picker’s opportunity set is increasing along with the percentage of stock-specific return, which may represent a structural change. Smart beta may not be so smart, especially since allocating away from active managers still requires active decision-making. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The value of an investment and any income derived from it can go down as well as up and investors may not get back their original amount invested. Opinions expressed are those of the author, may not be shared by all personnel of Man Group plc (‘Man’) and are subject to change without notice.

Tactical Asset Allocation – March 2016 Update

Here is the tactical asset allocation update for March 2016. As I mentioned last couple of months, I am now using a new data source for the portfolio updates. I am also maintaining the old portfolio formats in Yahoo Finance for a while. Here is the link to the Yahoo data. Below are the updates for the AGG3, AGG6, and GTAA13 portfolios. The source data can be found here . The big change here is the use of FINVIZ data, and more importantly, that these signals are valid after every trading day. So, while I’ll maintain these month-end updates, this means that you can implement your portfolio changes on any day of the month, not just at month-end. FINVIZ will, at times, generate signals that are slightly different from those of Yahoo Finance. Click to enlarge This month, AGG3 is 33% in gold, a new holding, and one that has not been in the portfolio for quite a while. AGG6 has some more bonds and a holding in real estate, VNQ . The approximate monthly and YTD performance is below. Click to enlarge For the Antonacci dual momentum GEM and GBM portfolios, GEM is still in bonds, BND , and the bond portion of GBM is in SHY . I’ve also made my Antonacci tracking sheet shareable, so you can see the portfolio details for yourself. The Bond 3 quant model (see spreadsheet ) ranks the bond ETFs by 6-month return and uses the absolute 6-month return as a cash filter to be invested or not. The Bond 3 quant model is invested in VGLT, IEF, and HYMB. That’s it for this month. These portfolios signals are valid for the whole month of March. As always, post any questions you have in the comments.

ProShares Re-Configures Its Managed Futures ETF Effort

The managed futures category is one of three liquid alternative categories in 2015 to experience net positive inflows over the course of the year (the other being multi-alternative funds and volatility funds). However, nearly all of the flow in the category is going to mutual funds rather than exchange traded funds, of which there are only four (soon to be three) in the managed futures space. However, this isn’t preventing ProShares from making its second attempt at having a successful product in the market. Back in October 2014, the firm launched its first managed futures ETF, the ProShares Managed Futures Strategy (NYSEARCA: FUTS ), which was structured as a commodities pool. As a result, the ETF issued shareholders a K-1 for tax reporting – not the most desirable feature for ETF investors. Just recently however, ProShares announced that it would be liquidating FUTS and that trading in the ETF will be halted prior to the market open on March 21. In its place, the firm has launched a new ETF: the ProShares Managed Futures Strategy ETF (FUT). “Managed futures strategies have the potential to deliver positive returns in both rising and falling markets,” said ProShares Advisors’ CEO Michael L. Sapir, in a recent statement announcing the launch of the new ETF. “With their low correlation to both stocks and bonds, managed futures strategies can help diversify a stock and bond portfolio.” What’s Different? There are two main differences between the new fund and the old fund. The new fund is structured as an open-ended mutual fund under the Investment Act of 1940, similar to a bulk of other ETFs. In fact, ETF.com notes that many fund companies have been shying away from managed futures funds structured as commodity pools, presumably due to their added tax complexity. This change means that the new fund will issue a 1099 rather than a K-1. That’s a big improvement for anyone looking to keep their tax filings simple (that’s on a relative basis!). The second difference is that the new fund is an actively managed fund, meaning that the advisor can actively manage positions in the portfolio and not be tied solely to what the underlying index is holding. Here again, this is a positive change that will give ProShares a bit of leeway to enhance returns and/or manage certain holdings in a way that will ideally be beneficial to shareholders. What’s the Same? Most significantly, the underlying index of the two funds is the same, which is the S&P Strategic Futures Index . This index, as described by ProShares, uses “an innovative risk-weighting methodology so that each commodity, currency, and fixed income position contributes an equal amount of estimated risk to the overall portfolio when it rebalances monthly.” Now, as an active ETF, the fund will have latitude to deviate from the index. In addition to the underlying index, the portfolio manager, Ryan Dofflemeyer, and the expense ratio, 0.75%, also remain the same. Other Managed Futures ETFs Two other managed futures ETFs are available for investors. The largest and oldest is the WisdomTree Managed Futures Strategy ETF (NYSEARCA: WDTI ) with an inception date of January 5, 2011 and just over $200 million in assets. The second oldest is the $12.3 million First Trust Morningstar Managed Futures Strategy Fund (NYSEARCA: FMF ), which was launched on August 1, 2013. Jason Seagraves contributed to this article.