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The Role Of Quality In Long-Term Value Creation

By Kelly Tang This is the third in a series of blog posts relating to the launch of the S&P Long-Term Value Creation (LTVC) Global Index . In the last blog, we discussed how long-term investing requires looking at metrics that go beyond the standard GAAP financial accounting measures and why the Economic Dimension (ED) score from RobecoSAM was the sustainability score that best complemented the long-term aim of the S&P LTVC Global Index. While the ED score may be a key metric of a firm’s long-term focus on its goals, it is also important to the index to identify how these policies have translated themselves and are reflected in the quality of a company’s earnings, balance sheet, and profitability. It is safe to say that the definition of quality and the characteristics of a high-quality company will generate numerous and varied responses from academics and analysts alike. In addition, the difference in opinion will persist in not only the definition, but also the number of metrics that should be used to gauge quality. Our colleagues previously examined the quality debate and presented their findings and S&P Dow Jones Indices’ stance in ” Quality: A Distinct Equity Factor? ” (Ung and Luk). The paper presented the framework for defining quality, which included categories such as profitability, earnings quality, and strength in balance sheet. The report included back-tested performance results, which showed that the proposed quality factor was beneficial in contributing to excess long-term investment returns. For the S&P Quality Indices, the following three metrics are used to define a quality company. Return on equity (ROE) was selected as the preferred metric for profitability, and companies with higher ROEs have sustained competitive advantages such as branding or competitive positioning, which help them maintain their profitability. Quality of earnings was another criterion to determine quality as measured by the balance sheet accruals (BSA) ratio (change in net operating assets/average operating assets). The BSA provides a way to measure how a firm scores in its earnings management; higher accruals are a potential red flag as higher levels of noncash items may lead to financial statement revisions. Finally, the financial leverage ratio was selected as the third metric to gauge balance sheet strength, with the rationale that high-quality companies have the ability to finance their ongoing business activities without having to incur excessive debt levels, protecting them in times of crisis. One of the key findings from Ung and Luk’s paper was that although quality strategies have performed well on their own, they appeared to work well when combined with other factor strategies as well. This was the basis for our thinking to combine quality with economic sustainability factors to create the S&P LTVC Global Index. In our final blog of the series, we will dig deeper into the unique structural aspects and performance attributes of the S&P LTVC Global Index. Disclosure: © S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC 2015. Indexology® is a trademark of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC (SPDJI). S&P® is a trademark of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC and Dow Jones® is a trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC, and those marks have been licensed to S&P DJI. This material is reproduced with the prior written consent of S&P DJI. For more information on S&P DJI and to see our full disclaimer, visit www.spdji.com/terms-of-use .

Where’s The Gold-Hedged S&P 500?

Back in 2010, there was a fair amount of hoopla generated by the launch of the E-TRACS S&P 500 Gold Hedged Index ETN (NYSEARCA: SPGH ) , a first-of-its kind product designed to smooth out bumps in a then-nascent equity market recovery. By tying together two historically divergent assets-gold and stocks-note holders should have been able to simulate S&P 500 returns hedged against the fluctuations of the U.S. dollar versus gold. Why “should have”? Well, that’s an interesting story. But let’s not get ahead of ourselves. First, you need to know that SPGH notes are unsecured debt obligations of BBB-plus-rated UBS AG (NYSE: UBS ) (Jersey). Um, that’s the Isle of Jersey, not the Garden State. You also should know that the SPGH offering was one of the Swiss bank’s most lightly subscribed ETN issues. In October, when a significant liquidity event occurred (more on that in a minute), more than 99 percent of SPGH notes issued remained in the hands of UBS Securities LLC, the bank’s selling agent. One of the reasons for the light interest was the note’s call feature. Starting in 2011, UBS AG had the right to redeem the notes at market value whenever it pleased. Note buyers, in effect, were forced to give away a put option of indeterminate length with an unknown strike price. No wonder interest was sparse. Then came that liquidity event. Last fall, UBS AG announced it was suspending issuance of new notes in a wide swath of its ETRACs ETNs, including SPGH. The notes continued to trade on the NYSE Arca mart and UBS Securities LLC could still sell from its inventory the 3.9 million notes it already held. But no matter; the announcement had a chilling effect on already frozen sales. Then, the ETN dropped off the securities masters of retail brokerages and financial websites. Just try to pull up a quote for SPGH on, say, TD Ameritrade’s (NASDAQ: AMTD ) platform or on Yahoo! Finance nowadays. You get nuthin’. Zip. Nada. Bupkes. And that’s too bad. The notes’ intrinsic value has shot up recently as the equity market faltered and gold finally found a bid. The index underlying the SPGH notes was up 12 percent in January versus a 4 percent gain in the S&P 500. And, in February, the correlation between gold and stocks grew even more negative (see the chart below). Click to enlarge Obviously, the value of these notes can’t be realized by new investors. Oh, sure, you can still find a two-way market posted on NYSE Arca, but you’d have a hard time getting a trade executed if your broker won’t recognize the security. Still, there is hope for those who’d like a self-balancing stock-and-gold package. There’s a new gold-hedged S&P 500 product-this time a fund, not a note-awaiting launch. The REX Gold Hedged S&P 500 ETF (NYSE Arca: GHS) will track virtually the same index as SPGH while carrying lower annual expenses. And it won’t expose holders to the risk of dealing with a capricious debt-issuing bank. Details can be found at www.rexetf.com . Brad Zigler is REP./WealthManagement’s Alternative Investments Editor. Previously, he was the head of marketing, research and education for the Pacific Exchange’s (now NYSE Arca) option market and the iShares complex of exchange traded funds.