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How To Avoid The Worst Style ETFs: Q3’15
Summary The large number of ETFs has little to do with serving your best interests. Below are three red flags you can use to avoid the worst ETFs. The following presents the least and most expensive style ETFs as well as the worst overall style ETFs per our Q3’15 Style ratings. Question: Why are there so many ETFs? Answer: ETF providers tend to make lots of money on each ETF so they create more products to sell. The large number of ETFs has little to do with serving your best interests. Below are three red flags you can use to avoid the worst ETFs: Inadequate Liquidity This issue is the easiest issue to avoid, and our advice is simple. Avoid all ETFs with less than $100 million in assets. Low levels of liquidity can lead to a discrepancy between the price of the ETF and the underlying value of the securities it holds. Plus, low asset levels tend to mean lower volume in the ETF and larger bid-ask spreads. High Fees ETFs should be cheap, but not all of them are. The first step here is to know what is cheap and expensive. To ensure you are paying at or below average fees, invest only in ETFs with total annual costs below 0.46%, which is the average total annual cost of the 281 U.S. equity style ETFs we cover. Figure 1 shows the most and least expensive Style ETFs. QuantShares provides 2 of the most expensive ETFs while Schwab ETFs are among the cheapest. Figure 1: 5 Least and Most Expensive Style ETFs (click to enlarge) Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings Investors need not pay high fees for quality holdings. The i Shares Enhanced U.S. Large-Cap ETF (NYSEARCA: IELG ) earns our Very Attractive rating and has low total annual costs of only 0.08%. On the other hand, the Schwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF (NYSEARCA: SCHA ) holds poor stocks. No matter how cheap an ETF, if it holds bad stocks, its performance will be bad. The quality of an ETFs holdings matters more than its price. Poor Holdings Avoiding poor holdings is by far the hardest part of avoiding bad ETFs, but it is also the most important because an ETFs performance is determined more by its holdings than its costs. Figure 2 shows the ETFs within each style with the worst holdings or portfolio management ratings . Note that there are no ETFs in the All Cap Growth and All Cap Value style under coverage. Figure 2: Style ETFs with the Worst Holdings (click to enlarge) Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings Ark, iShares, and Guggenheim appear more often than any other providers in Figure 2, which means that they offer the most ETFs with the worst holdings. Our overall ratings on ETFs are based primarily on our stock ratings of their holdings. The Danger Within Buying an ETF without analyzing its holdings is like buying a stock without analyzing its business and finances. Put another way, research on ETF holdings is necessary due diligence because an ETF’s performance is only as good as its holdings’ performance. PERFORMANCE OF ETF’s HOLDINGs = PERFORMANCE OF ETF Disclosure: David Trainer and Max Lee receive no compensation to write about any specific stock, style, or theme . Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. (More…) I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Where In The World To Look For Opportunities
While Russ believes the outlook for U.S. stocks may be muted, he sees opportunities in other parts of the world, particularly in Asia. Kisan / Shutterstock After weeks of struggling, global stocks stabilized last week. However, market volatility remains elevated. Looking at realized returns over the past month accessible via Bloomberg data, annualized volatility on the S&P 500 Index is above 30 percent, triple its early August level. Looking forward, the bumpy ride in the U.S. is likely to continue , given the persistence of several factors, including a pending interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) and expensive U.S. stock valuations. Without the tailwind of easier money, U.S. equities will need to get by on earnings growth, of which there hasn’t been much lately, rather than monetary policy-induced multiple expansion. But while the outlook for U.S. stocks may be muted, I do see potential opportunities in other parts of the world, as I write in my new weekly commentary, “ More Volatility on U.S. Horizon Has Sights Turning to Asia .” In particular, Asian stocks, both in Japan and in emerging markets (EMs), look attractive right now relative to other regions. Two Potential Opportunities in Asia Japan Last week, Japanese stocks, as measured by the Nikkei 225 stock index, enjoyed their biggest one-day advance since 2008 . Investors were encouraged by Prime Minister Abe’s pledge to further lower the corporate tax rate. Although implementation of the so-called “third arrow” of Abe’s reforms has been mixed, Japanese corporate profitability continues to improve. The return-on-equity ( ROE ) for Toyko Stock Price Index (MUTF: TOPIX ) stocks was 8.6 percent in August, up roughly a half point from a year ago, as data accessible via Bloomberg shows. As such, investors may want to consider Japanese equities . Emerging Asia I also see potential opportunities in Asia’s emerging markets, despite my more cautious stance toward the broader emerging market asset class . Many Asian emerging markets, including the Chinese market listed in Hong Kong, have sold off in concert with China, leaving their valuations once again cheap. In addition, with most countries in emerging Asia running a current account surplus and possessing sizable foreign currency reserves , I believe emerging Asia could be better positioned to withstand a Fed tightening cycle than other emerging markets. This dynamic has been evident in the relative resilience of emerging market currencies, an important determinant of overall return for dollar-based investors. With a few notable exceptions, namely currencies in Malaysia and Indonesia, the currencies in most Asian emerging markets are holding up relatively well against the dollar, as Bloomberg data show. Even in China, despite all the hand wringing over the recent devaluation, the yuan is down less than 3 percent against the dollar this year, according to Bloomberg data. In contrast, as the data show, currencies in Russia, Columbia, Turkey and Brazil have plunged this year. Finally, many investors assume that commodities and emerging markets go hand-in-hand . In fact, most of the countries in Asia, including China and India, are large commodity importers. They benefit when commodity prices decline. This is in contrast to the situation in places like Brazil, a large exporter of raw materials. Last week Standard & Poor’s downgraded Brazil’s sovereign rating back to junk status. Admittedly, other factors—notably a major political scandal and deteriorating fiscal picture— also played a part . The bottom line: For all of the reasons mentioned above, I see pockets of value in Asia, both in Japan and in the region’s emerging markets. This post originally appeared on the BlackRock Blog