Tag Archives: apple

IBD 50’s Broadcom Jumps Into Buy Range, Ambarella Down On Earnings

Apple ( AAPL ) supplier and IBD 50 list growth stock  Broadcom ( AVGO ) opened sharply up Friday, jumping into buy range. Thursday afternoon the company’s  quarterly report beat estimates  despite slowing iPhone sales. In midmorning trading Friday Broadcom was up 6%, near 146 — putting it now at the top of buy range from a double-bottom base with a buy point of 138.79. Several high-rated chipmakers have been approaching buy zones lately with the market returned to an uptrend, including the two chipmakers on the IBD 50 list: Broadcom and Nvidia ( NVDA ), which makes chips for computation-intensive processes including graphics, gaming and self-driving cars. Ambarella ( AMBA ) stock was down more than 5% in the stock market today , after the maker of image-processing chips issued disappointing revenue guidance Thursday afternoon while topping views for its fourth quarter. Friday analysts lifted price targets for Broadcom and lowered them for Ambarella. Ambarella is a supplier to action-camera maker GoPro ( GPRO ), which was trading up more than 5% Friday. It’s down about 21% this year. “During the fourth quarter we saw strong sales from professional IP security, automotive aftermarket, home monitoring and flying camera markets,” Ambarella CEO Fermi Wang said in the company’s earnings release. “This was largely offset, however, by a continued decline in the wearable sports camera market.” Ambarella is working to diversify its end markets and customer base. For its Q4 ended Jan. 31, Ambarella said revenue rose 5% from the year-earlier quarter to $68 million, and earnings per share fell 5.9% to 64 cents. That beat the view of analysts polled by Thomson Reuters, who on average expected EPS of 48 cents on revenue of $66 million. But Ambarella gave lagging guidance for its fiscal Q1 2017. It sees revenue of $55 million to $57 million and net income of $8 million to $10 million. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters have been expecting revenue of $62 million, and net income of just over $14 million. Ambarella gets an IBD Composite Rating of 74 and Broadcom a 98 out of a possible 99, factoring in a variety of metrics such as earnings growth and stock-price gains. RELATED: Can IBD 50’s Broadcom Drive Chip Stocks?

Plan To Survive: Be Systematic! (Part 4)

My favorite strategy indices have a low correlation to both stocks and to bonds. As always, our cutting-edge strategy indices are only available to subscribers, but I hope that some of the strategy indices presented here will provide inspiration for readers to create their own methods for dealing with an increasingly difficult investment environment. Remember, hope is for people who do not use data. Wise investors plan using evidence-based methods. The logic behind this strategy index is that we can generate return from exposure to a leveraged S&P 500 position which only risks 30% of our capital. The position almost acts like a synthetic call option on the S&P 500. We can hedge this exposure imperfectly, but somewhat effectively, by buying leveraged long duration government bonds, getting short leveraged Euros (deflation anyone?), and by buying leveraged gold in case of monetary instability or inflation. I think this strategy could struggle if stocks and bonds drop simultaneously, with the dollar weakening vs. other currencies. Please note that even though the rules of this strategy index have been publicly released, like any other index, we require the execution of a licensing agreement with ZOMMA LLC for any form of commercial use, whatsoever. ZOMMA Quant Warthog II Rules: I. Buy UPRO (NYSEARCA: UPRO ) with 30% of the dollar value of the portfolio. II. Buy TMF (NYSEARCA: TMF ) with 20% of the dollar value of the portfolio III. Buy EUO (NYSEARCA: EUO ) with 40% of the dollar value of the portfolio. IV. Buy UGL (NYSEARCA: UGL ) with 10% of the dollar value of the portfolio. V. Rebalance annually to maintain the 30%/20%/40%/10% dollar value split between the instruments. Here are the results of a backtest of these rules in a log scale: (click to enlarge) Click to enlarge (click to enlarge) Click to enlarge This strategy index has powered through recent market volatility largely unscathed. Its Sharpe and MAR decimate the S&P 500 over the same period, with true multi-asset class exposure for both return generation and hedging. This helps the strategy achieve a lower volatility than that of the S&P 500, with a CAGR which exceeds the S&P 500’s by approximately 6% per year. Thanks for reading. We feature even more impressive strategy indices in our subscription service. If this post was useful to you, consider giving it a try. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, but may initiate a long position in UPRO, UGL over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

How To Play The Choppy Market With Cheap Smart Beta ETFs

The global stock market has been shaky, with a series of woes related to China and oil price. While the number of headwinds is raising questions on the health of the global economy, domestic growth seems to be on track with a spate of encouraging data lately. Amid heightened volatility and uncertainty, investors are seeking some smart stock selection strategies to alleviate the risks in the market. One such strategy is smart beta, which seeks to deliver better risk-adjusted returns, and has the potential to outperform the market even in turbulent times, while keeping the cost low. This strategy has been gaining immense popularity in recent years given its unique features and incredible stock selection methodology. As per PowerShares , smart beta is the fastest-growing segment of the ETF industry, with a staggering growth of 21% over the past three years. It currently accounts for 12% of the total ETF industry (see all the ETF categories here ). Why Smart Beta? The smart beta strategy helps to capture market inefficiencies in a transparent way by adding extra metrics, like dividends, volatility, revenue, earnings, momentum, equal weight and other fundamental factors, to the market cap or rules-based indices. It often closes the gap between passive and active investing. Also, it takes specific factors from the active management universe at a lower cost and instills it in a passive listed fund. As a result, the smart beta strategy offers the best of both active and passive strategies, providing investors an opportunity to increase portfolio diversification, reduce risk and enhance returns (alpha generation) over time. While the promise of smart beta is great, the strategy has certain drawbacks, including concentration issues, higher turnover and lower trading volumes. Though backtest results showed their outperformance over longer periods, the strategy could lag during a specific time period or in a particular economic cycle. Still, investors could earn above-average returns by selecting the right ETFs according to the market conditions or trends. Smart Beta ETFs in Focus The space is crowded with a variety of products, including the simplest equal-weighting, fundamental-weighting and volatility/momentum-based weighting methodologies. However, dividend ETFs are the primary drivers of smart beta growth this year, followed by low volatility and value factor. As such, we have highlighted four smart beta ETFs that are suitable for investors in the current choppy market and are low-cost choices in their specific fields. PowerShares S&P 500 High Dividend Portfolio ETF (NYSEARCA: SPHD ) The lure of dividend ETFs is back, as yields are at lower levels and volatility is at its peak. While there are several smart beta ETFs targeting dividend investing, SPHD could be an excellent choice. This fund follows the S&P 500 Low Volatility High Dividend Index and holds 50 securities, which have historically provided high dividend yields and low volatility. It is widely spread out across individual securities, as each holds less than 3.7% of assets. From a sector look, financials takes the top spot at 20.5%, while utilities, industrials and consumer discretionary round off the next three with a double-digit exposure each. The fund has so far managed assets worth $811.8 million, while volume is solid, trading at around 256,000 shares per day. The expense ratio came in at 0.30%. iShares MSCI USA Minimum Volatility ETF (NYSEARCA: USMV ) Given the high level of volatility, investors could be well protected with USMV. This is the largest and most popular ETF in the low volatility space, with AUM of $9.7 billion and average daily volume of 2.6 million shares. It offers exposure to 169 U.S. stocks having lower volatility characteristics than the broader U.S. equity market by tracking the MSCI USA Minimum Volatility Index. The expense ratio comes in at 0.15%. The fund is well spread across a number of components, with each holding less than 1.7% share. From a sector look, financials, healthcare, consumer staples and information technology occupy the top positions, with double-digit exposure each. The fund has a Zacks ETF Rank of 2 or “Buy” rating with a Medium risk outlook. iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF (NYSEARCA: QUAL ) Though the chance of rate hikes this month faded out given the ongoing financial instability, a slew of encouraging data lately points to a rate hike sometime later this year, putting the spotlight on quality ETFs like QUAL. This fund tracks the MSCI USA Sector Neutral Quality Index and provides exposure to the stocks with positive fundamentals, like high return on equity, stable year-over-year earnings growth and low financial leverage. This results in a basket of 123 securities that are pretty spread across a number of sectors and securities, with none holding more than 5.11% of assets. Information technology, financials, healthcare and consumer discretionary each accounts for double-digit exposure. The product has amassed more than $2 billion in its asset base and charges just 15 bps in annual fees from investors. However, average trading volume is solid, at more than 295,000 shares per day. SPDR Russell 1000 Momentum Focus ETF (NYSEARCA: ONEO ) With the receding fears of a recession in the U.S., investors could tap the upcoming stock rally with this momentum ETF. This fund provides exposure to the large cap U.S. stocks having a combination of core factors (high value, high quality and low size characteristics) with high momentum characteristics. This is easily done by tracking the Russell 1000 Momentum Focused Factor Index, and the approach results in a broad basket of 908 securities that are widely diversified, with none holding more than 0.83% of assets. Consumer discretionary takes the top spot at 20.2%, while producer durables and financial services round off the next two spots with double-digit exposure each. ONEO is new to the space, having accumulated $319.5 million in its asset base within three months. It charges a lower fee of 20 bps per year and trades in solid volume of around 148,000 shares. Original Post