Tag Archives: apple

Apple, Facebook Among Top Technology Investment Choices

Facebook ( FB ) received honors as the top Internet investment idea by Credit Suisse, followed by Amazon.com ( AMZN ) and Alphabet ( GOOGL ). In tech hardware, Apple ( AAPL ) is a favorite. Credit Suisse based its picks on a six- to 12-month time horizon. Credit Suisse analyst Stephen Ju says Facebook can drive long-term revenue growth without a material lift in ad loads. Near-term ad growth drivers include Facebook’s video- and photo-sharing site Instagram and its premium video, which brings in high ad rates. He says Wall Street’s projections for Facebook are too conservative and underestimate the long-term moneymaking potential of other products, including Messenger and WhatsApp. Ju has a price target on Facebook stock of 135. Facebook stock was down 2.5%, near 110, in afternoon trading in the stock market today . Amazon, Ju’s No. 2 investment, should provide upside to estimates, he says, in part from ongoing strength in e-commerce. Ju has a price target on Amazon of 800. Amazon stock was up a fraction Friday afternoon, near 593. Ju expects Alphabet to narrow the monetization gap between mobile and desktop, while increasing ad loads. He also expects Alphabet to get strong growth from YouTube and its Google Play app store. His price target on Alphabet stock is 930. Alphabet stock was down a fraction Friday afternoon, near 756. Regarding Apple, Credit Suisse analyst Kulbinder Garcha rates it a top investment idea, saying multiple growth drivers include its strength with the iPhone, iPad and Mac computer and greater adoption of the iOS ecosystem. Another is Apple’s commitment to cash distributions. Garcha has a price target on Apple of 150. Apple stock was trading above 128, up a fraction, Friday afternoon.

The Buyback Binge: Is It Good For Shareowners?

By Paul McCaffrey Share buybacks haven’t been getting the best press of late. They’ve been dismissed as ” self-cannibalization ,” “corporate cocaine,” a recipe for conflict of interest, and a form of stock price manipulation – not to mention shortsighted and counterproductive . Yet share buybacks are incredibly popular. Since 2009, S&P 500 companies have spent more than $2 trillion on repurchases. From 2005 through late 2015, IBM (NYSE: IBM ) spent $125 billion on them. In the first three quarters of 2015 alone, Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL ) bought back $30.2 billion worth. Indeed, much of the credit for the post-financial crisis bull market of the last seven years can be attributed to the ubiquity of share buybacks. At bottom, repurchases are a way of rewarding shareowners. By buying up shares, a company raises the value of those remaining with its stockholders, which in turn will tend to boost earnings per share (EPS). At the same time, buybacks are more tax efficient for shareowners, than, say, spending the capital on taxable dividends. Share buybacks, proponents maintain, are also a good use of excess cash when business circumstances make the timing for other outlays, whether acquisitions, new research, expansion, etc., less than ideal. Critics argue that whatever the upsides of buybacks, they tend to be short-lived, adding no real value over the long term. Every dollar spent on buybacks is one less that could otherwise be used on research and development, acquisitions, etc. Management surely could find a more productive use of capital. And sometimes the repurchases are financed by issuing debt. The timing can also be problematic. Repurchases may make sense if a stock is undervalued, but if a stock is priced higher than its intrinsic worth, any buyback is a net loss. Buybacks can create a degree of moral hazard for management as well, skeptics claim. Pay packages are often tied to EPS, so executives may be incentivized to implement buybacks and sacrifice the firm’s future viability for a short-term boost in EPS. Similarly, if compensation is in any way a function of share price, executives might be inclined to use share repurchases to meet their targets. Buybacks can likewise be employed to facilitate share options programs for management, effectively transferring value from shareowner to executives. To get a sense of how investment professionals view share buybacks, we polled readers of CFA Institute Financial NewsBrief . Specifically, we asked them whether share buybacks were good for shareowners. Are share buybacks a net positive or negative for shareowners? A majority (53%) of the 814 respondents said that, on the whole, share buybacks constituted a net benefit to shareowners. Another 24% declared that they were neither positive nor negative, while 21% felt they were detrimental. Of course, the poll question and the results have a number of enigmas embedded in them. The degree of variation encapsulated in the word “shareowner” necessarily complicates the matter. Each shareowner is unique, with different inclinations and incentives. Certainly, share buybacks might benefit the shareowners anxious to unload their stakes. But those with a longer time horizon might have a vastly different take on things. It also brings up the whole concept of shareholder value, and by extension, shareholder value maximization and whether that it or isn’t a dumb idea . And what about the larger implications of share buybacks? Ultimately, the poll focuses on only one kind of stakeholder. Whether repurchases are beneficial to a company’s long-term health, its employees, the markets, and the larger economy are entirely different issues, and well worth further exploration. Disclaimer: Please note that the content of this site should not be construed as investment advice, nor do the opinions expressed necessarily reflect the views of CFA Institute.

India ETFs To Soar On Rate Cut?

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) lowered its key rate to an over five-year low on April 5, 2016. This was the first cut in 2016 followed by four rate cuts in 2015. On Tuesday, the central bank slashed its key interest rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 6.50%, in line with the market expectations, to bolster business in the economy. The Indian stock market took giant strides in 2014 on pro-growth political changes only to lose in 2015, probably due to political deadlock. So far this year (as of April 4, 2016), most of the India ETFs are in the red, but could turn around on monetary policy easing. Not only this, the Reserve Bank of India hinted at accommodative monetary policy going forward, giving market experts reasons to see another 25 bps cut later this year, per Reuters . The move was prompted by easing inflation. Raghuram Rajan, the RBI governor, sounded hopeful of hitting the 5% inflation target for March 2017. The next target is 4.2% by March 2018. Investors who put more emphasis on slowing GDP data for the U.S. economy for the October-December quarter (7.3% followed by 7.7% growth rate in the second quarter), will now find some reason to invest in Asia’s third-largest economy. This along with stubbornly low oil prices in the global market and a relatively stable currency in the wake of a subdued greenback should propel the Indian stock market in the days to come. After all, India is heavily reliant on imports to meet its energy requirements. So, a massive drop in oil prices last year came as a boon to the economy and saved India’s significant foreign exchanges. While all India ETFs should bounce following the rate cut, below we highlight three small-cap ETFs that might get an edge over their peers. This is because small-cap stocks rebound more than the larger ones when the domestic economy picks up. These pint-sized stocks are less affected by global market turmoil than their larger counterparts. iShares MSCI India Small Cap Index Fund (BATS: SMIN ) This product provides exposure to the small cap segment of the broad Indian stock market by tracking the MSCI India Small Cap Index. Holding 236 securities in its basket, it is widely spread out across number of securities with each holding less than 1.96% of assets. Consumer discretionary takes the top spot making up for one-fifth of the portfolio, closely followed by industrials (20.4%) and financials (17.8%). The fund is unpopular and illiquid with AUM of $63.1 million and average daily volume of 17,000 shares. It charges 74 bps in annual fees from investors. The fund is down 7.7% so far this year (as of April 4, 2016). India Small-Cap Index ETF (NYSEARCA: SCIF ) This fund also targets the small cap segment and tracks the Market Vectors India Small-Cap Index. Here again, financials occupies the top position from a sector look at 28.8% while industrials and consumer discretionary round off the next two spots. The fund has so far amassed $153.8 million in its asset base while charging 89 bps in annual fees. Volume is decent exchanging more than 84,000 shares in hand a day. The fund is up 10% so far this year (as of April 4, 2016). India Small Cap ETF (NYSEARCA: SCIN ) This $19.2 million fund invests about 23% in the financial sector followed by 22.85% in the industrial sector. Technology and utilities sectors also got double-digit exposure in the fund. In total, the fund gives exposure to 74 stocks. It charges 85 bps in fees and has lost about 13.1% so far this year (as of April 4, 2016). EGShares India Infrastructure ETF (NYSEARCA: INXX ) Apart from small-cap ETFs, infrastructure stocks and ETFs will also get a boost from this move. As this sector is debt-heavy in nature, a decline in interest rates will favor it. This ETF provides exposure to 30 Indian stocks. It is pretty well spread out across components with none of the securities holding more than 5.98% of assets. With respect to sector holdings, construction & materials takes the top spot at 17.3%, followed by electricity (16.5%), mobile telecommunications (15.1%) and industrial engineering (10.6%). The product has managed assets worth $40 million and trades in volume of nearly 22,000 million shares a day. It has an expense ratio of 0.85% and has lost 2.8% so far this year (as of April 4, 2016). Original Post