Tag Archives: apple

GoPro Finds Woe In High Action-Camera Inventories

Beleaguered GoPro ( GPRO ) saw its shares tank anew on Monday on a report that unsold Hero action cameras are piling up at retail. GoPro stock fell 8.3% to 12.82 on the stock market today . Key supplier Ambarella ( AMBA ), which makes image-processing chips, saw its shares slide 5.9% to 41.96. Pacific Crest Securities analyst Brad Erickson said his firm’s U.S. retail checks showed GoPro’s days of inventory nearing all-time highs. “Channel inventory is again too high,” Erickson said in a report Sunday. “Our checks detected days of inventory at roughly three weeks consistently over the past month, and we estimate aggregate sell-through in the United States was down nearly 40% year-over-year in Q1.” He predicted continued “action camera softness” and expressed doubts about whether GoPro’s planned Karma drone could turn things around for the company. He rates GoPro stock as sector weight, with a fair value of 9 to 10. GoPro’s Hero action cameras are “a compelling device for a small niche of buyers,” but the company needs to improve ease of use to expand the market, Erickson said. GoPro is expected to launch its flying camera drone toward the end of the second quarter. The device could double GoPro’s total addressable market, he said. “We believe the stock has gotten some recent lift anticipating Karma, which could persist depending on how it is initially perceived by investors,” Erickson said. There are many unknowns about Karma including price, functionality and how it will compare to competitors like DJI. Erickson estimates that 5 million to 6 million consumer, camera-enabled drones will ship this year worldwide, roughly equivalent to the action camera market. RELATED: GoPro Rockets After Hiring Key Apple Designer

How Much Will iPhone Sales Fall In Apple’s March Quarter?

Apple ( AAPL ) investors are bracing for bad news in the company’s fiscal second-quarter report due out after the market close Tuesday. Apple executives have already signaled that iPhone unit sales will fall on a year-over-year basis for the first time ever in Q2. The big money questions are: How much will iPhone sales fall and how will the product fare ahead of the fall launch of the iPhone 7? Wall Street analysts on average expect Apple to report fiscal Q2 iPhone sales of about 50 million units. That compares with 61.17 million units in the same quarter last year. “Given that Apple is nearing the end of the iPhone 6-series cycle and facing difficult iPhone comparisons, we are modeling a year-over-year decline in sales, profits and iPhone units in Q2,” Drexel Hamilton analyst Brian White said in a research note Monday. He remains positive on the stock because of the potential for upgrades around the iPhone 7 as well as an enhanced capital return program for shareholders expected to be announced Tuesday. White rates Apple stock a buy, with a price target of 200. Apple fell 0.6% to 105.08 on the stock market today . White is modeling for Apple to sell 48.05 million iPhones in Q2, down 21%. He predicts that Apple will sell 39.05 million iPhones in fiscal Q3 and 42.05 million in fiscal Q4, down 18% and 12%, respectively. RBC Capital Markets analyst Amit Daryanani on Sunday reiterated his outperform rating on Apple stock with a price target of 130. He predicts that Apple sold 48.3 million iPhones in the March quarter. Cowen analyst Timothy Arcuri on Sunday maintained his outperform rating on Apple stock with a price target of 135. Arcuri is modeling for Apple to sell 47 million iPhones in fiscal Q2. He is looking for Apple to sell 44.5 million units in Q3 and 50.5 million units in Q4, down 6% and up 5%, respectively. BMO Capital Markets analyst Tim Long estimates that Apple sold 52 million iPhones in the March quarter, down 15%. For the June quarter, he sees 44 million iPhone sales, down 7%. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect Apple to earn $2 a share on sales of $51.97 billion in the March quarter. On a year-over-year basis, earnings per share are forecast to fall 14% with sales down 10%. It would mark the company’s first quarterly decline in EPS in nearly three years and first drop in sales since 2003. For the current quarter, Wall Street is modeling Apple to earn $1.76 a share, down 5%, on sales of $47.32 billion, also down 5%. Image provided by Shutterstock . RELATED: Apple Q2 Earnings To Clash With New Cash Return Plan

Generating Income From Unlikely Sources: Financial Advisors’ Daily Digest

SA Dividends, Income & Retirement Editor Robyn Conti here, subbing in for Gil, who’s observing Passover this week. I’ll do my best to fill his very talented and knowledgeable shoes, and continue to keep you up to date daily on the latest FA analysis and news here on Seeking Alpha. Generating income these days is more difficult than ever due to the low rate environment, but that hasn’t stopped masses of investors from jumping with both feet into income investments that are too costly relative to their yields. Joel Johnson from True-Bearing.com emphasizes the importance of helping income-oriented clients invest for specific outcomes, and talks about how those solutions are more likely to be found in more “off the beaten path” investments, which present profit-generating opportunities for advisors: Outcome-oriented investing, once dominated by institutions offering low cost defined benefit plans, is a challenging job… Investment advisors can now create risk-aware portfolios designed to meet the specific income needs of their clients. The portfolios contain funds that invest in non-traditional sources of income. The portfolios should feature investments that are not overly expensive. Investing in themes is integral to generating alpha and hedging your portfolio against macroeconomic changes…” Harry Long’s article on ETF dividend strategies dovetails nicely, proposing several ideas for seeking out alternative income instruments while avoiding volatility. In contrast, on the subject of outflows from income investments, if you or your clients have muni bond funds coming due in the next few months, now’s the time to take action. SA contributor Patrick Luby highlights an historical summer trend in muni bond redemptions , per Bloomberg: … this year is expected to follow the same pattern, with $38.2 billion rolling off in June, $33.5 billion in July, and $29.9 billion in August. (The monthly average this year is just under $26 billion.) Forecast redemptions include maturing bonds as well as bonds that have been advance refunded or current refunded and are expected to be called away. For those fond of quick math, that’s more than $100 billion in redemptions — quite a round, and a rather hefty, number. Luby points out that, while reinvesting principal is generally an attractive benefit of owning individual muni bonds, due to the current rate situation and economic uncertainty, advisors and their clients may be unsure how to, or even if they want to, reinvest. He suggests those who have bonds coming due (maturing or pre-refunded) in the next several months consider the following: Changing asset allocation by using redeemed municipal bond proceeds to invest in another asset class will cause a shift in the overall portfolio risk profile, and should not be done unless called for by the investment plan. Don’t wait for the principal to be returned to you to consider what to do. Due to the volume of principal that will be seeking reinvestment, muni bond investors may find themselves competing with each other for a limited supply of appropriate bonds. Investors in high-tax jurisdictions with a preference for in-state double-exempt bonds may find their options even more severely reduced. Consider making provisions for reinvestment in advance of your bond’s redemption date. Pay attention now to the new issue calendar for appropriate issues that will settle after the maturity date of your maturing/refunded bond. As an alternative to individual bonds, you may wish to consider using a municipal bond ETF to maintain asset class exposure while waiting for a suitable replacement security. (To learn more about doing this, read my recent article about using duration as a guide to selecting municipal bond ETFs, available here .) These are definitely items of importance for advisors and muni bond investors to keep an eye on should redemptions proceed as forecast. Finally, since there appears to be quite a hefty focus on oil, where it’s headed, and the frothy politics involved therein, here are several stories offering a variety of views and insights on the volatile commodity: Daniel Jones takes a particularly bullish view on oil . However, Simply Investing says don’t expect the rally to last for long . The Heisenberg breaks down the nefarious geopolitics of oil price movements . Resident SA commodity expert Andrew Hecht explains how to read the “tea leaves” for crude following the OPEC stalemate in Doha earlier this month.