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The Best And Worst Of February: Long/Short Equity

Long/short equity mutual funds and ETFs suffered another month of losses in February, falling 0.33% in the aggregate versus a drop in the S&P 500 Index of 0.13%. Of the universe of 179 funds with a full month of performance in February, only 65 managed to post monthly gains, but there were some particularly strong standouts. Nevertheless, the category saw total outflows of $399 million over the month and more than $3.9 billion for the year ending February 29, 2015. Will long/short equity funds be able to rebound and stem the outflows, or will the category continue to lose assets in March? Time will tell. Best Performers in February The three best-performing long/short equity funds in February were: QuantShares Hedged Dividend Income Fund (NYSEARCA: DIVA ) Gotham Absolute 500 Fund (MUTF: GFIVX ) Gotham Total Return Fund (MUTF: GTRFX ) The 1-year old QuantShares fund, with $3.6 million in assets, was February’s top performer, returning an astounding 9.26% for the month. For the year ending February 29, however, the fund was down 1.97%, but this was surprisingly good enough to rank in the top decile of the category. The fund’s one-year beta, relative to the S&P 500, was 0.45, but its alpha of -0.21% resulted in a Sharpe ratio of -0.35. Still, given the category’s substandard performance overall, investors invested a net $1.23 million in the fund for the year ending on Leap Day. Gotham’s pair of funds – GFIVX and GTRFX – ranked #2 and 3, respectively. The former returned +5.66% in February, giving it one-year returns of -2.83% through the end of the month, handily beating the S&P 500 Index, which fell 6.19% over the same period; while the latter returned +5.08% for the month, and didn’t have one-year returns since it launched on March 31, 2015. GFIVX, the more mature fund, had a 0.72 beta, alpha of 1.77% and volatility of 11.55% for the year ending February 29. This resulted in a one-year Sharpe ratio of -0.20, compared to that of the Index of -0.45. Worst Performers in February The three worst-performing long/short equity funds in February were: Neuberger Berman Global Long Short Fund (MUTF: NGBAX ) Catalyst Insider Long/Short Fund (MUTF: CIAAX ) Caldwell & Orkin Market Opportunity Fund (MUTF: COAGX ) The Neuberger Berman Global Long Short Fund was February’s worst-performing long/short equity fund, losing a stunning 8.59% for the month. This dropped its one-year return to -14.46% through the end of February, ranking in the bottom 10% of its category. Surprisingly, the fund enjoyed positive net flows for the year ending February 29, with investors putting $4.1 million more into the fund than they withdrew. Perhaps they’re attracted to the fund’s -0.06 beta coefficient, which is about as close to “uncorrelated” as you can get. But with a -15.40% one-year alpha, the fund’s low correlation hasn’t helped its investors much. The Catalyst Insider Long/Short Fund suffered monthly losses of 5.62% in February, which brought its one-year return through the end of the month to -3.21%. This was good enough to rank in the top quarter of the category, but not good enough to convince investors to stick with the fund – it suffered outflows of more than $7 million for the year. Perhaps investors looked past its attractive 1.47% alpha to its 17.33% annualized volatility, which ranked fourth out of the category’s 142 funds with one-year track records. Finally, the Caldwell & Orkin fund was the month’s third-worst performer with losses of 4.88%, but the fund ranked in the top 7% of its category based on its one-year returns of +1.38%. This was undoubtedly one of the reasons it received a whopping $87.47 million in net inflows for the year. Its one-year beta (-0.07), alpha (+1.26%), Sharpe ratio (0.19), and volatility (8.75%) were all attractive relative to the category averages, too. Past performance does not necessarily predict future results. Jason Seagraves contributed to this article. MPT statistics (alpha and beta) are relative to the S&P 500 Index.

Have Copper ETFs Finally Bounced Back?

Copper prices underwent a stressful stretch for quite some time on a soft manufacturing sector in China, global growth worries, a stronger U.S. dollar and surplus supplies. The trouble deepened in 2015 as the greenback continued to gain strength on rising rate speculations in the country (read: Copper ETFs Tumble on China Growth Concerns ). However, the metal bucked the trend at the start of 2016 as the greenback softened slightly on tepid U.S. growth. Also, policy easing in China favored this struggling commodity. Notably, in a move to boost a waning economy, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) cut reserve requirement ratio (Pending: RRR ) by 50 bps to 17% for all banks effective March 1 (read: ETFs to Gain from China’s Added Stimulus ). Now China matters the most for this metal as the country is the world’s biggest consumer of this industrial metal, accounting for roughly 40% of global copper demand. Also, the red metal has been witnessing shortage of supplies lately. In Chile – one of the key copper producing nations – copper output fell 14% year over year in January, marking the largest decline in a month in about five years. Not only this, production is expected to be on the subdued side even in February, per the sources . The reason for the output decline was worsening ore grade and reduced investment in the mining and power industries, per Reuters . All in all, analysts believe that ‘the commodities rout may be over’. While many are overseeing a likely decline in global output, the demand scenario is apparently firming. As per sources, China’s copper imports in February represented a 49% jump year over year. While this is clearly good news for those who are holding onto copper ETNs such as iPath Bloomberg Copper Subindex Total Return ETN (NYSEARCA: JJC ) — price of which has grown over 11.6% in the last one-month period – copper mining equities and the related ETFs became the biggest beneficiaries. Global X Copper Miners ETF (NYSEARCA: COPX ) – which tracks the Solactive Global Copper Miners Index – advanced over 44% in the above-mentioned period (as of March 10, 2016). Though a subtle turnaround can be noticed in the operating backdrop, copper exchange-traded products have a long way to go for solid improvement. As of now, ‘ Deutsche Bank analysts expect small surpluses this year and in the next, along with a deficit of 280,000 tons in 2018, 350,000 in 2019 and 280,000 in 2020’. So, investors can have a neutral outlook on copper-related exchange-traded products as indicated by a Zacks ETF Rank #3 (Hold) on JJC which has a High risk outlook. Link to the original article on Zacks.com