Tag Archives: amzn

Netflix Stock Downgraded As Risks And Spending Increase

Internet television service Netflix ( NFLX ) could be approaching saturation in the U.S. and might face execution issues in its global rollout, FBR analyst Barton Crockett said in a report Friday. Crockett downgraded Netflix stock to market perform from outperform and cut his price target to 100 from 125. At the same time, he upgraded streaming music service Pandora Media ( P ) to outperform from market perform with a price target of 16. Pandora was down 12% at 8 on the stock market today after posting disappointing Q4 results on Thursday. Netflix stock was up 1.2% to above 87 Friday. It hit an all-time high of 133.27 on Dec. 7. Crockett listed three main risks for Netflix: Slowing U.S. growth, international execution risks and cash burn. Netflix has missed its own goals for U.S. subscriber additions for the last two quarters. In the December quarter, it added 1.56 million U.S. streaming subscribers, bringing its domestic total to 44.74 million. At the start of the quarter, Netflix was aiming for 1.65 million new U.S. streaming subscribers. “Slowing subscriber growth is possible if the U.S. market nears saturation,” Crockett said. “Another risk is competition from other streaming (video-on-demand) providers, including Amazon ( AMZN ) Prime and Hulu, which also offer services with subscription-based models.” On the international front, Netflix is ramping its subscription offering into markets with more than 300 million broadband homes. “As this continues, execution risks include competition, content misfires and broadband service interruptions,” he said. Then, there’s the issue of cash burn. Netflix’s spending has accelerated as it has increased its production of original movies and TV shows. It’s expected to run a negative cash flow this year and next, he said. “Netflix could seek to raise more debt financing for this cash burn, stoking investor concerns about cash burn,” Crockett said. RELATED: Who’s Courting Pandora Media: Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Spotify? Netflix Stock Value Too Compelling To Pass Up, Piper Jaffray Says .  

Facebook And Amazon Lead 5 Top Tech Stocks On The Move

Loading the player… Let’s take a look at five standout tech stocks on IBD’s Stocks on the Move screen, which are trading in big volume: Facebook ( FB ),  Amazon ( AMZN ), NetEase ( NTES ), Activision Blizzard ( ATVI ) and Cray ( CRAY ). Internet Giants On The Rise Facebook is on the IBD 50 list with a highest-possible IBD Composite Rating of 99. That means its shares outperform 99% of all stocks in the market as measured by fundamental and technical factors, including earnings and sales growth, profit margins, return on equity and relative share-price performance. The stock has tried to retake the 50-day line this week, but has yet to close above that level. It’s attempted to retake the line again today, but gains faded to just 0.1% near midday. Facebook is trading about 12% below its all-time high reached on Feb. 2. Amazon has a 71 Composite Rating. The stock has suffered since the e-commerce company missed quarterly earnings estimates late last month. Shares breached the 200-day line in the days following the report and continued lower. But Amazon is now on track for its third up-day in a row, climbing 1.6% Friday. Top Gaming Stocks Move In Different Directions NetEase earns a 99 Composite Rating. When the Chinese gaming company reports quarterly results on Feb. 24, analysts expect the bottom line to grow 30%. Shares jumped in quick turnover, retaking the 200-day line in intraday trade. But the stock pared its gains to just a 1% rise and fell back below that level. NetEase is trading 24% off of its high reached in late December. Activision has a 93 Composite Rating. The video game publisher missed quarterly earnings and sales estimates late Thursday and gave conservative guidance. Shares dropped below the 200-day line last week and got close to retaking that level in Thursday’s session. Today the stock plunged 9.5% in huge volume, hitting a five and a half month low in intraday trade. Activision is now trading 30% below its late December peak. Supercomputer Maker Stages Downside Reversal And Cray beat quarterly estimates late Thursday, but its guidance was light. The supercomputer maker staged a big downside reversal and fell back below its 50-day line, dropping almost 3%. It’s trading about 17% below its recent high. Cray has a Composite Rating of 95. Image provided by Shutterstock .

Pandora Posts Q4 Earnings Miss As Listener Base Tumbles

Pandora Media ( P ) reported a fourth-quarter earnings miss after the close on Thursday as its active listener base fell, and as acquisition costs and other expenditures took a toll. Pandora stock dropped about 4% after hours. It had set a record low Wednesday but surged more than 8% during the trading day Thursday after a report that the company is in discussions about a sale. The streaming music leader is in a heated battle with rivals, including Apple ( AAPL ), Spotify,  iHeartRadio, Amazon.com ( AMZN ) and Google owner  Alphabet ( GOOGL ). “Building a business like we have is very difficult and we now have a huge lead and advantage that is incredibly challenging for new entrants to overcome. We are leading the disruption of a $17 billion radio advertising market,” said Pandora CEO Brian McAndrews on the call with analysts. “It is a generational opportunity to drive the future of music for years, if not decades, to come. We are confidently making the decision to invest now to fully capture that opportunity, which is why we are comfortable being temporarily EBITDA(earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization)-negative.” In October, Pandora bought Ticketfly for $450 million, vaulting the online music-streaming leader into the live-event and ticket-sales business in its bid to take on its rivals — the likes of Apple Music, Google Play Music and Amazon Prime Music. Pandora got final approval to buy Web-streaming service Rdio in December for $75 million. Through several agreements reached the past two years, Pandora is now aligned with music superstars including Justin Bieber, Lady Gaga, Taylor Swift and Adele. The company has inked deals with labels including Sony/ATV, Warner/Chappell, Universal Music Publishing Group, Songs, Atlas and Downtown Music Publishing. In December, Pandora announced multiyear licensing deals with ASCAP and BMI, two major trade groups that between them own the music publishing rights to 20 million songs. Pandora Listeners Decline Pandora has registered an all-time high of 10% share of U.S. radio listening, McAndrews said on the call. But the company also said its user numbers fell during the quarter. Pandora reported 81.1 million active listeners in Q4, down from the 81.5 million active listeners that the service posted in Q4 2014. In December, the online music company got a price target cut from Macquarie, which cited rising royalties and other costs for the Oakland, Calif-based company. “New royalty assumptions and increased costs bring our estimates lower,” wrote Macquarie analyst Amy Yong in a research note, in which she cut Pandora’s price target to 17 from 19. “Pandora has inked multiyear agreements with major labels in the U.S. covering 60% market share of all publishers. We estimate total content costs of $765 million in 2016, stepping up 10% per annum through 2020.” Earlier on Thursday, a New York Times report said that Pandora had held discussions about selling the company . After the news, Pandora stock shot up. According to the New York Times, Pandora is working with Morgan Stanley to meet with potential buyers. Pandora closed at 9.09 on Thursday, up 8.2%, but is down 53% since mid-October as Wall Street frets about how Pandora is withstanding growing industry competition and sluggish user growth. The company said 30% of revenue went to sales and marketing efforts in Q4 2015 vs. 26% in Q4 2014. Pandora now carries a market value of $1.9 billion, down from more than $7 billion two years ago. In December, the online music company got a price target cut from Macquarie, which cited rising royalties and other costs for the Oakland, Calif-based company. “New royalty assumptions and increased costs bring our estimates lower,” wrote Macquarie analyst Amy Yong in a research note, in which she cut Pandora’s price target to 17 from 19. “Pandora has inked multiyear agreements with major labels in the U.S. covering 60% market share of all publishers. We estimate total content costs of $765 million in 2016, stepping up 10% per annum through 2020.” The leading online music company posted a 9 cent per-share loss, swinging from an EPS ex items profit of 6 cents in Q4 2014. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters had been expecting EPS ex items of 7 cents. Pandora reported Q4 revenue rose 25% year over year to $336.2 million, beating consensus estimates for $331.17 million. For Q1, Pandora guided revenue of $280 million to $290 million, up 6% year over year at the midpoint. The company guided an adjusted EBITDA loss of $65 million to $75 million. That compares to adjusted EBITDA of $43.8 million in Q4 2014 and $24.8 million in Q4 2015. “We enter 2016 with an enhanced portfolio of assets, cost certainty and substantial competitive advantages. We’re invested in the long-term and I could not have more conviction about the ability of Pandora to lead the future of music,” McAndrews said. Pandora stock has sagged since the June launch of Apple Music — a service combining paid subscription music streaming with a 24/7 live global Internet radio station. While Pandora remains the Internet streaming leader, its market share is falling as competition grows.