Category Archives: oud
Facebook Passes 50-Day Test; Netflix, Illumina Break 2 Support Areas
Facebook ( FB ) tested a key level Tuesday but came out stronger. But Netflix ( NFLX ) and Illumina ( ILMN ) crashed through support levels on weak Q1 figures. IBM ( IBM ) gets an incomplete. MaxLinear ( MXL ) triggered a sell rule as well as breaking a support level. Facebook Facebook has been finding support at its 50-day moving average since April 11, when shares finished just below that key level. Since then the stock has closed above that support level. On Tuesday, Facebook shook off a morning dip to just above the 50-day to rally for a 1.7% gain at 112.29. On the upside, the next key level is a buy point at 117.09. Facebook fell 0.1% shortly after Wednesday’s open on the stock market today, but is comfortably above its 50-day line for now. Facebook releases earnings next week, with analysts expecting a 48% EPS gain, the third straight quarter of accelerating growth. Netflix Netflix late Monday reported an unexpected rise in Q1 earnings per share. Subscriber growth also topped expectations. But the Web-streaming giant expects net global-customer growth of just 2.5 million in Q2, which would be the weakest quarterly gain in two years . It also guided Q2 earnings lower. Netflix stock dived 13% Tuesday, crashing through its 200-day and 50-day moving averages in one fell swoop. (Netflix retook its 200-day line just last week). Netflix rose 1.6% Wednesday morning, but is still significantly below its 50-day line. How do Netflix and IBM stack up vs. their rivals? Find out at IBD Stock Checkup Illumina Illumina late Monday gave Q1 preliminary revenue figures that were well below Wall Street estimates. The gene-sequencing tools giant sees Q1 sales up 6%, ending a 14-quarter string of double-digit growth. Illumina stock crashed 23.2% on Tuesday, back near two-year lows. Like Netflix, Illumina tumbled through its 200-day and 50-day lines. The stock on Monday topped its 200-day for the first time this year. Illumina rose 1% Wednesday morning. IBM IBM revenue and earnings did top Wall Street forecasts late Monday, though sales have fallen for 16 straight quarters. Also, IBM’s implied Q2 EPS guidance appeared to be below analyst estimates. IBM stock fell 5.6% on Tuesday, undercutting its 200-day line intraday but closing just above that area. But IBM could easily retest the 200-day line in the coming days, with the 50-day only slightly below that. IBM rose 0.5% Wednesday morning, but is not far above its 200-day. MaxLinear MaxLinear’s chip designs are used in video streaming. The stock cleared an entry point of 17.85 last month, rising to a 19.10 peak on April 4. But shares drifted lower since then. On Tuesday, the stock dived 10.2% to 15.86, triggering an 8% sell rule from that entry point and breaking through its 50-day moving average. It wasn’t immediately clear why the MaxLinear shares fell. On Wednesday, MaxLinear tightened its fiscal Q4 revenue guidance and raised its gross margin target. MaxLinear jumped 5.9% in early Wednesday trading, pennies within its 50-day line again.
Bullish Views On Apple Supplier Qualcomm Hold As Earnings Await
With a lot of moving parts in play, smartphone chip supplier Qualcomm ( QCOM ) is scheduled to report earnings for its December quarter after the market close Wednesday. The consensus estimate for Qualcomm’s fiscal second quarter is for revenue of $5.34 billion, down 22% year over year and the fourth quarter in a row of revenue deceleration. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect earnings per share minus items of 96 cents, down 31% and also the fourth straight quarter of deceleration. Tough contract negotiations have previously stunted Qualcomm’s licensing revenue growth, along with a royalty dispute with South Korea-based LG. Last year, there were a number of lawsuits globally related to Qualcomm’s licensing business. Investors also are concerned about the under-reporting of device sales among China vendors. The completion of new licensing deals has helped to alleviate those concerns. Qualcomm continues to make notable progress signing China license agreements, says Michael McConnell, an analyst with Pacific Crest Securities, in a research note. Since Qualcomm issued fiscal 2016 guidance, it has inked four of the top five China smartphone OEMs to new license agreements, with Lenovo being the highlight signing, he wrote. McConnell has a buy rating on Qualcomm stock, and a price target of 63. Qualcom stock is trading near 52 ahead of Wednesday’s open, rising a fraction Tuesday and down 4% for 2016. Samsung Galaxy S7 Helping Qualcomm Credit Suisse analyst Kulbinder Garcha, in a research note, said he does not see the fundamental outlook for Qualcomm’s smartphone business improving. Still, he says improved execution at Qualcomm, a recovery at Samsung, rising revenue diversity and further compliance from Chinese vendors should give a boost to the earnings outlook. He reiterated an outperform rating on Qualcomm stock, with a price target of 67. “While we do see some potential weakness at Apple ( APPL ), i.e. weak shipments and potential share loss to Intel ( INTC ), we believe the early success of the (Samsung) Galaxy S7 indicate that our forecasts are sufficiently conservative,” he wrote. Canaccord Genuity analyst Michael Walkley recently maintained a buy rating on Qualcomm stock and a price target of 65. He wrote that while Intel might take some chip-unit share from Qualcomm for the Apple iPhone 7, Qualcomm will maintain its majority position. “Overall, we are impressed by Qualcomm’s long-term technical roadmap, believe more optimistic long-term technology licensing growth targets are achievable, and appreciate the new focus of the management team to streamline the business and cost controls,” Walkley wrote. Of the 35 analysts that follow Qualcomm, as reported by Thomson Reuters, seven rate the stock a strong buy and 12 a buy. Another 15 have holding ratings, and there is one underperform rating. Intel late Tuesday said it would cut about 11% of its workforce , some 12,000 positions, as it restructures to put less emphasis on the fading PC business and more on rising areas such as the Internet of Things. Despite years of efforts, Intel so far has had minimal success in getting its chips into smartphones and other mobile devices, but many observers say it will likely have chips inside the next Apple iPhone, expected to be released in September.