Category Archives: nasdaq

First Solar R&D ‘Paying Off,’ But Sales Remain ‘Uneven’: Argus

First Solar ‘s ( FSLR ) quarterly $31.5 million R&D spending average is starting to pay off, Argus analyst David Coleman said Wednesday, noting the No. 1 solar installer’s technology is becoming cost-competitive even without subsidies. Coleman rates First Solar stock a buy, but he slashed his price target to 66 from 90. Shares have pulled back 33% since hitting a 2016 high on March 18, as earnings last month missed Wall Street expectations. Over the past three months, First Solar stock has fallen 23.1% vs. a 6.8% gain in the S&P 500. But midday on the stock market today , First Solar stock was up nearly 2%, near 50. Shares of top rival SunPower ( SPWR ) were up a fraction, trailing IBD’s 20-company Energy-Solar industry group, which was higher by close to 2%, above 27, after touching a three-year low of 25.86 on May 10. The group ranks just No. 180 out of 197 groups tracked by IBD. First Solar stock was slammed on the company’s $100 million Q1 sales miss last month. Then, the firm announced CFO Mark Widmar would succeed CEO James Hughes, effective July 1. Hughes will join the board. But that sales miss was largely due to the timing of project revenue recognition, Coleman wrote in his research report. Predicting quarterly sales for developers like First Solar and SunPower can be tricky. This month, SunPower’s Q2 sales view lagged by $400 million. “Overall, we remain optimistic about the company’s long-term earnings power; however, investors should expect First Solar’s financial results to be uneven on a quarter-to-quarter and year-to-year basis due to the timing of revenue recognition,” he wrote. First Solar Rides Cadmium Telluride R&D During Q1, cash declined 3.5% sequentially to $1.1 billion, but First Solar remains profitable “even as its peers have been hurt by oversupplied markets and a lack of pricing power,” Coleman wrote. It investments in cadmium telluride technology are starting to pay off. “We see evidence that First Solar’s technological investments are paying off, as they have enabled the company to lower the cost of solar generation on a per-watt basis and to expand its opportunity set of utility-scale projects,” he wrote. Cadmium telluride should provide a cost advantage vs. more commoditized solar module technology such as polysilicon, Coleman wrote. In some markets, it’s becoming cost-competitive even without subsidies — a tough goal for solar companies still largely dependent on governmental whims. By 2025, First Solar expects to have 40 gigawatts in North American utility installations, implying 21.9% growth. The company also has bookings in Turkey, Japan, Australia, India and Africa, Coleman wrote. First Solar should also benefit from stricter environmental regulations on fossil-fuel-based power, and from increased government and public support for solar. Last year, the U.S. Congress extended the Investment Tax Credit (ITC) on solar by five years, avoiding a cliff in 2017 installations. The biggest risk lies in First Solar’s dependence on utility-scale deployments, Coleman wrote. “If the market for utility-scale solar power generation does not expand significantly over the next few years due to cost factors or technological or political developments, First Solar would likely experience slower-than-anticipated growth,” he said.

HP 3D Printers A Disruptor, Not A Slam On 3D Systems, Stratasys

The entry of HP ( HPQ ) into the 3D printer market is a disruptive force against 3D Systems ( DDD ) and Stratasys ( SSYS ), but it’s not an overwhelming slam, as the two market leaders have time to react, say analysts. HP’s entry is a “negative” for 3D Systems and Stratasys, but it’s “been expected and the real competitive impact could take years to develop,” wrote Pacific Crest Securities analyst Weston Twigg in a research note late Tuesday. The long-awaited entry of HP into the 3D printer market began Tuesday, with partners that include Nike ( NKE ), Autodesk ( ADSK ), ProtoLabs ( PRLB ) and Materialise ( MTLS ). HP said the printers are 10 times faster and half the cost of current 3D printing systems. HP is offering two 3D printers, one for prototyping and the other for prototyping and short-run manufacturing needs. HP has vast resources and a strong desire to turn 3D printing into a growth business, Twigg wrote. “The technology could be disruptive, and customers have shown a high desire to partner with HP on the development of the printer,” he said. The HP announcement is a “modest positive” for Materialise, a 3D printer maker that is partnering with HP on software and other areas, Twigg said. It’s also a modest positive for ProtoLabs, which focuses on the commercial market and offers industrial 3D printing as a service. Though not a direct competitor, Proto Labs is a close peer to 3D Systems and Stratasys and can quickly adopt HP printers if it makes economic sense, as Proto Labs is building out its additive manufacturing service bureaus. Sales of 3D printers totaled $5 billion last year, according to HP. It expects to ship and recognize 3D printing revenue by the Oct. 31 end of its fiscal 2016,  and ramp up the business in fiscal 2017. But HP does not expect 3D printing revenue to make a material revenue contribution in either year, wrote RBC Capital Markets analyst Amit Daryanani in a research note. HP’s new lineup poses a threat to 3D Systems and Stratasys in price and speed, but the threat is not overwhelming, said Piper Jaffray analyst Troy Jensen. “We do believe the aggressive pricing HP is promoting could cause pipelines to shrink over the next couple quarters as customers review HP’s printing capabilities,” Jensen wrote in a report. But select printers from 3D Systems and Stratasys “are better in certain applications,” he said. 3D printing technology is being increasingly embraced by corporations, governments and universities. The market for 3D printers, including supplies, will grow 33% to $7.3 billion and will approach $10 billion in 2017, according to Wohlers Associates, which provides technical, market and strategic analysis on the 3D printer market. HP stock fell a fraction on Tuesday but was up a fraction in midday trading in the stock market today , near 11.50. HP stock has been below its 50-day line most of this month. 3D Systems stock, up nearly 1% Tuesday, was down nearly 1.5% midday Wednesday. Stratasys stock, up nearly 2% on Tuesday, was down nearly 2% midday Wednesday.