Category Archives: etf

The Best And Worst Of February: Managed Futures

Managed futures mutual funds and ETFs had a strong month in February, with the average fund in the group returning +1.77% while the S&P 500 Index dropped 0.13% and the Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index gained 0.71%. Most funds generated positive returns for the month, and the top three funds gained between 3.67% and 6.34%, while only two funds in the entire category lost more than 0.88% in February. Top Performers in February The three best-performing managed futures mutual funds in February were: The PIMCO TRENDS fund was the category’s top performer in February, gaining an impressive 6.34%. Unfortunately, the fund – which debuted on the last day of 2013 – was still down for the year ending February 29, with one-year returns of -2.93% ranking it in the bottom 37% of its category. The fund’s one-year beta, relative to the Credit Suisse Managed Futures Liquid Index, of 0.60 was roughly in line with the category average of 0.66, while its one-year alpha of -4.27% compared unfavorably with the category average of -2.60%. PQTAX’s one-year Sharpe ratio through February 29 was -0.23, compared to -0.01 for the category as a whole. The SFG Futures Strategy Fund ranked second among managed futures mutual funds and ETFs in terms of February performance, with monthly gains of 3.92%. But like the PIMCO TRENDS fund, SFG’s Futures Strategy underperformed for the year ending February 29, returning -3.93% and ranking in the bottom third of the category. Its one-year beta and alpha stood at 0.75 and -6.38%, respectively, giving it a Sharpe ratio of -0.37. Of February’s top-three performers, the Altegris Managed Futures Strategy looked best beyond the past month’s performance. Its February gains of 3.67% contributed to its one-year return of +4.75% through February 29, ranking in the top 20% of the category. The fund, which debuted in August 2010, had three-year annualized returns of +3.71%. Its one-year beta of 0.81 indicates a relatively high correlation with the Credit Suisse index, but its alpha of 2.21% and Sharpe ratio of 0.48 highlight its outperformance. Worst Performers in February The three worst-performing managed futures mutual funds in February were: Dunham’s Alternative Strategy Fund was February’s worst performer in the managed futures category, returning a dismal -3.25%. DNASX’s underperformance has been enduring, as its -11.92% one-year returns through February 29 ranked in the bottom 8% of the category. Its one-year beta of -0.20 indicates it has very low (modestly inverse) correlation to the Credit Suisse index, but this favorable feature is overshadowed by the fund’s -11.26% one-year alpha. Its one-year Sharpe ratio, a measure of risk-adjusted returns, stood at an abysmal -2.29. The First Trust Morningstar Managed Futures Strategy ETF was the only exchange-traded fund among the top or bottom three for February. It returned -1.22% for February and -3.97% for the year ending February 29. The fund had a beta of 0.39, alpha of -4.64%, and a one-year Sharpe ratio of -0.61. Finally, the Discretionary Managed Futures Strategy Fund was February’s third-worst performer in the category, returning -0.88% for the month. The fund’s one-year return of -1.90% ranked in the bottom 46% of funds in its category, and its beta of 0.03 ranked among the lowest in the category. The fund’s one-year alpha was -2.09%, indicating that it underperformed the index even as it remained mostly uncorrelated with it. In risk-adjusted terms, FUTEX’s returns resulted in a one-year Sharpe ratio of -1.09. Note : Alpha and Beta statistics are relative to the Credit Suisse Managed Futures Liquid Index. Past performance does not necessarily predict future results. The Jason Seagraves contributed to this article.

Yahoo Board Nominations Due Soon; Company Prepped For Fire Sale

Yahoo ‘s ( YHOO ) recent writedown of its Tumblr microblog is preparing the company’s core business for sale to private equity firms, possibly at a discount, Rosenblatt Securities said Wednesday. Tumblr revenue did not meet Yahoo’s internal projection for 2015, Rosenblatt analyst Martin Pyykkonen said in a research note. He pointed out that Yahoo’s 2016 guidance for its revenue minus traffic acquisition costs — commissions it pays publishers that run its ads — calls for a nearly 20% decline. “Buyers (with real bids) would have emerged by now if there was strong audience and usage growth to drive advertising demand,” said Pyykkonen, who maintains a sell rating and price target of 30 on Yahoo stock. He said that “Yahoo’s recent writedown of the part of the goodwill on Tumblr is one example of sprucing up the balance sheet for sale of the core business. But we still think it will likely fall short of a premium takeover valuation on Yahoo’s stock.” Yahoo stock was up 0.9% in midday trading in the stock market today , above 33. Yahoo stock has gained 29% since it skidded to a 31-month low of 26.15 last month. But Yahoo stock is down 22% the past 12 months. Yahoo CEO Marissa Mayer is under intensified pressure from major investor Starboard Value, which has urged the exit of Mayer and some directors, as well as the spinoff of Yahoo’s core search business. Yahoo directors are close to offering at least two board seats to the activist hedge fund in order to avert a proxy fight, according to a recent New York Post report. Board member nominations are due by March 26, said Pyykkonen. Dozens of groups are expressing interest in buying the struggling Web portal, say analysts, with Verizon ( VZ ) among those said to be the most likely acquirer. Aside from forming a committee of independent directors to explore possible transactions, Yahoo has announced that it will bring in Goldman Sachs ( GS ), JPMorgan ( JPM ) and PJT Partners ( PJT ) as financial advisors, along with law firm Cravath, Swaine & Moore. Yahoo Faced With Declining Fundamentals Pyykkonen’s report called out the Web company’s “declining fundamentals,” highlighted by drops in users and usage, as well as the Tumblr writedown. Greater revenue concentration from mobile advertising is “benefiting the likes of Facebook ( FB ) and Alphabet ( GOOGL )-owned Google” rather than Yahoo, he said, adding that Netflix ( NFLX ) is also siphoning traffic away from Yahoo. “The fundamental challenge in Yahoo’s core business is the fact that the platform is simply much less relevant to advertisers than it used to be, when it was labeled as a portal, and more recently aggregated content from multiple sources, while producing relatively little of its own unique content,” he said. Comcast ( CMCSA ) is another company rumored to be interested in Yahoo. Verizon has talked up its interest in buying some Yahoo assets “at the right price,” but also said it does not want to “catch a falling knife,” referring to the state of Yahoo’s business. Rumors re-emerged last week that e-commerce giant Alibaba Group ( BABA ) might buy back a 15%  stake that Yahoo now holds in the Chinese company. Yahoo’s Asian assets — comprised of its Alibaba holdings and a 35.5% stake in Yahoo Japan — represent the vast majority of Yahoo’s $31.4 billion market value as of Wednesday. But some observers say such a transaction is unlikely because of high tax implications.