Category Archives: etf
Q1 ETF Asset Report: Safe Havens Pop; Currency Hedged Drop
The first quarter of 2016 was all about heightened global growth concerns, oscillating oil prices and ambiguity over the interest rate policy of the Federal Reserve. In particular, the acute plunge in oil prices took a toll on a number of assets worldwide. Most economies across the world, be it China, Japan, the Euro zone or the otherwise improving U.S. economy, were harried by fears of a slowdown. Most of the central Bank meetings turned out dovish and oil producers tried to strike an output freeze deal. All these efforts helped the broader market to recover in March and end the quarter on the positive note. Let’s see how a ghastly start and an upbeat ending to Q1 impacted asset growth in the ETF industry (as of March 29, 2016) (per etf.com ): It Was All-About Gold A flight to safety following a spike in volatility brightened the demand for the safe-haven asset gold (despite deteriorating fundamentals). Investors should note that a round of downbeat U.S. economic data in the early part of Q1 and the possibility of a slower-than-expected rate hike trail undermined the greenback in the first quarter, pushing most commodities ETFs (including gold) higher. Not only bullion, gold mining stocks also received considerable investor attention in the quarter. As a result, the fund tracking the gold mining equities, the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA: GDX ), emerged as the winner in asset accumulation in Q1. GDX scooped up about $6.30 billion in assets while the yellow metal SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSEARCA: GLD ) pulled in $5.15 billion in assets in Q1 (read: Gold Mining ETF Investing 101 ). U.S. Treasury bonds: Another Safe Refuge Needless to say, U.S. treasury bonds were the other winners as these offer safety. Global growth issues dragged down yields on 10-year Treasury notes by 43 bps to 1.81% (as of March 29, 2016) in the quarter, leading Treasury valuation to soar. Thanks to this trend, the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSEARCA: TLT ) and the iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSEARCA: IEF ) amassed about $2.55 billion and $1.86 billion in the quarter (read: 5 ETFs for Portfolio Safety, Stability and Diversification ). Junk Bond ETFs Garner Attention The drive for high income and occasional improvement in the oil patch brought junk bond ETFs back into business in Q1. Plus, reasonable valuation after two soft years fetched substantial investors’ money in the quarter. Investors poured more than $2 billion and $1.7 billion respectively in the SPDR Barclays Capital High Yield Bond ETF (NYSEARCA: JNK ) and the iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (NYSEARCA: LQD ) . Apart from these, the iShares Core Total U.S. Bond Market ETF (NYSEARCA: AGG ) gathered over $3.4 billion in assets in Q1, being the third seed in the asset-gatherer list. Japan Currency Hedged-Equities ETFs: Justified Loser Currency-hedging technique failed in the quarter due to a falling U.S. dollar. This was truer for the Japan equities, as yen added more strength by virtue of its safe haven nature. Plus, Japan is an export-driven economy, being more susceptible to this adverse currency translation. This sort of movement in currencies must haven dented currency-hedged Japanese equities ETFs like the WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity ETF (NYSEARCA: DXJ ) which has seen assets worth $2.57 billion flowing out. The problem was the same with the WisdomTree Europe Hedged Equity ETF (NYSEARCA: HEDJ ) . The fund lost $2.11 billion in assets in Q1. U.S. Equities Tumble In tune with the other risky assets, investors fled the U.S. equities’ space. The trend was more pronounced for growth equities ETFs. Tech laden Nasdaq-based PowerShares QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ: QQQ ) lost about $2.04 billion in the quarter, taking the third position in the asset losers’ list. The ETF was followed by the iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF (NYSEARCA: IWF ) which redeemed about $1.96 billion in assets. Other growth sector ETFs like the First Trust NYSE Arca Biotechnology Index ETF (NYSEARCA: FBT ) and the First Trust DJ Internet Index ETF (NYSEARCA: FDN ) saw outflows of $1.76 billion and $1.32 billion in assets, respectively. Finally, the ultra-popular SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA: SPY ) also entered the losers’ list. The fund lost around $1.23 billion in assets in the quarter. Link to the original post on Zacks.com
Citi Cuts Amazon, NFLX, Google Price Targets On Stock Compensation
Citigroup slashed its price target on LinkedIn and also lowered its targets on shares of Amazon.com ( AMZN ), Alphabet ( GOOGL ), Facebook ( FB ) and Netflix ( NFLX ) in a report that takes a close look at the earnings dilution from stock compensation grants. Tech companies, and some others, typically report both non-GAAP (generally accepted accounted principles) earnings — which exclude stock grants to employees, among other items — and earnings under GAAP, which include everything. Financial analysts typically provide non-GAAP estimates for quarterly results, and those numbers frequently get more play in quarterly earnings stories in the business press. “We are adjusting our models and price targets to better reflect the impact of stock-based compensation (SBC),” said Citigroup analyst Mark May in the research report. “Some may say this is a bear market issue, but we believe it is a necessary change that is long overdue.” Citigroup cut its price target on LinkedIn ( LNKD ) to 130 from 194. It lowered Amazon’s price target to 760 from 780, Google-owner Alphabet’s target to 900 from 924, Netflix to 116 from 121, and Facebook to 133 from 134. Citigroup maintained buy ratings on Amazon, Facebook and Google. It has neutral ratings on LinkedIn and Netflix. In morning trading on the stock market today , LinkedIn stock was near 115, Amazon near 597, Alphabet near 763, Netflix near 104, and Facebook near 115. All were up a fraction except Netflix, which was up 2%. The report also looks at the stock-based compensation of eBay ( EBAY ), Twitter ( TWTR ) and Yahoo ( YHOO ). “While most (investors) view Twitter as having the highest stock-based compensation ratio, LinkedIn’s grants as a percentage of revenue are higher than Twitter, and LinkedIn saw this ratio increase last year,” said the report. “While most view Amazon as having high stock-based compensation, it actually ranks near Netflix as among the lowest. Facebook ranks high, but grants declined last year, and its revenue growth, profitability and stock price performance provide important offsets. “The impact of stock-based compensation provides additional reason to remain cautious on LinkedIn and Twitter. “Unlike some people, we do not think stock-based compensation should be treated as a cash expense, mostly because it is in fact not a cash item. Instead, we account for it consistent with what it is — an ongoing source of dilution to equity holders.” According to Citigroup, on a percentage of revenue basis, the company with the highest stock compensation grants in 2015 was LinkedIn, followed by Twitter, Yahoo, Facebook, Google, eBay, Amazon and Netflix, respectively.