Author Archives: Scalper1

Yahoo Digital Ad Dollars To Drop In 2016, As Facebook, Google Grow

Yahoo ( YHOO ) will see a major drop in its digital ad revenue this year, even as rivals Facebook ( FB ) and Alphabet ( GOOGL ) unit Google watch their share grow, according to eMarketer’s latest ad spending forecast, released Wednesday. Yahoo’s worldwide net digital ad revenues will fall nearly 14% to $2.83 billion this year. That will cut Yahoo’s share of the overall digital ad market to 1.5% from 2.1% last year, eMarketer said. Both search and display ad revenue for Yahoo will drop by double-digit percentages in 2016, says the forecast. The Web portal’s display business will shrink to $1.41 billion, down 15.1% year over year, while its search business will decline 12.7% to $1.41 billion. Google, which dominates the global digital ad market, will see its net ad revenue rise 9% this year, while Facebook’s net ad revenue will jump 31%, says the report. “As Yahoo trims down its legacy business to focus on its so-called ‘Mavens’ (mobile, video, native ads and social businesses), we expect the company to shrink in size relative to its competitors,” said eMarketer analyst Martin Utreras. “A leaner Yahoo, more focused on its core growing segments, will still face stiff competition in an ever more crowded and sophisticated market.” The one area of growth for Yahoo is mobile, said eMarketer. Worldwide, Yahoo’s mobile ad business will grow 24.5% this year to $1.31 billion. Yet with rivals Google and Facebook poised to grow by even larger percentages, Yahoo’s share of the mobile market will shrink to 1.3% from 1.5%. Besides Facebook and Alphabet, Sunnyvale, Calif.-based Yahoo faced ad competition from companies such as  Netflix ( NFLX ), Snapchat and Pinterest. Yahoo CEO Marissa Mayer is under fire from investors who are inpatient for profits and want to oust her from her job. The company has hired three investment banking firms to evaluate potential bids for the sale of its core Internet operations. The company has said it is looking at its strategic options and has been cutting costs, including laying off 15% of its staff and closing several offices overseas. Mayer’s turnaround plan for the company includes continued investment in “Mavens.” Rosenblatt Securities said on Monday that Yahoo could be facing a “take-under” — a buyout price lower than market value — from any of a number of private equity firms that might then dismantle the company. Much of Yahoo’s value comes from its holdings in China e-commerce giant Alibaba Group ( BABA ). Yahoo stock has fallen nearly 25% over the past year amid concerns about the company’s poor financial showing and its future prospects for growth. Yahoo stock, which touched a three-month high above 36 on Tuesday, was down 1.5% in midday trading in the stock market today , below 35.

Are Robos Fiduciaries When They Provide Financial Advice And Services For Fees?

Very few investors, individual or institutional, know there are two ethical standards for financial advisors and firms . The higher ethical standard is known as “fiduciary.” Financial advisors, who are registered investment advisors (RIAs) or investment advisor representatives (IARs), are held to this higher ethical standard. It requires advisors and firms to place the financial interests of their clients ahead of their personal interests (make more money). The lower ethical standard is known as “suitability.” Salesmen, for example stockbrokers, are held to this lower standard. They are supposed to make suitable recommendations based on their knowledge of the investors’ circumstances and goals. However, this lower standard is subject to interpretation. For example, three salesmen could have access to the same investor information and make three totally different recommendations. Wall Street prefers a vague ethical standard that is difficult to enforce. Investors are better off with a clear ethical standard that is easy to enforce. Securities and Exchange Commission The SEC is questioning whether robos are financial fiduciaries. This should be a relatively simple decision. The SEC is responsible for regulating financial service firms (RIAs) that provide advice and services for fees. Consider the following: Robos are registered investment advisors (RIAs) Robos provide advice in the form of model portfolios Robo algorithms manage the portfolios Robos have discretionary relationships with their clients Robos are compensated with fees Based on SEC regulations, RIAs are classified as financial fiduciaries. It does not matter if the RIA is a traditional, brick and mortar firm or a robo that delivers advice and services over the Internet. The Robo Exemption Should robos be exempt from fiduciary standards? Absolutely not! They invest client assets in exchange traded funds and other types of pooled investments. In this capacity a robo is acting as a virtual financial advisor; the ETF is the money manager. Financial advisors, who may be RIAs or IARs, are fiduciaries. Therefore, robos are financial fiduciaries. Department of Labor The DOL also has some skin in the fiduciary game. It wants fiduciary status for all advisors who provide investment advice and services to 401(k) plans and IRAs. The DOL believes this requirement will protect American investors from unscrupulous business practices that jeopardize their chances for comfortable, secure retirements. Robos are beginning to provide investment services for 401k plan assets. They also provide robo services for assets in IRAs. Therefore, this DOL mandated ethical standard would apply to robos. Computer Programs Robos did not invent model portfolios. Most financial advisors have used model portfolios to manage their clients’ assets for decades. In fact, the models of robos and advisors are strikingly similar — based on age, risk tolerance, investment horizon, and return objective. What is new is the sophistication of the computer models that run the robos’ model portfolios. Computers are more efficient than humans. Conflicts of Interest Robos will have to act in their clients’ best interests . Models cannot be programmed to buy more expensive, under-performing products Turnover (buys and sells) have to benefit the investor and not the robo There cannot be any hidden or unnecessary expenses The use of proprietary products must be fully disclosed to investors Robo portfolios should not be used as loss leaders Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

‘India The Next China’ For Apple, Says UBS, And iPhone SE Will Help

“India is the next China for Apple ( AAPL ),” says a UBS analyst, who forecasts that the new iPhone SE will help Apple gain market share, albeit still at the high end, in India. Apple has priced the 4-inch iPhone SE starting at $399, about $100 less than expected. But that’s still a high price-tag for most consumers in India, says UBS analyst  Steven Milunovich in a research report. “Some people in developed countries prefer the one-handed 4-inch format, while the lower price attracts emerging-market owners,” wrote Milunovich. “India is the next China for Apple — while the SE price point is high for India, at least it buys new technology now.” The iPhone SE is an update to the 2.5-year-old iPhone 5S. It features upgraded internal components such as an A9 processor and a 12-megapixel camera. Citigroup analyst Jim Suva also says the iPhone SE will boost Apple’s share in India. “Apple currently has 2% share in India for calendar year 2015, and we believe if the company were to increase its market share to be similar to that in China (around 13%) this would increase iPhone units by 15-20 million units,” Suva said in a report. Apple has been investing in India throughout 2015, with a development center in Hyderabad and licenses to launch its own stores in the country. “With the iPhone SE, Apple will not really disrupt the Indian smartphone market but rather try to dominate high-end sales — 77% of smartphone sales in India in 2016 will be below $200,” said Ronan de Renesse, an analyst at U.K.-based Ovum, in a report. China’s slowing economy is a worry for its local smartphone makers as well as Apple. Apple’s December-quarter sales in China rose only 14% from the year-earlier quarter, down from 99% growth the preceding quarter. Xiaomi was the top smartphone seller in China in Q4, with 15% market share, followed closely by Huawei, with Apple in third place.