Author Archives: Scalper1

Microsoft Stock Gets Boost From AI, Machine Learning Initiatives

Microsoft ( MSFT ) executives trumpeted machine learning, artificial intelligence and software bots at the start of the company’s Build developers conference on Wednesday in San Francisco. And investors liked what they heard. Microsoft shares were up 0.4% to above 55 in afternoon trading on the stock market today , approaching their all-time high of 56.85, reached on Dec. 29. “Microsoft’s Build conference was more exciting than we expected, with major announcements around machine learning, bots and AI,” Pacific Crest Securities analyst Brendan Barnicle said in a report Wednesday. “These products show Microsoft’s development focus is moving beyond the cloud to Conversations as a Platform.” Barnicle reiterated his overweight rating on Microsoft stock with a price target of 65. At Build, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella showcased improvements to the Cortana personal assistant software and announced previews of new cloud computing services and toolkits for machine learning and to create intelligent bots. “As an industry, we are on the cusp of a new frontier that pairs the power of natural human language with advanced machine intelligence,” Nadella said in a statement . “At Microsoft, we call this Conversations as a Platform, and it builds on and extends the power of the Microsoft Azure, Office 365 and Windows platforms to empower developers everywhere.” With Conversations as a Platform, speech and text queries in natural language are the new user interface for computing devices, Nadella said. And intelligent software bots are the new apps, he said. RBC Capital Markets analyst Ross MacMillan said Microsoft’s announcements Wednesday were evolutionary. However, he reiterated his outperform rating on Microsoft stock and price target of 63. “Microsoft used its annual developer conference to highlight the evolution of Windows 10, new initiatives and the company’s long-term goal to develop to a new interaction platform based on natural language and machine learning,” MacMillan said in a report Wednesday. “We view (the) announcements as incremental.” Microsoft’s efforts to turn Cortana into a platform based on conversational natural language aligns with what Amazon.com ( AMZN ) is doing with Echo and what  Apple ( AAPL ) is doing with Siri, he said. In a report Wednesday, Raymond James analyst Michael Turits maintained his strong buy rating on Microsoft stock.

5 Ways To Spring Clean Your Portfolio

Click to enlarge If you have a ritual to turn your house upside down for a thorough spring cleaning, you may want to do the same for your portfolio. If a lot of dust has settled on your investments over the years, it may be time to size things up and evaluate your holdings. Below are five tactics to help you see – and optimize – your portfolio in the new light of spring. 1. Sweep your house into order When was the last time you assessed your portfolio allocations and rebalanced its exposures? Let’s start from the top and assess whether your asset allocation still makes sense. If you want to maintain your original allocation but it is drifting, you can rebalance it by redistributing the weightings among each asset class. While rebalancing does take work, the alternative is a portfolio with out-of-balance allocations that could very well change the portfolio’s overall risk level and performance. Rebalancing the motifs in your account takes only a few mouse clicks. For more, check out the importance of rebalancing a portfolio over time. 2. Is it time to dust off old strategies and look forward? Does your portfolio need a fresh start? While you’re sizing up your portfolio, it could also be a good time take stock of the macro environment and see whether your investment thesis still makes sense. In the current climate where a strong U.S. dollar is putting the brakes on inflation and consumers are pocketing greater purchasing power, you may want to consider plays that take advantage of the appreciating greenback and shed exposure to foreign currencies. After all, of the major central banks, only the Fed has signaled rate hikes this year. In Europe, central bankers are still keeping rates around zero while Bank of Japan has kept rates below zero. So, consider strategies like investing in shares of companies that rake in their earnings from the U.S. domestic market or trim your holdings in foreign bonds. To get some ideas going, check out the All-American motif. 3. Time to part with low performing funds and high cost? Spring cleaning is about letting go – like that old sweater you’ve clung to but have not gotten any wear out of it for a decade. Have your investment returns met your expectations? For instance, if your mutual funds have underperformed, you may want to consider replacing them with ETFs. ETFs track an index, specific asset or basket of assets and can cover sectors, commodities, currencies, bonds, and other asset classes. On the performance front, the latest research from S&P Dow Jones Indices, Does Past Performance Matter , shows that relatively few active managed funds can outperform year after year. Of the 678 U.S. equity funds that made the top quartile as of September 2013, only 4 percent managed to stay in the top quartile after two years. ETFs also tend to be more transparent. While mutual funds are only required to disclose their holdings every quarter, you can usually verify your ETF’s daily positions. On the cost front, ETFs tend to have lower cost because as passive investments that track indices, they do not require high-priced investment professionals to look after them; the passive nature of these vehicles also means fewer trades, which translates to lower commissions. For cost, performance and transparency reasons, it is no wonder that last year ETFs drew a record $2.2 trillion, according to data from Fund Distribution Intelligence and Investment Company Institute. If your mutual funds have underperformed and command high management fees, keep in mind that ETFs are a popular alternative. 4. Pruning your holdings Think about harvesting your gains and cutting your losses. Take a look at the winners and losers in your portfolio. If you have accumulated a few winners over the years and believe their themes have played out, or if the company is fully valued, consider cashing them in and realizing your long-term gains. After all, we have had a strong bull run of the last seven years and taking profits would be a wise move as the climate is now more uncertain. By selling your positions now, you get to reinvest your gains while delaying the payment of your taxes for 12 months. You are also taxed at the long-term capital gains of 15 percent, which is significantly lower than the rate at which short-term gains are taxed (this would be your normal income tax rate). If, on the other hand, you have accumulated some losers and no longer believe in them, ditching them now may be as good a time as any. Your losses can also reduce your capital gains and soften the tax blow. 5. De-cluttering and streamlining your portfolio Do you have multiple retirement accounts? Do you have duplicate holdings in your brokerage accounts? If you are someone who has hopped from one workplace to another, you may have built a nice collection of 401(k) and IRA accounts. If that is the case, you may want to consolidate them because you can probably better manage your retirement accounts and track your assets when your funds are not all spread out among different accounts. Having fewer accounts will help you better size up your net worth, assets and liabilities. So, there you have it. We encourage you to pick one of these spring cleaning tips and get to work. A word of warning: once you dig in, it may be hard to stop because the act of spring cleaning and getting into your portfolio’s nooks and crannies does something to induce satisfaction and put a spring in your step. Happy cleaning!

5 Best-Performing Real Estate Mutual Funds Of Q1 2016

As the first quarter is drawing to a close, the housing industry remains firmer than what most believed. New residential construction was impressive in February, while rise in new single home sales indicated that there is momentum in the housing market. In March, the NAHB/Wells Fargo housing market index that reflects home builders’ sentiment continued to remain above the 50 mark, indicating improvement. Add to this low mortgage rates and strong employment report and you know why they sound so confident. Banking on these positive trends in the real estate industry, it will be wise to bet on fundamentally solid funds from this space. Upbeat New Residential Construction After a crippling east coast storm affecting housing starts in January, new residential construction bounced back in February as the spring selling season kicked off. Housing starts rose to 1.18 million in February from 1.12 million January, way above analysts’ estimates. Both privately owned housing starts for single-family and multifamily moved north. Starts also rose across all the geographies except for the Northeast. Builders are allocating more resources to multifamily construction to benefit from the current upbeat rental market. Moreover, construction outlay had already touched the highest level in January since Oct. 2007. In January, spending also rose a whopping 10.4% year over year. Building permits are a precursor to construction activity. It indicates the future growth of housing activities. While permits remained unchanged in January, it fell slightly in February. However, permits for single-family residences actually increased from 728,000 in January to 731,000 in February. New Residential Sales Gain, Sentiment Steady Sales of single family home in the U.S. rose 2% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 512,000 units in February. January’s sales figure was also revised up to 502,000 units. This is good news for the housing sector as new home sales account for about 9.2% of the housing market. Pending home sales also increased 3.5% from January to a seven-month high of 109.1 in February. This gain follows a 3.1% loss in January. Pending sales indicate upcoming sales activity. A sale is considered pending when the contract has been signed but the transaction hasn’t closed. Existing home sales, on the other hand, turned out be a bit disappointing in February. Sales of existing homes came in at 5.08 million, down 7.1% from January’s figure. Even though it’s a drop in numbers, it has followed January’s strongest rise in sales in six months at 5.47 million. Meanwhile, The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo housing market index (HMI) remained flat at 58 in March. While it’s the lowest level in eight months, it’s still a good number. The index has remained well above the 50 mark for several months indicating a steady recovery. Top 5 Real Estate Funds of Q1 2016 As discussed above, most of the data related to homebuilding released this quarter suggest that housing activity is improving. This is borne out by the fact that the Real Estate SPDR (NYSEARCA: XLRE ) has gained 2.8% on a year-to-date basis. Moreover, historically low mortgage rates are expected to give the real estate industry a boost. Bankrate, Inc. (NYSE: RATE ) reported that in March the 30-year fixed rate mortgage dipped to a range of 3.56% to 3.6%. In February, the rate was at 3.65%. Further, jobs data in February painted a solid picture of the labor market, which will eventually increase demand for more residential complexes. The U.S. economy added 242,000 jobs in February, handily beating January’s upwardly revised job number of 172,000. Additionally, the unemployment rate in February remained unchanged at 4.9%. Residential investment also jumped 10.1% in the fourth quarter, compared with a rise of 8.2% in the third. It also surged 8.9% in 2015, exceeding 2014’s gain of only 1.8%. Moreover, democratic presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders have already promised to increase infrastructure investment in the future. Given these positive trends in the real estate industry, it will be prudent to invest in funds related to the housing space. Funds have been selected over stocks, since funds reduce transaction costs for investors and also diversify their portfolio without the numerous commission charges that stocks need to bear. Here we have selected five such real estate funds that boast a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or #2 (Buy), have given highest year-to-date return, offer minimum initial investment within $5000, carry a low expense ratio and possess no-sales load. Fidelity Real Estate Investment Portfolio (MUTF: FRESX ) invests the majority of its assets in securities of companies engaged in the real estate industry and other real estate-related investment. FRESX’s year-to-date return is 5.6%. FRESX carries a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #2 and the annual expense ratio of 0.78% is lower than the category average of 1.29%. AMG Managers Real Estate Securities (MUTF: MRESX ) invests a major portion of its assets in stocks of companies principally engaged in the real estate industry, including Real Estate Investment Trusts. MRESX’s year-to-date return is 4.7%. MRESX carries a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #2 and the annual expense ratio of 1.16% is lower than the category average of 1.29%. PIMCO Real Estate Real Return Strategy D (MUTF: PETDX ) seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing in real estate-linked derivative instruments backed by a portfolio of inflation-indexed securities and other Fixed Income Instruments. PETDX’s year-to-date return is 3%. PETDX carries a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #2 and the annual expense ratio of 1.14% is lower than the category average of 1.29%. T. Rowe Price Real Estate (MUTF: TRREX ) invests a large portion of its assets in the equity securities of real estate companies. TRREX’s year-to-date return is 1.9%. TRREX carries a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1 and the annual expense ratio of 0.76% is lower than the category average of 1.29%. TIAA-CREF Real Estate Securities Retirement (MUTF: TRRSX ) invests a large portion of its assets in the securities of companies that are principally engaged in or related to the real estate industry, including those that own significant real estate assets. TRRSX’s year-to-date return is almost 1%. TRRSX carries a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #2 and the annual expense ratio of 0.77% is lower than the category average of 1.29%. About Zacks Mutual Fund Rank By applying the Zacks Rank to mutual funds, investors can find funds that not only outpaced the market in the past, but are also expected to outperform going forward. Pick the best mutual funds with the help of Zacks Rank. Original Post