Author Archives: Scalper1

CEO Bezos Says Amazon Cloud Business Outpacing Its E-Tail Business

After 10 years, Amazon Web Services, the company’s cloud computing division, is a $10 billion business, Amazon.com ( AMZN ) CEO Jeff Bezos wrote in a letter to shareholders Tuesday. Though the $10 billion figure is not new — the firm’s Q4 AWS sales suggested a run-rate of $10 billion — it is the first time that Bezos has offered AWS guidance for 2016. Bezos also said in the shareholder letter, contained in the company’s 8-K filing with the SEC, that AWS is larger than Amazon was at the same stage in its history. “Over time, it’s likely that most companies will choose not to run their own data centers, opting for the cloud instead,” Bezos wrote. Amazon stock was up nearly 2%, near 597, in afternoon trading on the stock market today . The company has an IBD Composite Rating of 77, where 99 is the highest. AWS dwarfs rival Microsoft ( MSFT ), which has been fighting to make gains in the cloud market. Alphabet ( GOOGL )-run Google is a distant third in market share. At its GPU technology conference in San Jose, Calif., this week, chipmaker Nvidia ( NVDA ) announced several new pieces of hardware targeted at cloud computing.

Time To Invest In Tech ETFs?

Technology ETFs were badly hit in the first quarter of 2016, having returned minutely or posting massive losses. Among the gainers, most were from either the high-yielding or equal-weight or value-centric semiconductor segments (read: Tech ETFs that Braved the Storm in February ). Broad-based sell-off in high-growth stocks due to overvaluation concerns, global growth issues, and corporate recession kept this space off radar. Adding to the tension was LinkedIn’s (NYSE: LNKD ) lackluster guidance for the first quarter of 2016 issued in early February (read: LinkedIn Crashes: Should You Connect with Social Media ETF? ). Along with LinkedIn, the famous FANGs (Facebook (NASDAQ: FB ), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN ), Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX ) and Google (NASDAQ: GOOG ) (NASDAQ: GOOGL ) (i.e. Alphabet) were also thrashed. Notably, the famous four contributed a lot to last year’s tech surge. However, the bloodbath in these stocks weighed down the tech-laden Nasdaq exchange, forcing it to be the worst performing index among the top three U.S. indices. Sell-Off in Tech Sector Looks Overdone; Why? However, things took a turn for the better in the last one month as risk-on sentiments returned to the market on a flurry of upbeat U.S. economic data. Plus, the Fed promised to take a cautious stance on the future interest rate policy indicating a longer low rate environment and underpinning the bullish sentiments for high-growth sectors like technology. If this isn’t enough, a dovish Fed dampened the U.S. dollar lending support to the tech sector, which has considerable foreign exposure. Yes, earnings of the sector is still far from anything that looks decent as evident from the expected earnings decline 5.2% for the first quarter (as per Zacks Earnings Trends issued on March 29, 2016), but future trends are reassuring. The sector’s earnings are expected to decline just 0.6% in the second quarter of 2016 and likely to enter the positive territory in the third quarter (expected growth rate is positive 4.6%). The revenue picture is reasonable enough with positive growth trend expected for every quarter of 2016. Out of the 16 S&P sectors, technology is currently reasonably valued with its P/E at 17.2x and 15.5X respectively for 2016 and 2017 expected earnings. While this goes in line with 17.4x and 15.4x P/E of the S&P 500 index, the valuation falls behind the forward P/E ratio of consumer staples, retail wholesale, conglomerates, energy and business services. All in all, after a beaten-down Q1, the sector is gaining traction to start Q2. So, investors intending a momentum play in the tech space can bet on the following ETFs, each of which underperformed in Q1 and is due for a strong reversal in Q2. The ETFs offered solid returns in the last five days too (as of April 1, 2016). PowerShares Dynamic Software Portfolio ETF (NYSEARCA: PSJ ) The fund comprises stocks of software companies. The underlying index looks to track companies picked up on criteria like fundamental growth, stock valuation, investment timeliness and risk factors. The 30-stock fund charges 63 bps in fees and added 5.3% in the last five trading days (as of April 1, 2016). PSJ is up just 0.6% in the year-to-date frame (as of April 1, 2016) and has a Zacks ETF Rank #2 (Buy) with a Medium risk outlook. PowerShares DWA Technology Momentum Portfolio ETF (NYSEARCA: PTF ) The PowerShares DWA Technology Momentum Portfolio tracks the Dorsey Wright Technology Technical Leaders Index which identifies companies that are showing relative strength. This 33-stock fund charges 60 bps in fees and returned about 4% in the last five trading sessions (as of April 1, 2016). However, the fund has lost about 5.6% so far this year (as of April 1, 2016). It has a Zacks ETF Rank #2 with a high risk outlook. iShares North American Tech-Software ETF (NYSEARCA: IGV ) This 58-stock ETF provides exposure to the software segment of the broader U.S. technology space. The product charges 48 bps in annual fees. The fund is down 2.2% in the year-to-date frame but returned 3.1% in the last five trading sessions (as of April 1, 2016). The fund has a Zacks ETF Rank #1 (Strong Buy) with a high risk outlook. PureFunds ISE Cyber Security ETF (NYSEARCA: HACK ) The fund offers global exposure to those companies that ensure safety to computer hardware, software and networks, and fight against any sort of cyber malpractice. It tracks the ISE Cyber Security Index, holding 35 securities in its basket. From an industrial look, systems software accounts for nearly 60% of the portfolio. The fund charges 75 bps in fees per year from investors. HACK has lost about 7.3% so far this year but advanced 3.6% in the last five trading days (as of April 1, 2016). First Trust Technology AlphaDEX ETF (NYSEARCA: FXL ) The fund follows the StrataQuant Technology Index, which is a modified equal-dollar weighted index and select stocks from the Russell 1000 Index that may generate positive alpha relative to traditional passive style indices using the AlphaDEX screening methodology. Software takes the top spot in the fund with about 24% weight. The 78-stock fund charges 63 bps in fees. This Zacks Rank #1 ETF is down 0.2% so far this year (as of April 1, 2016) but added over 2.8% in the last five trading days (as of April 1, 2016). Original Post

Weibo Stock Soars As Alibaba Is Rumored Ready To Boost Its Stake

Weibo ( WB ), the “ Twitter ( TWTR ) of China,” saw its stock surge Wednesday on speculation that China e-commerce titan Alibaba Group ( BABA ) might boost its stake in the rising social media service. Weibo stock was up 11% in afternoon trading in the stock market today , near 20. Weibo was spun off in 2014 by Shanghai-based Web portal Sina ( SINA ) which still owns the majority of Weibo’s stock. Alibaba also has a strong stake in the company. With about a 20% ownership of Weibo as of now, “investors naturally believe Alibaba has interest (in) Weibo ultimately,” ITG Investment Research analyst Henry Guo told IBD via email on Wednesday. In May 2015, Summit Research had downgraded Weibo on concerns of increasing competition from other social networks, including from China Internet giant Tencent Holdings ( TCEHY )-owned WeChat. Summit also pointed to Weibo’s sluggish efforts to monetize and the China microblog’s too-pricey valuation back then. Weibo owes much of its current success to a surge in mobile users. Monthly active users rose 34% year over year to 236 million in December, with 83% of those users connecting with mobile devices. Weibo last month reported Q4 earnings that beat expectations. Weibo’s Q4 beat came with light Q1 sales guidance of $111 million to $116 million, up 15% to 20% year over year but below Wall Street’s expectations of $118.2 million, almost a 23% rise. The stock is forming a cup-type base with a potential buy point at 20.66. The pattern is within a much longer consolidation. Weibo stock has traded below its all-time peak of 26.08 since September 2014. Weibo still carries a strong IBD Composite Rating of 96 out of a possible 99. The company went public in April 2014 at 17 a share. After spiking on the initial public offering, shares flattened out, eventually sliding to an all-time low of 8.78 in August 2015, during China’s stock market crash . Sina stock was up 3%, near 49 in afternoon trading on Wednesday. Alibaba stock was up 2%, near 79 and Twitter stock was up 2%, near 17.