Author Archives: Scalper1

Market Lab Report – Premarket Pulse 4/12/16

Major averages reversed after an initial morning gap-up to close lower on mixed volume, with volume higher on the S&P 500. Crude finished higher but the averages finished at their lows. The NASDAQ Composite has closed three days in a row below its 200-day moving average, with the last two days coming on reversals back to the downside after initial gap-up opens. Alcoa (AA) which kicked off earnings season yesterday after the close traded lower in the after-hours by about 4%, though it also traded lower by several percent after it reported earnings the last two times, on October 9, 2015 and January 12, 2016. The general market shrugged off earnings which were overall weak in October because easy money via central banks was a more important factor. Meanwhile, in January, the market headed lower but this was primarily due to the global economic crisis at hand.

3 High Yield ETFs That Must Be On Your Radar

The high yield landscape has been a difficult one to navigate over the last year. The pernicious selling in commodities combined with a rocky road for stocks has led to sliding prices in junk bonds, master limited partnerships, and mortgage REITs. These asset classes have been pilloried for luring in yield-seeking investors, only to have the rug pulled out from under them as credit conditions deteriorated. Hopefully an important lesson has been learned – the higher the yield, the higher the risk of capital invested. Those that were burned the worst may be taking the tact of avoiding these sectors altogether . However, monitoring exchange-traded funds that track high yield indexes can be a useful endeavor. They can often provide insight into underlying stock market or debt dynamics as well as serve up trading opportunities showing relative value characteristics. Let’s delve into some of the most important high yield ETFs that should be on your radar. iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (NYSEARCA: HYG ) HYG is the largest high yield bond ETF with $16.7 billion in total assets. This passively managed index fund owns nearly 1,000 corporate bonds of companies with below-investment grade credit ratings. These types of fixed-income instruments are often referred to as “junk bonds” because of their lower quality credit fundamentals. Investors who own a basket of junk bonds like HYG are nominally compensated for the higher risk by receiving a much higher yield than Treasuries or investment-grade corporate bonds. HYG currently has a 30-day SEC yield of 6.96% and income is paid monthly to shareholders. A peek at the chart below shows how HYG broke below its 200-day moving average nearly nine months ago and has been in a persistent down-trend ever since. This ETF was down over 20% from high to low, but managed to claw its way back from the abyss during the February and March rally in risk assets. The important question now is whether HYG is consolidating for another push higher or is it getting ready to rollover once again? The most bullish scenario would be a tight range of consolidation followed by a confirmed breakout to new recovery highs above the downward sloping 200-day moving average. This would likely need to coincide with further strength in broad stock market indices such as the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA: SPY ). If we start to see SPY and other stock market bellwethers roll over again, then it could easily lead to a retest of the February lows for HYG. Many investors believe in the adage that “credit leads equities”. As a result, these two asset classes will likely experience a similar fate through the remainder of 2016. Alerian MLP ETF (NYSEARCA: AMLP ) Another well-known proxy of income and credit risk that is closely tied to the commodity markets are master limited partnerships (MLPs). AMLP tracks an index of the 25 largest and most liquid MLPs. These companies provide infrastructure, storage, and pipeline use for large oil and gas companies in the energy sector. The unique tax structure of MLPs allows them to pass on a large percentage of their profits to shareholders in the form of dividends. Thus, these stocks are often prized for their above-average yields. AMLP sports a yield of 11.28% based on its most recent quarterly dividend and current share price. This ETF has experienced a decline similar to junk-bond related indexes, which has been exacerbated by the downtrend in oil and natural gas prices. Similar to oil, this fund is off its lows for the year, but has been unable to regain positive territory for 2016. I believe that this index will continue to demonstrate a high correlation with the energy markets over the next several years. Another factor to the MLP story will be credit conditions , as many of these companies rely heavily on access to debt markets and other funding sources. Keep these factors in mind if you are considering investing in this ETF. It may be a long road ahead to regain sustainable momentum and volatility will likely be a key risk. iShares Mortgage Real Estate Capped ETF (NYSEARCA: REM ) If you are aggressive enough to seek out funds offering a double digit yield, then you have likely heard of REM. This ETF tracks an index of 38 mortgage REITs in the residential and commercial lending sectors. Mortgage REITs are characterized by their lofty dividends as a result of embedded leverage and low borrowing costs. REM is a very focused strategy that is arranged in a market-cap weighted methodology. As a result, the top holdings make up a significant portion of the underlying asset base. This includes significant exposure to Annaly Capital Management (NYSE: NLY ) and American Capital Agency REIT (NASDAQ: AGNC ). REM currently has a 30-day SEC yield of 12.30% and income is paid quarterly to shareholders. It’s easy to see how investors can be lured into mortgage REITs by the tremendous yields. However, the volatility and risk that is associated with maintaining that dividend is often overshadowed. This ETF has also traced a path similar to high yield bonds over the last 12 months and has just recently experienced a sharp rebound. Future price action in this ETF is likely going to be governed by a combination of factors including real estate fundamentals, credit trends, and overall appetite for risk in aggressive income assets. Keep in mind that ETFs with high sensitivity to credit risk are best purchased during periods of duress in order to capitalize on their relative value to high quality fixed-income. Furthermore, these tools will require heightened vigilance in order to take advantage of their volatile nature. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Additional disclosure: David Fabian, FMD Capital Management, and/or clients may hold positions in the ETFs and mutual funds mentioned above. The commentary does not constitute individualized investment advice. The opinions offered herein are not personalized recommendations to buy, sell, or hold securities.

Hello Barbie And Security Not The Perfect Couple, Claims Lawsuit

Hello Barbie says, “Privacy breach” to plaintiffs in a lawsuit that’s testing the boundaries of security in the Internet of Things age. Mattel ( MAT ), the maker of the interactive doll, is among those being sued on grounds that the doll picks up and records the voices of the children who play with the doll, voices that it uploads and stores without parental consent. The unusual case was filed in December in Los Angeles County Superior Court. Other defendants include San Francisco-based ToyTalk, which partnered with Mattel to produce the doll; and Los Angeles-based Samet Privacy, which does business as the kidSAFE Seal Program that lists, reviews and certifies interactive and online products as compliant with the federal Children’s Online Privacy Protection Act, or COPPA. “The problem is parents and children don’t really know that ToyTalk is going to use their child’s conversation for data mining and other purposes not fully disclosed,” said Steve Teppler of the Abbott Law Group in Jacksonville, Fla. “They say they’ll protect the child of the purchasing parent’s identity, but what about friends’ children?” Abbott Law Group represents the plaintiffs in the case: Ashley Archer-Hayes of Vista, Calif., who bought the doll, and her minor child; and Charity Johnson of Chula Vista, Calif., and her minor child “on behalf of all others similarly situated,” states the suit. The children of Johnson and Archer-Hayes are friends, and they played with Hello Barbie at a Barbie-themed birthday party late last year, the suit says. The suit is one of many dealing with the untapped online frontier that is the Internet of Things, referring to products used in everyday life that are increasingly connected with the Internet and that store information online. These products range from cars to home security systems. On its website, kidSAFE describes Hello Barbie as “the first fashion doll that can have a two-way conversation with girls. The doll features speech recognition and progressive learning features that enable girls to engage with Barbie like never before. Hello Barbie features more than 8,000 lines of dialogue, inspires imagination and storytelling, plays more than 20 interactive games, and tells jokes.” Although Hello Barbie must be registered to activate, and the registration process includes information relating to privacy, plaintiffs argue that Hello Barbie will pick up voices of a child’s friends, and those voices will be uploaded and stored without parental knowledge, let alone consent. Could Hello Barbie Owners Erase The Data? Interactive toys like Hello Barbie are expected to proliferate. How can parents stay informed about the privacy policies of each toy? “That’s the problem,” Teppler said. “What are your choices? You could make the doll only perform with the registered user, but that’s not the way the toy is designed. To comply with COPPA, you’d have to have a waiver for the user of the child’s voice. We don’t know what ToyTalk’s affiliates do with this information.” Teppler raised the possibility that information stored on ToyTalk computers could become discoverable in litigation, for example, if kids start talking about their parents’ activities. “It’s an interesting evidentiary issue,” said Teppler. “The terms of service say the purchasing parents can access the recordings for two years, but can they get them erased? You could deactivate your account, but they would still have the recordings.” Mattel would not make someone available for an interview, but spokesman Alex Clark said in an email, “While we do not comment on pending litigation, I can tell you Mattel is committed to ensuring every product we make meets or exceeds all applicable laws and regulations. In addition, we are confident in the robust data security technology used in our Hello Barbie product.” For its part, kidSAFE has rated Hello Barbie as “COPPA certified.” Ben Warlick, an attorney with Morris, Manning and Martin in Atlanta, says that plaintiffs have an uphill battle to recovery because Mattel and other defendants don’t control how a child uses the toy. “Plaintiffs pointed out suggestions for what Mattel could have done, including notifying parents that the toy should not be used outside the presence of other nonregistered children,” Warlick said. “But I do not think it’s a realistic argument to tell a child not to play with a toy around other kids; that’s hard to do.” Warlick, who co-chairs his firm’s Internet of Things practice group, says that the Hello Barbie case is likely just one of the first of many that will test the bounds of privacy protection in the Internet of Things age. “We started the new practice group because we’re finding that universal notions of privacy and security don’t necessarily translate to the Internet of Things,” he said. Warlick says that an argument can be made that interactive devices should have higher security and encryption features, “but many little battery-powered devices like weather or pet monitors may not have the processing power to run encryption or robust security measures.” Similar suits have been filed against ADP home security systems and Vizio smart TV sets. “It’s a real issue for product developers in this area,” Warlick said, “about what is the right level of security and encryption for these devices.”