Author Archives: Scalper1

Smartphone Shipments Decline; Apple, Samsung Lead Retreat

Global smartphone shipments declined for the first time ever on a year-over-year basis in the first quarter, two research firms reported Thursday. Juniper Research said that smartphone shipments fell nearly 6% on an annual basis to 320 million units in Q1. Strategy Analytics estimated that smartphone shipments declined 3% to 335 million units last quarter. “It is the first time ever, since the modern smartphone market began in 1996, that global shipments have shrunk on an annualized basis,” Strategy Analytics analyst Linda Sui said in a blog post . “Smartphone growth is slowing due to increasing penetration maturity in major markets like China and consumer caution about the future of the world economy.” Samsung and Apple ( AAPL ), the two largest smartphone vendors, both posted declines in the quarter. Samsung’s smartphone shipments fell 4% to 79 million units in Q1. Apple’s iPhone shipments dipped 16% to 51.2 million units in Q1, Strategy Analytics said. Samsung was the No. 1 vendor, with 23.6% market share, followed by Apple, with 15.3%. Both lost ground to fast-growing Chinese smartphone makers including Huawei, Oppo and Vivo. On Tuesday, Apple reported its first-ever drop in iPhone sales . It said that its iPhone sales fell 16% to 51.19 million units in its fiscal second quarter, which ended March 26. For the current quarter, Apple signaled another decline in iPhone sales. Apple’s smartphone decline is attributed to difficult comparisons with the outsized success of the iPhone 6. The current-generation handsets, the iPhone 6S series, offer only incremental improvements in features. On Wednesday, research firm IDC said that smartphone makers managed to eke out a tiny gain in Q1. IDC estimates that smartphone shipments rose 0.2% to 334.9 million units. IDC said that shipments declined 0.6% for No. 1 vendor Samsung and 16.3% for No. 2 vendor Apple. But the Chinese vendors ranked third, fourth and fifth (Huawei, Oppo and Vivo, respectively) posted big gains in shipments, IDC said. Huawei increased its smartphone shipments by 58.4% year over year in Q1. Oppo and Vivo posted increases of 153.2% and 123.8%, respectively.

First Solar Q1 Torched On ITC Extension; SunPower, Sunrun Burned

First Solar ( FSLR ) stock tumbled Thursday on its $100-million-plus Q1 sales miss late Wednesday and the “understandable” but likely-to-raise-questions resignation of CEO Jim Hughes, Credit Suisse analyst Patrick Jobin says. CFO Mark Widmar will succeed Hughes, effective July 1. Alexander Bradley, vice president of global project finance and treasurer, will step in for Widmar. Hughes led First Solar out of its rocky May 2012 “crisis,” Jobin wrote in a research report. “Polysilicon costs were plummeting and First Solar’s technology was becoming cost disadvantaged,” Jobin wrote. “He successfully regained First Solar’s position of strength, the company’s panel is close to multi-crystalline,” he wrote. The management shift was inevitable, but “changes always tend to raise questions,” Jobin noted. He kept his neutral rating and 72 price target on First Solar stock. In afternoon trading on the stock market today , First Solar stock was down 6.5%, leading a broad 3% tumble in IBD’s 20-company Energy-Solar industry group. Shares of No. 2 rival SunPower ( SPWR ) were down nearly 2%. Residential installers Vivint Solar ( VSLR ) and Sunrun ( RUN ) stocks were down 3.5% and 2.5%, respectively, but shares of No. 1 rival SolarCity ( SCTY ) were up a fraction. For Q1, First Solar reported 3% year-over-year sales growth to $848 million and $1.66 earnings per share, swinging from a 62-cent per-share loss in the year-earlier period. EPS topped views after First Solar sold a 15% stake in its Desert Stateline project to Southern Co. ( SO ) and gained a one-time $38 million cash boost from its module recycling program, Mizuho analyst James von Riesemann wrote in a report. But analysts called for $958.3 million in sales, up 106% year over year. Adjusting for the Stateline and one-time asset sale, First Solar’s EPS would have come in around $1.06, Jobin wrote, still beating the consensus of 21 analysts polled by Thomson Reuters for 93 cents. First Solar blamed shifting to lower-priced, module-only sales for the disappointing Q1 sales, von Riesemann reported. He reiterated his neutral rating and 67 price target on First Solar stock. “The key issue appears to be how First Solar’s customers re-sort the timing of projects, given the ITC (investment tax credit) extension and how those customers’ procurement projects will be built up,” he wrote. Hughes noted as much in his remarks on the the company’s late Wednesday earnings conference call. Congress extended the key solar subsidy in December, pushing its expiration date out five years from the initial Dec. 31, 2016, end date. Analysts had predicted a sharp drop-off in installations following the ITC expiration. “In the U.S., the ITC extension has led to an increase in overall opportunity, but customers continue to work through revisions to project timing,” he said. That “has led to some temporary delays in new contracted bookings.”