Author Archives: Scalper1

Alphabet Q4 Makes It Biggest Stock Of All; Yahoo Reports Next

Loading the player… That’s Alphabet ( GOOGL ) with a capital A — a   lot of capital. Going into Tuesday trading, the owner of Google ranked as the biggest stock of all, a title wrested from Apple ( AAPL ) Monday. Will it hang onto the crown or hand it back? In afternoon trading Tuesday, Alphabet was in the lead with a market cap around $540 billion and its stock up nearly 2%, near 785. Apple was down about 2%, near 94.50, with a market cap around $524 billion. Alphabet climbed to a $555 billion market cap in extended trading after the close of the stock market Monday, as investors cheered its estimate-trouncing fourth-quarter earnings report, out Monday afternoon. That was vs. Apple at a $533 billion market value, the Associated Press reported Monday night. (During the trading day Monday Alphabet had passed Apple, but by Monday’s closing bell Apple was in the lead.) Alphabet’s was the first big tech earnings report of the week. Tuesday after the closing bell, embattled Yahoo ( YHOO ) is set to deliver its fourth-quarter results amid a big strategy shift that could see 15% of the workforce cut , and LinkedIn ( LNKD ) its own quarterly results on Thursday afternoon. Yahoo stock was down more than 4.5% Tuesday afternoon, near 28, while LinkedIn was down more than 2%, near 201. Alphabet: First Look Beyond Google YouTube video, mobile search and programmatic ads helped drive Alphabet revenue up 18% from a year earlier to $21.32 billion in its Q4 report, whereas analysts expected $20.76 billion. Earnings ex items lifted 26% to $8.67 a share, rocketing past the average estimate of analysts polled by Thomson Reuters for $8.09. Alphabet stock lifted more than 4% after hours Monday on the news to above 803. This was the first time that Alphabet — which Google created last year to be its parent company — has laid out details of its Other Bets businesses , beyond the core Google search business. It includes everything from Google Fiber and the Nest smart-thermostat division to GV (formerly Google Ventures) and Google Capital X, the garage for Google’s self-driving car initiative. Revenue for Other Bets rose 42% to $151 million while an operating loss of $1.24 billion came in deeper than the $634 million loss of a year earlier. Alphabet gets a best-possible Composite Rating of 99 from IBD. In a Monday-night research note, Pacific Crest analyst Evan Wilson raised his Alphabet price target to 910 from 850. “At the beginning of 2015, Alphabet began to provide commentary on more rational spending and increased disclosure. In Q3 we got the announcement of a share repurchase, and in Q4 we received increased disclosure around core-Google and Other Bets,” he wrote in a research note. “Many GOOGL investors came for these things, but they should stick around for the improvement in fundamentals, which should re-rate the company in the minds of investors.” Yahoo Q4 Report Ahead As for the next big tech earnings report of the week, Tuesday after the close, investors will be watching for any strategy news out of Yahoo. The Web portal operator has proposed spinning off its Internet business but keeping a 15% stake in China online shopping giant Alibaba ( BABA ). Yahoo gets only a 42 Composite Rating by IBD.  

Netflix Gets Bullish Call, But Stock Stages Downside Reversal

Loading the player… Netflix ( NFLX ) received a bullish upgrade from Piper Jaffray on Tuesday, but with the overall market taking a sharp step down the stock quickly reversed lower. The analyst believes that Netflix could nearly double its current subscriber base of 75 million by 2020. And the 142 million-subscriber estimate could be conservative since the projection models just a 15% international penetration rate, including 1% penetration in China. Piper Jaffray has a 122 price target on Netflix, which represents about a 30% premium to Monday’s closing price. Netflix staged a downside reversal in the stock market today in above-average volume, dropping 2.9%. Shares have been trading in five-month-low territory for the last few sessions, after breaching support at the 200-day line last month. Netflix is now trading 30% below its early December high. Netflix Vs. Amazon Amazon’s ( AMZN ) 54 million U.S. Amazon Prime subscribers gives it more potential viewers than Netflix, with its nearly 45 million U.S. subscribers. But according to a report by Consumer Intelligence Research Partners late last month, Netflix has significantly more actual viewers. Still, Amazon’s streaming service is gaining traction from critical acclaim for its original shows. Amazon sank 4%, falling for a third session in a row in above-average volume after issuing a lackluster quarterly earnings report last week. The stock is still holding above the critical 200-day line. It’s trading about 20% below its late December high. Hulu Getting Another Investor? Netflix and Amazon both face competition from Hulu, a joint venture between Disney ( DIS ), Comcast ( CMCSA ) and 21st Century Fox ( FOXA ). Time Warner ( TWX ) is reportedly in talks to buy a 25% stake in the streaming service. In early January, Time Warner retook its downward-sloping 50-day line in heavy volume. The stock is now trading about 20% below its high reached last July, and was down 1.8% Tuesday. Disney has been drifting lower since November amid fears about ESPN-subscriber losses. Volume has been heavy more for down days than for up days. Disney is about 23% below its July peak. Comcast is trading 15% below its 52-week high while Fox is about 24% below its 52-week high.

January ETF Asset Report: Safe Havens Rule

The month of January was all about heightened global growth concerns and deflation fears. In particular, the acute plunge in oil prices has taken a toll on a number of assets worldwide. Most economies across the world, be it China, Japan, the Eurozone or the otherwise improving U.S. economy, fears of a slowdown were prevalent. Sell-off was the keyword in January, sending most of the key global benchmarks in red. Central bank meetings came out dovish with more support promised for the future, if need be. The circumstance left investors pondering about where to invest their money and realize gains. Let’s see how this horrid start to 2016 impacted asset growth in the ETF industry. U.S. Treasury Bonds: Safe Retreat U.S. Treasuries across the yield spectrum gathered assets in January with the iShares Short Treasury Bond ETF (NYSEARCA: SHV ) being the topper. The fund attracted 2.69 billion of assets in the month. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSEARCA: TLT ) , iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSEARCA: IEF ) and iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSEARCA: SHY ) took third, fourth and fifth spots, hauling in around $1.67 billion, $1.36 billion and $1.18 billion in assets, respectively. Heightened global uncertainty brought this safe asset into the limelight. Dimming prospects of the frequent Fed rate hikes further, global growth worries and severely low oil price put a lid on global inflation and helped treasury valuation to soar. Gold Gets Shine Back Another safe refuge, gold, also dazzled in the month as it is often viewed as a safe haven asset to protect against financial risks, and has performed well lately (despite deteriorating fundamentals) on heightened market volatility. As a result, funds tracking the yellow metal, such as the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSEARCA: GLD ), pulled in $959.2 million in assets in January. U.S. Equities Losing Out As most risky assets lost appeal in the month, investors fled the U.S. equities space. This is truer given the slowing U.S. growth momentum. Notably, the U.S. economy expanded at an annualized rate of 0.7% in the final quarter of 2015, down from the 2% growth registered in the third quarter. The Wall Street in fact went back to the 2014 levels last month. As a result, the U.S. broad equity ETFs saw huge outflows last month with the ultra-popular large-cap U.S. ETF, the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA: SPY ), topping the losers’ list. The fund lost around $2.22 billion in assets. Not only SPY, but also the NASDAQ-based PowerShares QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ: QQQ ) came second, seeing $2.14 billion of assets gushing out. Other U.S. equity ETFs including the iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF (NYSEARCA: IWD ) and the iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF (NYSEARCA: IWF ) also saw outflows of $1.35 billion and $1.28 billion in assets, respectively. Currency Hedged-Equities ETFs: Surprise Loser Though the prospect of further policy easing by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) was ripe in January, currency-hedged Japan ETFs fell out of investors’ favor. Probably, this was because of the fact that the greenback lagged in January (despite the December Fed liftoff) till BoJ announced a negative interest rate at the end of the month. Till January 28, 2016, the U.S. dollar fund, the PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish ETF (NYSEARCA: UUP ) , lost 0.4% in the month while yen ETF, the CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust ETF (NYSEARCA: FXY ) , added about 0.5% during the same time frame. This sort of movement in currencies must have dented the currency-hedged Japanese equities ETFs like the WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity ETF (NYSEARCA: DXJ ) which has seen assets worth $989.8 million flowing out. The problem was the same with the currency-hedged Europe equities ETF, the WisdomTree Europe Hedged Equity ETF (NYSEARCA: HEDJ ) . The fund lost $810 million in assets. Notably, euro also strengthened in the month as evident by the 1% gain in the CurrencyShares Euro Trust ETF (NYSEARCA: FXE ) till January 28, 2016. Original post