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3 Biotech Stocks Buoyed By Potential Blockbuster Drugs

Sentiment on biotech stocks overall ebbs and flows, but biotech companies can carve very individual paths. Drug company investors look to product pipelines to spot potential growth, especially for scientifically novel assets that can stand out from the pack. These three biotech stocks have outperformed the group in the past few months thanks to potential blockbuster drugs. • Juno Therapeutics ( JUNO ) is up 68% since its early February all-time low — which was also the IBD Medical-Biomed/Biotech group’s nearly two-year low point — as investors have regained confidence in its cancer-fighting pipeline. Juno is working in the cutting-edge field of cell therapy, in which patients’ own cells are re-engineered to help their immune systems kill cancer cells, in this case the chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T cells. Juno’s leading candidate, JCAR015, is in midstage testing for acute lymphoblastic leukemia, for which it showed stunning success rates in earlier trials. Last month, its partner Celgene ( CELG ) said it would exercise its option to commercialize JCAR015 and two similar candidates outside of North America and China, under a 10-year, $1 billion partnership that the two companies inked last summer. Also last month, Juno showed off some of its earlier-stage CAR-T candidates at the annual meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research, targeting different receptors in other types of blood cancer. When the abstracts for the meeting were released in March, Leerink analyst Michael Schmidt wrote that Juno’s stock should be supported by “clinical data readouts supporting Juno’s business strategy to develop differentiated, potentially best-in-class CAR-T products that could generate translational insights in hematologic and solid tumor indications.” • BioMarin Pharmaceutical ( BMRN ) is up 29% since its early February 20-month low as it recovered from the FDA’s rejection of its muscular-dystrophy drug Kyndrisa in January. At its R&D day last month, BioMarin rolled out strong early data for two pipeline candidates, one for hemophilia and one for achondroplasia, a form of dwarfism. The hemophilia data brought particular attention, as it was the first-ever evidence on gene therapy for the disease in humans. After the therapy, BMN 270, was delivered once to eight patients, all of their conditions went from severe to mild-to-moderate. This was far better than expected. In a video recorded for clients a couple of weeks later, Evercore ISI analyst John Scotti described the mood at BioMarin’s event: “When they started presenting (the data), jaws just went to the floor. There was an audible gasp in the room.” The market for hemophilia A, the most common type, runs at $4 billion a year. Analysts say a successful gene therapy could massively disrupt the market of clotting factors that have to be infused weekly at least. • Intercept Pharmaceuticals ( ICPT ) is up 52% from its 28-month low in February, after its lead drug Ocaliva passed a major hurdle to market last month. An FDA advisory committee voted to grant it accelerated approval for a liver condition called primary biliary cholangitis (PBC), which the agency has until May 29 to decide on. While the PBC market is expected to bring in a healthy revenue stream for Intercept, the potential blockbuster indication is in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), a liver-scarring disease that affects millions of Americans but has no treatment. Intercept is conducting a large phase-three trial of Ocaliva in the disease, with a launch not expected for several years. But the FDA panel vote did imply that the experts see the benefits as outweighing the drug’s known safety issues. Ocaliva’s potential has driven buyout speculation around Intercept stock, which has also helped to push up shares. A particular burst of this came on Feb. 12 when anonymous sources suggested that the company was exploring a sale, though nothing’s yet come of it.

Biogen Spinning Off Hemophilia Business As Competition Heats Up

Big biotech Biogen ( BIIB ) said Tuesday that it will spin off its hemophilia business into an independent company in a move much anticipated by Wall Street. Biogen, which focuses mainly on neurological diseases, got into hemophilia with the 2014 launch of its two long-acting infusion treatments, Eloctate and Alprolix, for hemophilia A and B, respectively. It carved out some market share from leader Baxter International ( BAX ), but in mid-April press reports relayed rumors that Biogen was thinking of selling or spinning off the business. Baxter had already made a similar move when it spun off its hemophilia-focused biopharma arm as Baxalta ( BXLT ) last July. Baxalta was quickly snapped up by Shire ( SHPG ) in a $32 billion deal. Both Baxalta’s and Biogen’s infusion therapies are under potential threat from new gene therapies that might be able to cure the disease with a one-time treatment, or at least manage it with far fewer treatments. BioMarin Pharmaceutical ‘s ( BMRN ) early-stage trial results for its hemophilia gene therapy , reported last month, supported the method’s potential. Biogen’s press release mentioned that investment in research was one rationale for the spinoff. “The new company, to be named at a later date, will focus on the discovery and development of therapies for the treatment of hemophilia,” said the release. “The new company plans to bring longer-acting therapies utilizing the XTEN technology into clinical development in the first half of 2017 and to accelerate the development of bispecific antibodies and hemophilia-related gene therapy programs.” It added that the spinoff will also enable the remaining portion of Biogen to focus on its core multiple-sclerosis business, which has been struggling lately as shown in Biogen’s Q1 earnings  last month. Still, RBC Capital Markets analyst Michael Yee found the decision a bit puzzling. “Why would Biogen want to remove a growing and profitable, long-IP-duration biologics business that diversifies  Biogen and ‘dilutes’ the EPS when it’s removed?” he asked in a research note. “In addition, Biogen is not selling the business and bringing in cash (approximate $4 billion to $6 billion valuation), and prior to today, the question was what would they do with that cash and who would they buy (they aren’t getting cash in this deal). So this seems odd and perhaps implies the valuation is not what the Street perceives if a buyer was not willing to pay up.” Biogen stock was up a fraction in early trading on the stock market today , near 275. The stock has found support above its 50-day line.

AbbVie Bolsters Immunology Business, Acquires Boehringer Drug

Big pharma AbbVie ( ABBV ) said Monday that it was acquiring rights to two immunology drugs developed by German counterpart Boehringer Ingelheim, but its stock was flat as Goldman Sachs warned of increasing competition. AbbVie agreed to pay $595 million upfront plus undisclosed milestone payments and royalties for the right to commercialize BI 655066, a drug in late-stage testing for psoriasis, and in earlier testing for Crohn’s disease, psoriatic arthritis and asthma. A phase-two trial comparing BI 655066 head to head with Johnson & Johnson ’s ( JNJ ) Remicade found that after nine months of treatment, 69% of patients on Boehringer’s drug had clear or almost clear skin, compared with 30% in the Remicade arm. AbbVie also acquired rights to BI 655064, an earlier-stage drug that attacks the CD40 protein, which may be connected to lupus nephritis, Crohn’s disease and ulcerative colitis. AbbVie said in its press release that it will decide whether to go forward with that drug “after completion of certain undisclosed clinical achievements.” AbbVie said that its success in developing and commercializing Humira, currently the world’s top-selling immunology drug, gives it the expertise to do the same with Boehringer’s products. Humira is nearing the end of its patent life, leading to much speculation on Wall Street about when biosimilar competitors might launch and how much of an impact they might have. Goldman Sachs analyst Salveen Richter took a pessimistic view of the matter Monday, saying that the current political focus on lowering drug prices will probably encourage cheap Humira knock-offs. “We are not changing our 2016-2020 AbbVie forecasts and continue to believe that Humira will remain a durable asset free of U.S. biosimilars, at least until the end of the decade,” Richter wrote as he removed AbbVie stock from his Conviction Buy list and cut his price target to 68 from 80.  “However, we adjust our terminal value growth rate (from +1% to 0%) and model a faster decline curve post introduction of Humira biosimilars in the U.S. after 2020 through 2025.” AbbVie stock fell as much as 2.4% in early trading on the stock market today , but by midday it was flat, near 56. Meanwhile, Richter put BioMarin Pharmaceuticals ( BMRN ) on his Conviction Buy list in AbbVie’s place, setting his price target at 129. BioMarin, Richter noted, has guided that it will go into the black next year even without a contribution of its recently FDA-rejected muscular-dystrophy drug Kyndrisa, “showing opex restraint and a commitment to profitability.” He added that several data releases this year could bring upside for medications including BioMarin’s gene therapy for hemophilia and treatments for the rare diseases achondroplasia and phenylketonuria. BioMarin stock was up 2.5% midday Monday, near 89. Image provided by Shutterstock .